Saturday, September 01, 2018

Earthquake Prediction for September 2018

Hi
Here are some of the probable dates for major earthqEarth (6+) for theonth of September 2018
1)5th.......6.6
2) 9th.......6.5
3)18th.......6.4
4)26th......6.6
Time window is + ,or - one day
Magnitude window is +or - 0.3

Amit

21 comments:

  1. Hi
    A 6.6 quake at Japan on 5th September 2018.
    A date hit and magnitude hit prediction
    Any doubts?
    Amit

    ReplyDelete
  2. Hi
    One more hit quake
    8.1 at Fiji today ,ie 6th August 2018
    So many hits,are those by chance?
    Amit

    ReplyDelete
  3. Hi
    The point to ponder for all those ,who advocate plate tectonics is...
    Today's Fiji quake ,depth was 669 KM's
    Now ,the plate thickness ,to the best of my knowledge can go up to 200-250
    How come the centre was at such a great depth

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  4. This comment has been removed by the author.

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  5. Anonymous5:20 PM

    Amit;

    Deep quakes happen at subduction zones where a plate dives down into the mantle

    Roger

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  6. Roger
    Plate tectonics have not asked certain questions to themselves
    1) As plate tectonics explains normal quakes as sudden relative movment of two plates and resulting jerks/force ,that create quakes. Now what relative movment can occur at such a depth
    2)There has to be enough heat to dissolve the plate before it reaches such a depth,considering average plate thickness 100to150 km,this is 5 to 6 times the thickness
    3)Ok. What exactly happened when such a deep quake occur Have any one formulated or created a model of such quakes.
    Roger , whenever plate tectonics can not explain such questions ,it gives generic answers
    One such question is how major quakes occur on a location which is not on plate nounbounda. Answer is intra plate quake
    Now ,how on earth ,a relative motion occur in side a single plate
    Think out of the box
    Think like a police man ,who questions and suspect each person ,in his investigation
    Amit

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  7. One typo error sixth line from bottom

    "boundaries" instead of nounbounda"

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  8. Anonymous6:57 AM

    Amit;

    >>> 1) As plate tectonics explains normal quakes as sudden relative movment of two plates and resulting jerks/force ,that create quakes. Now what relative movment can occur at such a depth

    The subducting quake moving downward

    >>> 2)There has to be enough heat to dissolve the plate before it reaches such a depth,considering average plate thickness 100to150 km,this is 5 to 6 times the thickness

    Obviously it isn't that hot or we wouldn't see quakes from the plate fracturing.

    3)Ok. What exactly happened when such a deep quake occur Have any one formulated or created a model of such quakes.

    Of course. There are whole books on the subject.

    >>> Roger , whenever plate tectonics can not explain such questions ,it gives generic answers. One such question is how major quakes occur on a location which is not on plate boundary. Answer is intra plate quake. Now ,how on earth ,a relative motion occur in side a single plate.

    By either buckling due to compressive forces or by cracking due to separating movement.

    Roger

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  9. Roger
    One more hit quake.
    7.0 at NZ on 10th Sept as against predicted 9th
    How many hits are required to prove the point
    Amit

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  10. Anonymous4:59 PM

    Amit;

    You're having a good month.

    2 quakes in the 5th window.

    3 quakes in the 9th window

    2 quakes on the 10th missed.

    Still just chance.

    Roger

    ReplyDelete
  11. Hi
    One more hit
    Keep counting
    6.3 at new Caledonia on 10th

    Amit

    ReplyDelete
  12. Anonymous8:11 AM

    Amit;

    I stand corrected.

    2 hits in the 5th window

    1 missed on Sep 7

    4 hits on the 9th window

    Still just chance.

    Roger

    ReplyDelete
  13. Hi
    6.5 quake at Fiji
    On 16th at 22 hrs ie two hrs earlier than window
    I am aware,the moment I write this as ahit people will say it is 2 hrs out of window
    What an injustice
    Seismology predict major quake ------- tomorrow or after 500 yrs-
    and we appreciate their accuracy
    Let us be fair to all
    Amit

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  14. Anonymous6:28 PM

    Amit;

    Missed another one today in Fiji

    Just chance.

    Roger

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  15. Anonymous6:31 PM

    Amit;

    I judge your accuracy based on what you say.

    You gave a date and range so anything outside the window is a miss.

    Close doesn't count.

    Roger

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  16. Roger
    Yes sir,agreed
    Amit

    ReplyDelete
  17. Hi
    10 hrs late
    7.5 quake at Indonesia
    Dave

    ReplyDelete
  18. Hi
    Today's 6.6 quake at Fiji exactly after 24 hrs of major quake is proof to my cycle quake theory.
    The theory states that after a major quake (7+) ,there are fair amount of chances that another major (6+) occur after
    24 hrs
    seven /eighth day
    14th/15th day

    This is because ,the potential position which has triggered the first major quake ,will again happen when Moon moves
    A complete round in 24 hrs
    Another position 90degree away (7/8 day)
    Yet another potential position when Moon moves 180 degree (14/15) days

    That is exactly why ,people should remain alert on next day,a week later and a fortnight later
    Hope Indonesia Government learn this.
    Amit

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  19. Anonymous6:00 PM

    Amit;

    Summary for September

    7/12 quakes in window

    3/4 windows have quakes.

    Better than the average month but still just chance.

    I wish I could contribute to your funds but I'm in the same boat.

    Roger

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  20. Roger
    Thanks
    You have done a lot for me.
    I am truly obliged
    Thank you very much
    Amit

    ReplyDelete
  21. Anonymous1:16 AM

    Good respond in return of this query with solid
    arguments and telling everything on the topic of that.

    ReplyDelete