tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post8075988900633308021..comments2024-03-28T10:05:49.688-07:00Comments on earthquake prediction: Earthquakes and natural Disasters-Actual vs PredictedAMIThttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11156510982882875208noreply@blogger.comBlogger19125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-91159343341889426082010-05-07T03:46:59.865-07:002010-05-07T03:46:59.865-07:00hi
please see the datails of Atmosphere tide
Ot...hi<br /> please see the datails of Atmosphere tide<br /> <br />Other Tides<br /><br />Oceanic tides are not alone, there are also atmospheric tides (air is a liquid), and terrestrial or land tides that affect the Earth. Atmospheric tides are drowned out by the much more radical effects of weather and solar thermal tides. The Earth's crust, rises and falls as if it were breathing due to the Moon's pull. On average, terrestrial tides have an amplitude of 1.5 m at the equator and since they are only two hours behind the moon, they reinforce oceanic tides. In 1686, Isaac Newton became the first to give a mathematical explanation of tidal forces in the Philosophiae Naturalis Principia Mathematica. It is interesting to note there are several terms using the word “tide” that have nothing to do with tides. These include: tidal wave, rip tide, storm tide and <br /> reference<br />http://marinebio.org/Oceans/currents-tides.aspAMIThttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11156510982882875208noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-63198297174777004492010-05-01T09:01:10.214-07:002010-05-01T09:01:10.214-07:00Roger
tank you very much
Regards
AmitRoger<br /> tank you very much<br /> Regards<br /> AmitAMIThttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11156510982882875208noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-84941788381438788742010-05-01T07:25:34.785-07:002010-05-01T07:25:34.785-07:00Amit
Yes but you didn't predict anything that...Amit<br /><br />Yes but you didn't predict anything that small did you?<br /><br />The sun also came up both of those days too.<br /><br />RogerRoger Hunterhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03159156315266044017noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-70540068991989681542010-04-30T23:01:07.260-07:002010-04-30T23:01:07.260-07:00Hi
pl note two quakes 6.3 and 6.1 at Bering sea o...Hi <br />pl note two quakes 6.3 and 6.1 at Bering sea on 30Th April 2010AMIThttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11156510982882875208noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-10090022199426639432010-04-29T05:34:54.312-07:002010-04-29T05:34:54.312-07:00亲爱的G702
我有翻译通过谷歌翻译的话,我很抱歉,他们都是非国家议会以及庸俗。
我请你不要再这样做...亲爱的G702<br />我有翻译通过谷歌翻译的话,我很抱歉,他们都是非国家议会以及庸俗。<br />我请你不要再这样做了同样的<br />非常感谢<br />关于<br />阿米特AMIThttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11156510982882875208noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-71793645447982899032010-04-28T06:19:29.186-07:002010-04-28T06:19:29.186-07:00Amit;
Will you admit you were wrong if nothing ha...Amit;<br /><br />Will you admit you were wrong if nothing happens?<br /><br />RogerRoger Hunterhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03159156315266044017noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-24404525877317522662010-04-27T23:14:14.663-07:002010-04-27T23:14:14.663-07:00hi
As per cycle tidal force theory and as already ...hi<br />As per cycle tidal force theory and as already mentioned earlier, on 28 and 29th April 2010, 15 day cycle (of China quake and Iceland eruption) completes.Hence, there are chances of both during these two days.<br /> To be precise 28th April2010 between 1130 UTC to 1530 UTCAMIThttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11156510982882875208noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-71081935483652564642010-04-27T09:48:31.066-07:002010-04-27T09:48:31.066-07:00Dear G702
I have translated the words through Goo...Dear G702<br /> I have translated the words through Google translator and I am sorry to state they are non parliamentary as well as vulgar.<br /> I request you to refrain from doing the same again<br /> Thank you very much<br /> regards<br /> AmitAMIThttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11156510982882875208noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-91646519994366826922010-04-27T07:54:27.032-07:002010-04-27T07:54:27.032-07:00Amit;
Sorry; no offense intended. It was a seriou...Amit;<br /><br />Sorry; no offense intended. It was a serious question.<br /><br />RogerRoger Hunterhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03159156315266044017noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-80459449055691110482010-04-27T05:20:33.296-07:002010-04-27T05:20:33.296-07:00hi
I am sorry sir, I could not understand your la...hi<br /> I am sorry sir, I could not understand your laungauge<br />regards<br /> AmitAMIThttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11156510982882875208noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-2953125993400881842010-04-27T00:56:09.701-07:002010-04-27T00:56:09.701-07:00Roger
Thank you very much. I thought blogs are u...Roger<br /> Thank you very much. I thought blogs are used by gentlemen<br />regards <br /> AmitAMIThttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11156510982882875208noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-88355541552688645472010-04-26T10:30:51.550-07:002010-04-26T10:30:51.550-07:00Amit;
