hi
Here are the probable dates for major (6+) earthquakes , with window period of + or- one day
1) 2nd September 2016......................6.3
2)10th ..............................................6.4
3) 17th ...........................................6.7
8)23rd.............................................6.6
9)29th...........................................6.5
the dates are for major quakes , however it can go go up to 7
Amit
Here are the probable dates for major (6+) earthquakes , with window period of + or- one day
1) 2nd September 2016......................6.3
2)10th ..............................................6.4
3) 17th ...........................................6.7
8)23rd.............................................6.6
9)29th...........................................6.5
the dates are for major quakes , however it can go go up to 7
Amit
Any of these for christchurch
ReplyDeleteDear Raquel
ReplyDeleteThe locstion can not be pin pointed as of now.
Amit
Dear Raquel
ReplyDeleteOh no. A 5.7 quske at NZ today
I hope all is well with fellow citizens
Amit
Didn't cause any damage as far as I know.. does it count as a hit??
ReplyDeletePredicting days without place is absolutely useless.
ReplyDeleteEvery day there's an earthquake somewhere!
Your earthquake predictions are just a shot in the dark.
Dear Thomson
ReplyDeleteNo.It can not be called a hit .But is close call.
Dear Anonymous
No. 6+ earthquake do not occur on daily basis.Yes.less than 3 quakes occures daily.
Before the location is pin poined,let it be proved thst,quakes do follow some rules and can be predicted with fair amount of accuracy.once that is done...location can also be predicted
Amit
Hi
ReplyDeleteA 7.1 quake at NZ .Yes a hit.
Any one have any doubts on my prediction?
Wake up USGS
wake up NZ seismology
wake up NDMA(National Disaster Management Authority)India
Amit
Yeah that 7.1 woke us up! We can still feel nd hear the quakes...scary!
DeleteR we going to have anymore big ones in Gisborne
DeleteI think we are in for a big one....this month will bring the big one....
DeleteIm waiting for north america to have a M7+
DeleteNice work Amit, spot on, again
ReplyDeleteTom
hi
ReplyDeleteNormally aftershocks do occur after such a major quake.
As per my theory, major aftershocks may occur after 24 Hrs ,and seven and half days and some times even on 14th /15th day.
Idea is to be careful after exactly 11th to 13th hour and on 7th as well as 8th day of major quake
AMit
need to watch 24th hr and 7th /8th day after major quake
ReplyDeleteWhen ever I here there's a big earthquake it's the depth I take notice of because you can have a 7 and be 100km deep and feel nothing or have a 3.8 and be 3km deep and really feel it go's borne was lucky that was not on land and
ReplyDeleteHi
ReplyDeletestrong quakes at oklahoma and california to day ie 3rd September.
Yes ,Oklahoma quake is less than 6 ,nevertheless it is one of the largest in recent past
Wake up USGS
Amit
Hi
ReplyDeletehttp://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo-way/2016/09/03/492517062/earthquake-rattles-oklahoma-one-of-strongest-recorded-in-state
Amit
Hi will there be any in auckland u love I'm pukekohe
ReplyDeleteHi there will there be any in auckland
ReplyDeleteDear Jessica
ReplyDeleteSorry for late reply.
Location of quake can not be pin pointed as of now. It is not accurate enough to publish.
Besides,as per Indian Disaster Act 2005,publishing all three aspects ie date,magnitude and place for a quake is a punishable offence
Thanks for being with this blog
Amit
Thanks for that when is next one suppose to predict
DeleteDear Jesica
ReplyDeleteThe next major(6+), quake will be on 10th Sept (+ or - one day).
Location can not be pin pointed..However,as per my theory of major afershocks ,wherever
a major quake(7+) occurs,an aftershock occurs on 7th or 8th day.
Thus , North of NZ is prone to a major afershock on 10th
Regards
Amit
I'm on the north west side of Auckland lets just pray it not a major one fingers cross
ReplyDeleteHi so will there be an earthquake this coming Thursday 10th of September yes or no and what area please
ReplyDeleteJessica read the reply.. earthquakes cant be pinpointed to a location.. there is a high chance of an aftershock on the dates Amit mentions, most likely in the same area as the main shock epicentre
DeleteThanks
DeleteI'm heading not yay
ReplyDeleteI'm gessing not yay
ReplyDeleteI'm heading not yay
ReplyDeleteRoger
ReplyDeleteEverything alright? Not heared anything from you. Little worried about your health.
Regards
Amit
Roger
ReplyDeleteEverything alright?No post since couple of days.Little worried about your health
regards
Amit
No earthquake yet more worried for my children
DeleteRoger
ReplyDeleteHow are you?Little worried about your health
regards
Amit
Jessica
ReplyDeleteIt is good. Do not worry .Nothing will happen.There are all chances thst,I am wrong.
Amit
Hope so let the 10th be a good day
DeleteAmit;
ReplyDeleteNo worries, my health is as good as can be expected at 81.
I've just been busy preparing a house for sale.
Roger
This comment has been removed by the author.
ReplyDeleteThis comment has been removed by the author.
