tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post3652546445748676865..comments2024-03-28T20:31:49.909-07:00Comments on earthquake prediction: Earthquake Prediction for the month of October 2016AMIThttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11156510982882875208noreply@blogger.comBlogger53125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-68530881908540306852016-10-30T19:53:09.196-07:002016-10-30T19:53:09.196-07:00Roger
It is OK.
I do not want you to count.Howev...Roger <br />It is OK. <br />I do not want you to count.However, I have to see as to whether it is congruent to my theory or not.<br /> It is not important for me that, seismologist or people at large count it a hit, it is for me to explain (as a third person),that it is as per theory norms.<br />AmitAMIThttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11156510982882875208noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-72842197085468025342016-10-30T19:14:11.132-07:002016-10-30T19:14:11.132-07:00Amit;
Sorry, doesn't count.
RogerAmit;<br /><br />Sorry, doesn't count.<br /><br />RogerRoger Hunterhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03159156315266044017noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-88777825876818164532016-10-30T18:49:03.809-07:002016-10-30T18:49:03.809-07:00.....(correction)
22nd was the probable date......(correction)<br />22nd was the probable date.AMIThttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11156510982882875208noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-2040518785864144292016-10-30T18:42:50.642-07:002016-10-30T18:42:50.642-07:00Roger and all esteemed friends
Happy Dipawali and...Roger and all esteemed friends<br /> Happy Dipawali and Prosperous new year.<br />Roger, we have a week long festivals of Dipawali (Last day of Hiundu calender year)and ,today is the first day of next calender year. I was out of station and busy ,could not access net.<br /> Now, look at the theory yourself. You are now well conversent with my theory triggers and some ground rules.<br /> Yesterday was a new moon day<br /> Sun is coming closer<br /> 22nd was the problem date (last), 7th or 8th day is more probable.Hence ,30th or 31st is more probable to quake<br />AmitAMIThttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11156510982882875208noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-31956998157592412712016-10-30T12:05:23.721-07:002016-10-30T12:05:23.721-07:00Amit;
Good start, bad finish.
You made 2 predict...Amit;<br /><br />Good start, bad finish.<br /><br />You made 2 predictions this month.<br /><br />The first one got nothing, the second captured all 3 quakes, the only ones that month.<br /><br />But there were 4 more quakes and no windows so (barring any quakes today) your score is:<br /><br />1/2 predictions correct, 3/7 quakes captured.<br /><br />Again, coin toss odds.<br /><br />RogerRoger Hunterhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03159156315266044017noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-5367959341947757052016-10-26T23:38:25.637-07:002016-10-26T23:38:25.637-07:00Italy27th oct!!Italy27th oct!!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-72482276777628280792016-10-25T06:19:34.525-07:002016-10-25T06:19:34.525-07:00Saying this though, this 28th day, 1 moon haveth p...Saying this though, this 28th day, 1 moon haveth passed since Wellington shookAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-77607365488011883622016-10-25T06:18:16.764-07:002016-10-25T06:18:16.764-07:00Anonynous
Yes, Moon has greatest effect on the ti...Anonynous<br /> Yes, Moon has greatest effect on the tide. However ,all full Moon and New Moon do not produce quakes.However,Moon at Perigee, Jupiter closest, Venus Closer and major planets changing direcions , will act as a trigger.<br />AmitAMIThttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11156510982882875208noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-30884398426036739122016-10-25T05:41:38.864-07:002016-10-25T05:41:38.864-07:00The difference between a strong moon tide and week...The difference between a strong moon tide and week moon tide is massive. Adding Jupiter to your macro is like tipping a cup of tea in the sea. Any credibility lostAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-19569179165029086342016-10-20T22:39:05.211-07:002016-10-20T22:39:05.211-07:00Hi
One more quake ,6.6 at Japan today ie 21st.Yes...Hi<br /> One more quake ,6.6 at Japan today ie 21st.Yes, I could not confirm again the earlier said date ie 22nd. But you can make put correctness of prediction<br />AmitAMIThttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11156510982882875208noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-43298327242244419762016-10-20T18:17:36.995-07:002016-10-20T18:17:36.995-07:00What about nzWhat about nzAnonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01064993181179632142noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-2012824183720405592016-10-17T05:19:23.636-07:002016-10-17T05:19:23.636-07:00Amit;
Yes, 2 qualifying quakes in your prediction...Amit;<br /><br />Yes, 2 qualifying quakes in your prediction window.<br /><br />Yes, it's just chance.<br /><br />RogerRoger Hunterhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03159156315266044017noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-20770971095783557172016-10-17T04:50:30.162-07:002016-10-17T04:50:30.162-07:00Hi
Watch earlier post.Atleast two 6.5+ quakes pre...Hi<br /> Watch earlier post.Atleast two 6.5+ quakes predicted in window period.<br />Here are two 6.5 quakes.<br /> Are these confirm statements/predictions, just a fluke, out of the hat predictions or below average occurances<br />AmitAMIThttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11156510982882875208noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-60012933452211155412016-10-17T01:05:17.764-07:002016-10-17T01:05:17.764-07:00Jessica
