Roger Will do one thing Select any one month of your choice. We will check how many of 6+ quakes follow this hypothesis Or Shall I select one month randomly Say November 2022 (UTC time)
Here are cross checking of major quake epicenter hypothesis for the year 2022 There are in all 11 number of 7+ quakes in the year 2022. No quake which is 7+ in 2022 is left out and the year is not selected by me. So choosing and hand picking or cherry picking allegations can not sustain
1)7.3 quake ,Japan ,6.th March 2022 ( 6.3.22) at 14.36 UTC. .....Sun is at Nadir..36 degree West
2)7.0 quake , at Loyalty Island, 31.3.2022,at 5.44 UTC... .Sun setting..sharp at epicenter
3) 7.2 at Peru on 26.5.2022 at 12.02 UTC... Sun Rising..twilight zone 4)7.0 , at 120degree East ,27.7.2022 ,at 00.43 UTC ..Sun Rising..( not sharp..1 hr window)
5)7.6 ,at PNG ,10.9.2022,at 23.47 UTC.. ..FIRST MISS ...
6)7.0 ,on 14.9.2022 at 11.04 UTC at 21 S and 170 E,.. ..Sun is at 8 E ..ie at Nadir with 1 hr margin Or 18 degree longitudes out
7)7.6, at Maxico ,on 19.9 2022,at 18.05 UTC,...18 N ,103 W .Sun is at 93 W ..so at Zenith 8) 7.0 ,Fiji ,on 9.11.2022 ,at 9.51 UTC , 178 E.. ..Sun setting..However...1 hr 20 minutes after Sun set 9)7.3, Tonga,11.11.2022 at 10.48 UTC at 172 W.... ...Sun is at 14 E ..So sharp at Nadir 10) 7.0 ,on 12.11.2022 ,at 7.09 UTC at 178 W...Sun setting.. 11) 7.0 ,on 22.11.2022, at 2.03 UTC at 160 East...Sun is at 150 E ..Zenith
Thus out of 11 major ,7+ quakes, we have 7 quakes exciting following 2 in margin of + or - 1 hr 1 is out side margin..1 hr and 20 minutes 1 Miss
You have 4 significant times, each 2 hours wide so odds are 8/24 of a hit by chance.
You beat the odds by a wide margin so your method may be significant but only a much larger test will count as proof.
I'm struggling with Truebasic but if/when I get it working right, I'll test a large sample of 7+ quakes against the sun position and we'll see what we get.
Amit;
ReplyDeleteOne case proves nothing. You gotta get statistical!
Of all the 6+ quakes in that area, how many happened at sunrise?
Roger
Roger
DeleteDo not count only Sun rise.
First...Zenith and Nadir of Moon/Sun
Second..rising/setting of Moon/Sun
Dave
Roger
DeleteWill do one thing
Select any one month of your choice.
We will check how many of 6+ quakes follow this hypothesis
Or
Shall I select one month randomly
Say November 2022 (UTC time)
Amit
Amit;
ReplyDeleteNovember will do provided you haven't already looked at it.
No cheating allowed!
Roger
PS: a longer period is required for accuracy, years, not a month.
That's where computers come in.
Amit;
ReplyDeleteAny month you wish
Roger
Roger
ReplyDeleteHow if you select any year (January to December) for this.
However ,what I suggest ,to avoid tedious work ,to select 7+ ,instead of 6+
Amit
Amit;
ReplyDeleteOk, 2022, November, 7+, minimum 10 quakes
Roger
ReplyDeleteHere are cross checking of major quake epicenter hypothesis for the year 2022
There are in all 11 number of 7+ quakes in the year 2022.
No quake which is 7+ in 2022 is left out and the year is not selected by me.
So choosing and hand picking or cherry picking allegations can not sustain
1)7.3 quake ,Japan ,6.th March 2022 ( 6.3.22) at 14.36 UTC.
.....Sun is at Nadir..36 degree West
2)7.0 quake , at Loyalty Island, 31.3.2022,at 5.44 UTC...
.Sun setting..sharp at epicenter
3) 7.2 at Peru on 26.5.2022 at 12.02 UTC...
Sun Rising..twilight zone
4)7.0 , at 120degree East ,27.7.2022 ,at 00.43 UTC ..Sun Rising..( not sharp..1 hr window)
5)7.6 ,at PNG ,10.9.2022,at 23.47 UTC..
..FIRST MISS ...
6)7.0 ,on 14.9.2022 at 11.04 UTC at 21 S and 170 E,..
..Sun is at 8 E ..ie at Nadir with 1 hr margin
Or 18 degree longitudes out
7)7.6, at Maxico ,on 19.9 2022,at 18.05
UTC,...18 N ,103 W
.Sun is at 93 W ..so at Zenith
8) 7.0 ,Fiji ,on 9.11.2022 ,at 9.51 UTC ,
178 E..
..Sun setting..However...1 hr 20 minutes after Sun set
9)7.3, Tonga,11.11.2022 at 10.48 UTC
at 172 W....
...Sun is at 14 E ..So sharp at Nadir
10) 7.0 ,on 12.11.2022 ,at 7.09 UTC
at 178 W...Sun setting..
11) 7.0 ,on 22.11.2022, at 2.03 UTC at
160 East...Sun is at 150 E ..Zenith
Thus out of 11 major ,7+ quakes, we have
7 quakes exciting following
2 in margin of + or - 1 hr
1 is out side margin..1 hr and 20 minutes
1 Miss
Amit;
ReplyDeleteYou have 4 significant times, each 2 hours wide so odds are 8/24 of a hit by chance.
You beat the odds by a wide margin so your method may be significant but only a much larger test will count as proof.
I'm struggling with Truebasic but if/when I get it working right, I'll test a large sample of 7+ quakes against the sun position and we'll see what we get.
Roger