Saturday, December 02, 2023

Earthquake prediction for December 23

 

Heare are the dates ,at last.
I am extremely sorry ,to post the dates ,after the month has already started ( and we had one major quake also)
Due to busy office schedules and work carried home (unfortunately, no one pays you for your research work ,if not supported by institutes and no Institute support  Earthquake prediction reserch ,which is against the set norms and theory of plate tectonics)
By the way ,I was offered a reserch fellowship ,if I work on plate tectonics guidelines)
  Any way ,here are the dates.
This month the dates have + or - 12 hrs of window time ( all times in UTC)

1) 9th December 23....17.00 UTC
2)12th December........21.00 UTC
3)22nd  December......17.00 UTC
4)26th December........01.00 UTC
5)26th December.     . 23.00 UTC
6) 31st December......17.00 UTC

Epicenter location will be as per  my epicenter hypothesis

19 comments:

  1. Anonymous4:16 PM

    Amit;

    Do you have a list of all your predictions for the previous 5 years or so?

    Trying to evaluate your success rate. 6+ or whatever you use.

    Roger

    ReplyDelete
  2. Roger
    Yes
    All the dates are available on this blog itself
    May be 10 years and more
    Regards
    Amit

    ReplyDelete
  3. Anonymous9:50 AM

    Amit;

    Here's a sure fire prediction method.

    Divide each month into 3 consecutive day windows.

    Predict a 6+ quake for the center day, (+- 1 day).

    You'll get about 70% success.

    Roger

    ReplyDelete
  4. Anonymous3:49 PM

    Amit;

    How about putting all of them in one place?
    You know where they are and my time is getting short.
    I seem to hear a swishing sound, like a scythe, in the background.

    Roger

    ReplyDelete
  5. Anonymous6:34 PM

    Amit;

    Here's another thought; make a prediction for every third day in the month.

    If a quake happens, you score a hit of some kind. If there are enough quakes you get a high score.

    Can't fail unless there are no quakes at all.

    Roger

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Roger
      Hold it.
      For every third day prediction, you need 14 prediction dates.where as my dates are hardly 4 to 5
      Amit

      Delete
  6. Anonymous8:38 PM

    This comment has been removed by the author.

    ReplyDelete
  7. Anonymous1:40 PM

    amit

    that's not correct. It should go 1/2,1/5,1/8,1/11,1/14,1/17,1/20,1/23, etc.

    Roger

    ReplyDelete
  8. Anonymous10:35 AM

    Amit

    365/3 = 121+ predictions per year.

    31/3 = 10+ predictions per month

    The problem is that there are frequently not that many quakes.

    Roger

    ReplyDelete
  9. Anonymous2:20 PM

    Amit;

    For the years 2020 to 2024 you made 74 predictions and got 13 hits.

    Pretty poor, I'd say.

    Roger

    ReplyDelete
  10. Roger
    Without cross checking data ,I can say ,this statement is not correct.
    Just think..
    I ,generally predict 4 to 5 dates in a month.
    This could be 50 pa.
    50 for 4 years is not 200.
    I need not verify the other part ie only 13 hits
    Regards
    Amit

    ReplyDelete
  11. Anonymous6:18 PM

    Amit;

    You lost me there. I gave you a count from a list of all your predictions plotted on a list of all the quakes and 13 hits is all you got.

    Should I send you the list?

    Roger

    ReplyDelete
  12. Anonymous6:20 PM

    Amit;

    50 x 4 = 200

    Roger

    ReplyDelete
  13. Anonymous3:41 PM

    Amit;

    I have a file listing every prediction you made and every quake of the proper mag
    so don't even think that my count is incorrect. And yes, near (+/- 1 day) counts.

    Roger

    ReplyDelete
  14. Anonymous3:45 PM

    Amit;

    If you like, I can send you a copy of the list. Better yet, you can post the list here so everyone can see for themselves that my count is correct.

    Face it; you failed.

    Roger

    ReplyDelete
  15. Anonymous3:49 PM

    Amit;

    In addition, anyone who wishes can request a copy of the file and see for themselves
    how badly you lost.

    Roger

    ReplyDelete
  16. Roger
    I request you ,yourself post it here ,
    Let people know ,how badly I have performed during years 2020 to 2024
    Amit

    ReplyDelete
  17. Anonymous8:42 PM

    Amit

    This is driving me nuts!

    I'm trying to get printed proof of all your predictions from 2021 to 2024

    but I just can't do it from what's on this website.

    2021 is spotty and 2023 is nowhere to be found.

    Please, please for your own sake, post the list so I can do my part correctly.

    Roger

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Roger
      Ok
      Will provide for 2021 to 24

      Delete