tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post6720807458551361620..comments2024-03-28T20:31:49.909-07:00Comments on earthquake prediction: Japan ,7.1and Mexico,6.5 earthquakes on 7Th April 2011AMIThttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11156510982882875208noreply@blogger.comBlogger11125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-4232308867553858882011-04-13T06:22:48.264-07:002011-04-13T06:22:48.264-07:00Respected Amit Sir and Roger Sir,
I want to me...Respected Amit Sir and Roger Sir, <br /><br /> I want to mention that tectonic plate theory is correct , only thing is it can not be used for predicting quakes for short term ( like 5 day range or so.). That theory can be used to tell how stresses are developed and how they are released , faults and so many other important things. It does not give when ( in short terms ). It gives answers in years. <br /> My point is we need to only prove that very major quakes can be predicted by short range of days , say 5 days range or so. We shall NOT disagree with plate tectonics at all . I have noted that small quakes happen on every day and they need not be predicted at all. Even medium quakes of 5 to 6 magnitude are fairly common and you need not predict it ( my theory shows that also ) ( as they can occur every day ; with whatever gravity and planets moon's positions with less magnitudes and high probability of 90% + ) . <br />Only very major like 7+ Mag quakes or so occur as per gravity rules and <br />planets, moon's position and sun's position ( as per distance, declinations, moon's phases etc) . <br />Japan quake of 11th March 2011 was one great example of low gravity and great quake. <br />Earth may give one more great quake ( of 8.5 + Mag to 9+ Mag ) in May 2011 ( total 90% probability for May ) . It may occur in 1st week of May , <br />around 3rd May 2011 ( + - 3 days range here as special case ) . There is also a probability that it can occur around 10th May or full moon days like from 17th may to 21st May 2011. <br />Note that there is still 9% chance that it will occur in June OR 1% chance that one more great quake will not occur in June also. Note that location can NOT be predicted but nations which have quake-prone areas need to be alert ! So Japan , California, Indonesia , Peru , Chile and China need to be alert.<br /><br />- Santosh Phadnis <br />_____________________Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-32631586518759248952011-04-11T05:39:54.095-07:002011-04-11T05:39:54.095-07:00Hahaha...Do you know many organisations admitting ...Hahaha...Do you know many organisations admitting they are wrong or they have failed to deliver (value for money)? Keep smiling you may be surprised how quickly news spread ...Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-15224090632550999772011-04-11T03:12:14.429-07:002011-04-11T03:12:14.429-07:00Remi
7.1(6.6?)to day ie 11th April 2011 eastern H...Remi<br /> 7.1(6.6?)to day ie 11th April 2011 eastern Honsu right on time ,may be few Hrs off.<br /> Why are we not beleving such striking accuracy?<br /> DO we still say it is by Chance?<br /> AmitAMIThttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11156510982882875208noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-82267565396946329592011-04-11T01:59:36.716-07:002011-04-11T01:59:36.716-07:00spot on AMIT a few hours off
Remispot on AMIT a few hours off<br />RemiAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-18492080679789180712011-04-09T22:02:55.405-07:002011-04-09T22:02:55.405-07:00Hi
6.1 earthquake at Kyushu ,Japan on 9th April ...Hi <br /> 6.1 earthquake at Kyushu ,Japan on 9th April 2011 as predicted.<br /> Though,this s not all ,yet to come some quakes by 11th April 2011<br />Place not known<br /> AmitAMIThttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11156510982882875208noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-86414937069523159562011-04-08T20:41:07.073-07:002011-04-08T20:41:07.073-07:00Roger
These are not convincing answers.
1) It ta...Roger<br /> These are not convincing answers.<br /><br />1) It takes hundreds of years to build up stresses over a fault line. What are the odds of occurring an event (major quake) with n numbers of major fault lines and with frequency running in hundreds of years,to occur on a given day? <br /><br />2)Evidence rather reason is ,the given date is prone to major quakes.As the earth evolves along axis the resultant pull act on different locations, directly under the influence of pull .Hence quakes/places all over the globe on given date<br /><br />3) same as 1) above<br /><br />4)Ok . We will know it in couple of days, after detailed study <br /><br />5) Time and again we have seen this, happening around the globe<br /> If we see USGS 7 day quake map (2.5+),we can see some weeks have as high as 700 total quakes ,where as generally it is about 200 to 225 per week<br /><br /> http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/recenteqsww/<br /><br /> Why such discrepancies?<br /> AmitAMIThttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11156510982882875208noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-59775439136680194602011-04-08T20:19:49.091-07:002011-04-08T20:19:49.091-07:00oh .sorry. It is April 2011 ,current month
AMitoh .sorry. It is April 2011 ,current month<br />AMitAMIThttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11156510982882875208noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-88048817088512331852011-04-08T15:49:30.146-07:002011-04-08T15:49:30.146-07:00April not August,April not August,Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-53407449481607252152011-04-08T05:56:31.016-07:002011-04-08T05:56:31.016-07:00Amit;
> 1)How and why these two quakes Japan a...Amit;<br /><br />> 1)How and why these two quakes Japan and Mexico on same day?<br /><br />Why not?<br /><br />> 2)Are these quakes connected to each other in any way?<br /><br />Probably not. If you think they are you must give evidence.<br /><br />> 3)Are they on same plate boundry? if not how the maximum stress relieved on the same day?<br /><br />No. And again, why not?<br /><br />> 4)Is this Japan quake is aftershock? or a seperate shock? <br /><br />A matter of definition, without detailed look at the fault mechanisms.<br /><br />> 5) Are some dates prone to major quakes/eruptions all over the Globe?<br /><br />No.<br /><br />> Why are we not asking such key queations ?<br /><br />Because we already know the answers.<br /><br />> Whay are we not so stringent in asking questions to plate tectonics?<br /><br />Because it fits all the facts better than anything else we know about.<br /><br />> Think out of the box. What we know is not always correct.<br /><br />But the box is where the evidence is kept and we're right far more often than wrong.<br /><br />RogerRoger Hunterhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03159156315266044017noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-24922183869834161992011-04-08T03:07:03.746-07:002011-04-08T03:07:03.746-07:00you all have the questions but what are the answer...you all have the questions but what are the answers.who will do this<br />gbgbhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17083648152243125988noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-33745988515500477832011-04-08T01:31:42.480-07:002011-04-08T01:31:42.480-07:00Quite Right Amit, Its about time we get answers in...Quite Right Amit, Its about time we get answers instead of hot air.<br />Remi.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com