Saturday, September 30, 2017

earthquake Prediction for October 2017

hi
 Following are the probable dates for major earthquakes for the year 2017
1) 4th Oct 2017............6.3

2)10th Oct 2017..........6.8

3)19th Oct 2017.........6.4

The window period is + or -1 day


Amit

16 comments:

  1. Anonymous11:00 AM

    Almost 6.0 in japan

    ReplyDelete
  2. Hi
    Watch date hit accuracy.
    6.3 quake on 10th, at Chile.
    Is this a fluke?
    What are the chances of a 6+ date hit prediction?
    Amit

    ReplyDelete
  3. Anonymous7:14 AM

    Amit;

    Yes it's a hit.

    Your current score is 1/4 predictions, 1/5 quakes.

    Below chance.

    Odds on a 6+ globally are quite high. There are a lot of them.

    Roger

    ReplyDelete
  4. Roger
    6+ quakes are once in three days,ie 33%,. A date hit is 100% ,
    Amit

    ReplyDelete
  5. Anonymous9:52 AM

    Amit

    Actually, odds on a 6+ quake on any given day are 0.044 based on a study I just did for 6+ quakes from 1900 to mid-2017.

    That's a long term average so any given year could be much higher.

    Roger

    ReplyDelete
  6. Anonymous10:01 AM

    Amit;

    I repeat;

    One of your 3 predictions is correct but you missed 4 of the 5 quakes so far.

    Roger

    ReplyDelete
  7. Roger
    Here ,one more 6.7 quake at Bouvet Island region
    Two major quakes ,date Hits ,on a single day. Do you still think it is a chance?
    I repeat,some dates are prone to major quakes,
    Dave

    ReplyDelete
  8. Anonymous7:11 PM

    Amit;

    Your current score is 1/2 predictions correct, 2/6 quakes correct

    Yes, it's just chance.

    You could get everything correct and it would still be just chance.

    It's the long term average that counts and yours is below chance

    Your method is wrong.

    Roger

    ReplyDelete
  9. Anonymous7:12 PM

    Amit;

    Your current score is 1/2 predictions correct, 2/6 quakes correct

    Yes, it's just chance.

    You could get everything correct and it would still be just chance.

    It's the long term average that counts and yours is below chance

    Your method is wrong.

    Roger

    ReplyDelete
  10. Hi
    One more hit
    6 quake at Tonga to day ie 18th Oct 2017.
    Amit

    ReplyDelete
  11. Anonymous9:58 AM

    Amit;

    Yes, that's a hit.

    You have 3/7 quakes and 2/3 predictions correct at this time.

    Just chance.

    Roger

    ReplyDelete
  12. Anonymous10:06 AM

    Amit;

    Yes, that's a hit.

    You have 3/7 quakes and 2/3 predictions correct at this time.

    Just chance.

    Roger

    ReplyDelete
  13. Anonymous10:45 AM

    Amit;

    Miss today a 6.0 SW of Africa

    Now you have 3/8 quakes correct with 2/3 predictions correct.

    Below chance.

    Roger

    ReplyDelete
  14. Anonymous8:54 PM

    Amit;

    Final score is 3/11 quakes, 2/3 predictions

    Below chance.

    Roger

    ReplyDelete
  15. Anonymous8:56 PM

    Amit;

    Correction;

    3/11 quakes

    Roger

    ReplyDelete
  16. Anonymous7:00 AM

    Amit;

    oops! Another quake today.

    Now 3/12 quakes, 2/3 predictions.

    Worse and worse.

    Roger

    ReplyDelete