ReplyDelete5.6 in nz and 6.something in aus just now =S
ReplyDelete...good predictions...
This comment has been removed by the author.
ReplyDeleteAmy Gray
ReplyDeleteYes.
However,I thing one more is expected.
(Place not known)
Amit
6.7 south of nz today
ReplyDeleteHope next one happen in a 100 years time
ReplyDeleteJessica
ReplyDeleteI think it is 6.1 as per USGS records
Amit
Ok well it the 10th today nothing majors happn yet
DeleteSo you've "predicted" an earthquake every week. Add to that 2 days either side and that's 5 days of the week an earthquake could occur. So we have twenty days out of 28 a quake could occur. It's not even guessing is it?
ReplyDeleteGordon
ReplyDeleteIt is one day on either side and not two days
Amit
Gordon
ReplyDeleteYou can see the past 6+ quakes and date hit predictions.
Amit
There was nothing for the 10th
ReplyDeleteJessica
ReplyDeleteA quake of 4.7 for NZ ON 9th.
However we have two 6+ quakes
6.1 on Macquarie Island on 8th at 21.46 UTC
6.1 at Peru to day
Amit
Amit
ReplyDeleteToday was a hit. You made five 3 day predictions so it's 15/30 days, a coin toss chance of success.
Roger
Still never felt nothing
ReplyDeleteStill felt nothing and I'm glad guess I can plan my daughter 5th birthday nextweekend
ReplyDeleteJessica, the chances of getting an earthquake in Auckland is extremely unlikely
ReplyDeleteThanks let's just hope it dont
DeleteI'm in south Auckland area
ReplyDeleteThis comment has been removed by the author.
ReplyDeleteWhen is next earthquake predicted for and what area please
ReplyDeletehttp://www.usatoday.com/story/tech/sciencefair/2016/09/12/full-moon-high-tides-earthquakes/90259216/Roger
ReplyDeletePl check.
seismologist now believe full moon can trigger big quake.
I go far beyond this one aspect and hence more accuracy
Think out of the box
Amit
White island volcano has erupted does that got to do with earthquakes
ReplyDeleteRoger
ReplyDeleteHere is one more gor you.
How do you explain this.
Major quakes triger quakes in minutes at plate boundries not related to each other
Amit
ReplyDeleteJessica
yes.Earthquskes and eruption are related,as per my theory.
Basic theory is..
There is semisolid magma inside the earth crust.Hightides and low tides occur inside the esrthcrust like one in ocean
If the pull of hightide is more than critical it breaks the earthcrust and quake occurs.
If the pull can tear open the fault completely and lava comes out it is an eruption
Amit
Ok thank u
ReplyDeleteWhen is next big earthquake predicted for nz
ReplyDeleteAmit;
ReplyDeleteYour theory is wrong.
The magma you envision is not a liquid, it's under too much pressure. It moves but not rapidly.
It does become lava but that's when the pressure is reduced due to buckling of the overlying strata.
Roger
Roger
ReplyDeleteIt is your seismologist ,who say that,the tidal pull of moon can cause major quakes
Amit
Ken rings
ReplyDeleteAmit;
ReplyDeleteI'll need a link to an article stating that. My work says otherwise.
There was a 6.0 you missed today.
Roger
Amit;
ReplyDeleteYour score so far:
2/5 predictions correct so far
2/5 quakes were in windows so far.
Roger
Roger
ReplyDeleteIt is misguiding.It should be like this
I have predicted 5 dates for this month
out of which 2 dates have gone and both (ie 2) dates are hit.
We are waiting for 3 more dates to come...
These are the correct wordings
Amit
Roger
ReplyDeleteYou can see Google News with tooic Earthquake...and you will find several articleson hightides and quakes
Amit
So when is the next 1 predicted
DeleteAmit;
ReplyDeleteI see a few there on the subject but none are as simplistic as what you are doing.
All of them appear to be clutching at straws IMHO
Roger
Hi
ReplyDelete6.o quakes at Vsnuattu and Indonesia on 17th.A date hit prediction
Amit
I thought it would be closer to a 6.7 like mentioned??
DeleteA Thompson
ReplyDeleteYes. May be.window closes on 17th Sept 12 Midnight UTC
Amit
Rather on 18th MN
ReplyDeleteRather on 18th MN
ReplyDeleteRather on 18th MN UTC
ReplyDeleteRather on 18th MN UTC
ReplyDeleteWhen is the next big earthquake for nz please
ReplyDelete2 hours left Amit lol..mind you, there is alot of activity are Indonesia..something to watch
ReplyDeleteFull moon tonight in new zealand
ReplyDeleteWhen next big earthquake in nz please
ReplyDeleteDoes our interplanetary magnetic field tipping from north to south have anything to do with tectonics?? Or coronal holes, planetary alignments etc??
ReplyDeleteA Thompson
ReplyDeleteMy theory is based on Gravitation pull and change of momentum of semi solid magma inside the earth crust. Like high tides and low tides in ocean ,there occurs high tides and low tides inside the earth crust.On certain day when the pull exceeds certain limits,and it happen to be a weak crust or fault line ,it breaks the crust and hence quakes.It break open completely ,it is an eruption.
