tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post2772851850973700418..comments2024-03-28T20:31:49.909-07:00Comments on earthquake prediction: Earthquake Prediction for November -2016 AMIThttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11156510982882875208noreply@blogger.comBlogger125125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-196074642269072832017-05-26T15:00:27.315-07:002017-05-26T15:00:27.315-07:00The predictions are 73% wrong because Novemberladt...The predictions are 73% wrong because Novemberladt year a 7.8 quake hit NZ and the November 2016 NZ predictions from you guys we're only 6.4 for 15th.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-27497148589692161862017-05-26T14:53:28.449-07:002017-05-26T14:53:28.449-07:00Excuse ME, Anonymous what proof do you have that i...Excuse ME, Anonymous what proof do you have that it was 12:05 A.M.. It definitely was 12:02 A.M. Because I felt it and I remember the amazing Geonet website saying 7.8 12:02 A.M..Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-55836941892423968292016-12-31T09:51:29.341-08:002016-12-31T09:51:29.341-08:00Amit;
Another way to look at this is the ratio be...Amit;<br /><br />Another way to look at this is the ratio between observed and expected hits.<br /><br />You were 7/9 which is slightly better than chance where others were 3 and 4 times better than expected - by chance.<br /><br />Your method does not work. It produces it's results by chance.<br /><br />RogerRoger Hunterhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03159156315266044017noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-72753573807636548282016-12-03T13:28:51.522-08:002016-12-03T13:28:51.522-08:00Amit;
Final scores for November
4/12 quakes (33%...Amit;<br /><br />Final scores for November<br /><br />4/12 quakes (33%)<br /><br />2/3 preds (66%)<br /><br />9/30 days (30%)<br /><br />Slightly better than expected.<br /><br />Just chance.<br /><br />RogerRoger Hunterhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03159156315266044017noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-8423710147146205552016-11-27T19:14:08.071-08:002016-11-27T19:14:08.071-08:00Here are my dates:
2nd
12th
22nd
29th
P.S: All ...Here are my dates:<br /><br />2nd<br />12th<br />22nd <br />29th<br /><br />P.S: All these dates are absolutely random and no research made.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03177072379306503058noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-48394680177768786522016-11-27T18:59:50.896-08:002016-11-27T18:59:50.896-08:00Amit;
Ok, make it 3,15,21 and 29
One random date...Amit;<br /><br />Ok, make it 3,15,21 and 29<br /><br />One random date is as good as another.<br /><br />RogerRoger Hunterhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03159156315266044017noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-52797610111664328242016-11-27T18:13:25.926-08:002016-11-27T18:13:25.926-08:005th 10th 14th 17th5th 10th 14th 17thCuriouhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17428051223908599859noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-86859824965428892262016-11-27T16:16:17.251-08:002016-11-27T16:16:17.251-08:00Thanks
Curious,we want random dates, just pick up ...Thanks<br />Curious,we want random dates, just pick up chits from thirty spread randomly,it has nothing to do with full Moon or Perigee<br /> Jessica, I request you also to give four random dates. Four will be a good comparison.Roger I request one more date from you<br />Amit<br />AMIThttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11156510982882875208noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-40301460751608401762016-11-27T12:07:17.070-08:002016-11-27T12:07:17.070-08:00For the record, I was anonymous when I first asked...For the record, I was anonymous when I first asked the question to Roger about random predictions.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15858251552641440846noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-39761971648841971962016-11-27T10:42:05.871-08:002016-11-27T10:42:05.871-08:00Ok mine are 4th 7th 24th 28th Dec. Haven't see...Ok mine are 4th 7th 24th 28th Dec. Haven't seen yours yet so will be interesting.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15858251552641440846noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-243567339305180502016-11-27T09:26:40.651-08:002016-11-27T09:26:40.651-08:00Next full full moon with a perigee is 13th Dec. T...Next full full moon with a perigee is 13th Dec. That would be my first guessCuriouhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17428051223908599859noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-15419524162679349582016-11-27T07:05:09.933-08:002016-11-27T07:05:09.933-08:00Hi
All.