Two major quakes today, only few hours apa...Jessica<br />Two major quakes today, only few hours apart and not connected by any plate boundary.<br />6.9 at PNG<br />6.4 at China<br />Any doubt about theory.<br /> No 6+ quake for first 16 days of month and now couple of 6.5+ quakes few hours apart.<br /> Roger ,also need to note and comment<br />AmitAMIThttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11156510982882875208noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-40376857758772245142016-10-16T18:30:25.161-07:002016-10-16T18:30:25.161-07:00Still no earthquake thank godStill no earthquake thank godAnonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01064993181179632142noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-40393697040061683862016-10-15T18:20:52.867-07:002016-10-15T18:20:52.867-07:00Amit;
We've examined all this already and fou...Amit;<br /><br />We've examined all this already and found nothing better than chance.<br /><br />RogerRoger Hunterhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03159156315266044017noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-32857570976853489002016-10-15T09:08:54.744-07:002016-10-15T09:08:54.744-07:00Roger
A date hit can never be window miss.This is ...Roger<br />A date hit can never be window miss.This is because window comprises of date predicted and +or - one day.<br /> My date selection is little tricky.<br />It try to incule as many triggers in three day window.<br /> For example<br />1)15th date Moon opposes Juptiter<br />2)16th date Moon opposes Sun<br />3)17th date Moon at Perigee.<br />For taking in account all three major triggers,I have selected 16th as the date.<br />Now, we have first quake for first trigger.We may have two more for remaining two triggers and that too stronger in magnitude,as these two triggers are more potent.<br /> For more specifics ,you may check exact time of Moon opposing Sun and coming Closest. Quakes could be nearer to these time.<br /> Further ,extension of this theory is at the time of Moon opposing Sun and coming Closest, check Moon position. The location where Moon is at overhead or 180 degree s apart are the probable location of quakes<br />AmitAMIThttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11156510982882875208noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-17633471226416957552016-10-15T07:35:56.569-07:002016-10-15T07:35:56.569-07:00Amit;
On second thought, if you want to make that...Amit;<br /><br />On second thought, if you want to make that distinction a date hit will also be a window miss, counting against you.<br /><br />You should reconsider that distinction. A window prediction has equal probability for each day since you are not predicting which day will have a quake. You can't claim more credit for one of them.<br /><br />RogerRoger Hunterhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03159156315266044017noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-18424345038719915332016-10-15T07:24:47.208-07:002016-10-15T07:24:47.208-07:00Amit;
I didn't know you distinguished between...Amit;<br /><br />I didn't know you distinguished between date and window hits.<br /><br />If so, they have different probabilities, the date hit being less probable and therefore worth more.<br /><br />RogerRoger Hunterhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03159156315266044017noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-18710073485753027302016-10-15T05:42:07.809-07:002016-10-15T05:42:07.809-07:00Roger
No.It is not a date hit prediction, but in w...Roger<br />No.It is not a date hit prediction, but in window period.<br /> Date hit may come tomorrow<br />AmitAMIThttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11156510982882875208noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-16452232294772627782016-10-15T05:18:15.253-07:002016-10-15T05:18:15.253-07:00Amit;
Yes, this is a date hit so at this point yo...Amit;<br /><br />Yes, this is a date hit so at this point you are<br /><br />1/2 predictions correct, 1/1 quakes correct.<br /><br />RogerRoger Hunterhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03159156315266044017noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-30264835908203300552016-10-15T04:27:00.684-07:002016-10-15T04:27:00.684-07:00Oh!
PNG quake is upgraded to 6.4.
Watch out the ac...Oh!<br />PNG quake is upgraded to 6.4.<br />Watch out the accuracy ,even magnitude wise also.<br /> Yet one more (atleast ) to come<br />AmitAMIThttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11156510982882875208noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-67188874630156886032016-10-15T01:37:08.579-07:002016-10-15T01:37:08.579-07:00This comment has been removed by the author.AMIThttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11156510982882875208noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-71004158629710375682016-10-15T01:34:33.727-07:002016-10-15T01:34:33.727-07:00Hi
First 6 quake at PNG today ie on 15th Oct 2016....Hi<br />First 6 quake at PNG today ie on 15th Oct 2016.<br /> Pl note this is a hit prediction.<br /> I expect at least one more 6+ quake in the window , may be 6.5+ quake<br />AmitAMIThttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11156510982882875208noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-71357837413663389722016-10-13T06:43:32.755-07:002016-10-13T06:43:32.755-07:00Roger
I am sorry for repeated posts. May be due t...Roger<br /> I am sorry for repeated posts. May be due to net connectivity problem and posted more than once.<br /> Yes. Roger, I am sure and I stand by what I have said<br />AmitAMIThttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11156510982882875208noreply@blogger.com