It takes into consideration the changing position of major planets and their peak declinations.
Full Moon,New Moon.Moon at perigee(closest),Moon and major planets at max declinations Moon joining,opposing or squaring major planets are also considered
Amit
We had till noon 17th September nothn happnd
ReplyDeleteAmit;
ReplyDeleteYour theory is wrong. Magma doesn't move that fast and if an upward pull was responsible faults would open up but in fact most quakes are from plates sliding horizontally.
If you throw in enough indicators something will be happening at any given moment.
Roger
Roger
ReplyDeleteYes.There are rwo aspects.
opening up....like in eruption
sliding one over other
Now, when pull avts there also occurs crust tides.This has been proved by none otger than seismologist. When the upper cust is pulled ,making little more clearaces betwen the two,the lower one slides....and hence quakes
Amit
Roger
ReplyDeleteEarth crust tides could be as high as 25 cms.
I would like to go a step further and statw that the tidal pull acts at all levels
oceans
magma
Earth crust
even Atmosphere
Some of the cyclones and cloud burst are attributed to this
Amit
Roger
ReplyDeleteSorry.There could be some typo errors.
I am down with dengue fever and advised complete bed rest.Uploading this from my moblile and from my bed
Amit
Does dengue fever stop you from spelling?? Haha get well soon Amit
ReplyDeleteAmit;
ReplyDeleteTake care of yourself. That fever is nothing to play around with.
Roger
Hi
ReplyDeletePl watch 6.4 quake at Japan to day ie on 23rd September .A date hit 6.4 quake prediction. Any doubts?So far all dates of this month (and even previous month) are hit.
Wake up USGS,wake up NZ Seismology,
Wake up JAMA,wake up NDA
Amit
Hi when is next earthquake predicted for nz
ReplyDeleteJessica
ReplyDeleteIt is not possible and even advisable ,as per law to predict all three aspects ie date, magnitude and location for a quake.
Jessica
ReplyDeleteIt is not possible and even advisable ,as per law to predict all three aspects ie date, magnitude and location for a quake.
Hi
ReplyDeleteOne more date hit prediction
6.3 quake at Philippines on 23rd Sept
Keep counting
Amit
Amit;
ReplyDeleteScore so far this month:
4/8 quakes in windows = 0.5
15/30 days in windows = 0.5
Notice the similarity?
Just chance.
Roger
Roger
ReplyDeleteLet me put facts
Total 6+ quakes are 9.
Out of which 5 are in window period
and sixth one just 2 hr out of window
Amit
Amit;
ReplyDeleteI stand corrected. I missed the quake on the 10th
but 2 hours out is still a miss.
Roger
Roger
ReplyDeleteIt is 5/9 and not 4/8
Amit
Amit
ReplyDeleteThe difference is not significant.
Still chance.
Roger
Amit;
ReplyDeleteTwo more today.
4 quakes in one window; that's impressive.
4/5 windows correct so far.
Roger
Roger
ReplyDeleteIt is sad that, seismologists some time wakes up and study (only ) correlation between major quakes and moon phases.(which is only partially true) and decided it is all wrong.
Wake up USGS,wake up NZ Seismology,wake up JAMA,wake up NDA
Amit
Amit;
ReplyDeleteYes but you are studying many more bodies and you are usually wrong too.
This month is an exception but those happen by chance too.
Roger
Roger
ReplyDeleteTake previous month
Amit
Amit;
ReplyDeleteTake all of last few years.
Roger
Amit;
ReplyDeleteOk for September there were 5 predictions and 14 quakes.
4/5 predictions correct = 0.80
9/14 quakes in windows = 0.65
15/31 days = 0.48
Better than chance but not by much.
Roger
Roger
ReplyDeleteHow can you count the date ,which is yet to come ?
It is 4/4 ie 100%.Let fifth date pass as a miss ,then and onky then it is said as 4/5
Amit
Amit;
ReplyDeleteCount it as my prediction
Roger
Roger
ReplyDelete???????
Roger
ReplyDelete???????
Amit;
ReplyDelete4/5 windows correct so far.
You missed a 6.0 today so 9/15 quakes in windows so far
Roger
http://www.9news.com.au/technology/2016/09/30/15/17/experts-predict-destructive-earthquake-will-hit-japan-in-next-30-yearsoger
ReplyDeleteexperts predict massive quake in Japan in nexy 30 years.
what a joke!!!!!!!!!!
What is the use of such prediction.
want people to be awake and alert for 30 years???
Stop such predictions.Do dont create panic ,if you do not know anything
Amit
Amit;
ReplyDeleteThose are not predictions, they are forecasts and are most useful for things like building codes.
No sense spending a lot on extremely strong building methods when the largest quake likely in 100 years is a mag 4.5 for example.
Roger
4.4 hit Wellington nz
ReplyDelete4.4 hit Wellington nz
ReplyDeleteAmit;
ReplyDeletescore for Sep 2016
4/5 windows correct, 7/12 quakes in windows
Roger