please give four random dates for Decembe...Hi<br /> All.<br />please give four random dates for December 2016. As I am going to give four probable dates for December 2016.It will be easier to compare my dates with all other dates .Dates expected from Roger, Anonymous, Philip and Curiou<br /><br />AmitAMIThttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11156510982882875208noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-2224180013880080202016-11-27T06:15:32.959-08:002016-11-27T06:15:32.959-08:00hi
I request Philip,Curiou and anonymous ,to give...hi<br /> I request Philip,Curiou and anonymous ,to give three random dates for December 2016,for 6+ quakes,with one one day window on both sides. This will ensure ,that out of three random dates<br />at least two are qual or better than my predictions<br />AmitAMIThttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11156510982882875208noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-65002138040691417032016-11-27T06:01:57.865-08:002016-11-27T06:01:57.865-08:00Philip
No. It does not cover three days on each s...Philip <br />No. It does not cover three days on each side. It is one day on either side,ie total of three days. So ,if I have given four days, it covers total 12 days ie less than 50% of the month<br /><br />AmitAMIThttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11156510982882875208noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-13328235170875742262016-11-27T03:38:32.697-08:002016-11-27T03:38:32.697-08:00I think 1 December is important day for newzeland....I think 1 December is important day for newzeland.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-74271034330191686752016-11-27T00:14:09.793-08:002016-11-27T00:14:09.793-08:00If that's 3 days each side that covers a fair ...If that's 3 days each side that covers a fair chunk of the month. Can you be more specific? Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15858251552641440846noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-48075121965077984962016-11-27T00:13:50.875-08:002016-11-27T00:13:50.875-08:00If that's 3 days each side that covers a fair ...If that's 3 days each side that covers a fair chunk of the month. Can you be more specific? Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15858251552641440846noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-76142730439431554162016-11-26T21:56:29.999-08:002016-11-26T21:56:29.999-08:00Roger
Ok.
Thanks
AmitRoger<br />Ok.<br />Thanks<br />AmitAMIThttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11156510982882875208noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-18453562847502110142016-11-26T21:45:49.652-08:002016-11-26T21:45:49.652-08:00Amit;
Yes, December random predictions as request...Amit;<br /><br />Yes, December random predictions as requested by Anonymous for comparison with yours.<br /><br />RogerRoger Hunterhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03159156315266044017noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-80163560573434660682016-11-26T21:22:33.810-08:002016-11-26T21:22:33.810-08:00Roger
Are you talking of December 2016 prediction ...Roger<br />Are you talking of December 2016 prediction ?<br /> I will be posting dates for December by Sunday evening<br />AmitAMIThttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11156510982882875208noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-83137308392120239132016-11-26T19:56:15.423-08:002016-11-26T19:56:15.423-08:00Sure;
3rd, 15th, 25th
3 day windows, mag 6+, sam...Sure;<br /><br />3rd, 15th, 25th<br /><br />3 day windows, mag 6+, same as Amit.<br /><br />RogerRoger Hunterhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03159156315266044017noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-23668354369868496412016-11-26T16:26:44.960-08:002016-11-26T16:26:44.960-08:00Roger, can you throw some earthquake predictions ...Roger, can you throw some earthquake predictions out there for next month to show us all how "chance" or a "coin toss" goes vs Amit. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-28702012936246246052016-11-26T16:22:40.156-08:002016-11-26T16:22:40.156-08:00Roger. Can you have a crack at predicting next mon...Roger. Can you have a crack at predicting next month's earthquakes to see how "chance" goes vs Amit.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15858251552641440846noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-46397161112674136192016-11-26T06:44:27.319-08:002016-11-26T06:44:27.319-08:00Do you think we will get another big one in new ze...Do you think we will get another big one in new zealand anytime soon? <br />Curiounoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-80726685669893751762016-11-26T06:43:14.662-08:002016-11-26T06:43:14.662-08:00Amit;
Ooops! Another one on the 22nd.
That makes...Amit;<br /><br />Ooops! Another one on the 22nd.<br /><br />That makes 4/9 quakes and 2/3 predictions correct.<br /><br />Still coin toss results and any in the rest of the month will make it worse.<br /><br />Roger <br />Rogernoreply@blogger.com