The reverse is also true;
If it's true...Amit;<br /><br />The reverse is also true;<br /><br />If it's true statistically it's also true practically.<br /><br />Therefore the case is closed and I'm right.<br /><br />The problem with your explanation is that it doesn't work. The effect you propose is not observed in nature. Thus you are wrong.<br /><br />How did you get to be an engineer without learning any statistics?<br /><br />RogerRoger Hunterhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03159156315266044017noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-25136489371904352392010-04-26T10:30:02.758-07:002010-04-26T10:30:02.758-07:00Amit;
Plate tectonics have no problem with cluste...Amit;<br /><br />Plate tectonics have no problem with clusters. Different faults have different circumstances. Some store energy to a critical level and release it all at once. Some crackle before they break (foreshocks), some have many aftershocks and some do not.<br /><br />The ratio you propose is not necessary. A prediction is right or wrong and one quake is all that's needed for a hit.<br /><br />RogerRoger Hunterhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03159156315266044017noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-7036342673743501682010-04-26T10:21:39.736-07:002010-04-26T10:21:39.736-07:00Amit;
The reverse is also true;
If it's true...Amit;<br /><br />The reverse is also true;<br /><br />If it's true statistically it's also true practically.<br /><br />Therefore the case is closed and I'm right.<br /><br />The problem with your explanation is that it doesn't work. The effect you propose is not observed in nature. Thus you are wrong.<br /><br />How did you get to be an engineer without learning any statistics?<br /><br />RogerRoger Hunterhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03159156315266044017noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-87060511549180277572010-04-26T10:03:41.257-07:002010-04-26T10:03:41.257-07:00ROGER
What about clusters?Some dates do have clus...ROGER<br /> What about clusters?Some dates do have clusters ,that plate tectonic does not believe or neglect them because they do not suit the theory itself.All hits should be multiplied by a ratio (total number of quakes in window period/ total numbers of quakes in a year)<br />regards <br /> AmitAMIThttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11156510982882875208noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-74151914244055404422010-04-26T09:47:25.759-07:002010-04-26T09:47:25.759-07:00Roger
1)If it is true statistically,if should be ...Roger<br /> 1)If it is true statistically,if should be true practically also<br /> 2) I will explain how cyclones and tornado (not forest fire is also a part of tidal force theory<br /> Tidal force acts on all layers<br />a)Lava<br />b)ocean water<br />C)Earth crust<br />d)Atmosphere<br /> If at a given time if high tide forces are acting on x-x axis,low tide will be observed at y-y axis (90 (degrees)<br /> At x-x axis there will be chance of quakes or eruption depending upon crust,as there is internal pressure<br /> At y-y axis ,there will be low pressure created de to low tidal acting on it. The moment ,place moves away from low tide force ,high pressure air rushes to fill the partial vacuum,which in turn create tornado.If the air rush through ocean at 26 to 28 degree temprature,it gathers momenum and creates cyclones<br /> There is no scientific reason for forest fire or war.<br /> And yes you are right ,the sun will shine tomorrow,even if you or I close our eyes <br /> Roger, unless I have scientific explanation ,I will not believe any thing including plate tectonic theory. Basically I am an Engineer with through out distinction in academic records and a National merit holder<br /> Regards <br /> AmitAMIThttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11156510982882875208noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-28570642455729955462010-04-26T08:21:35.988-07:002010-04-26T08:21:35.988-07:00Amit;
BTW, if you add in tornadoes, cyclones, hur...Amit;<br /><br />BTW, if you add in tornadoes, cyclones, hurricanes and forest fires, all you do is increase the probability of a hit which lowers the significance of the result.<br /><br />As in "I predict the sun will rise tomorrow morning".<br /><br />RogerRoger Hunterhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03159156315266044017noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-40130431332624887352010-04-26T08:14:33.038-07:002010-04-26T08:14:33.038-07:00Amit;
Just to save you the trouble, I ran the tes...Amit;<br /><br />Just to save you the trouble, I ran the test for you.<br /><br />I took all the 6+ quakes in 2008 and found the chances of a hit in a 3 day window was 0.7295<br /><br />Then I selected 10 random dates for each of 3 cases and checked each one for a hit in a 3 day window. The total hits for each case was recorded.<br /><br />Finally I counted the number of times all 3 cases had more hits than expected in 100 runs.<br /><br />Typically there were 12 or 13 such winners in every 100 trial run.<br /><br />Do you believe now?<br /><br />RogerRoger Hunterhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03159156315266044017noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-33253361.post-62059993736141228192010-04-26T07:17:48.313-07:002010-04-26T07:17:48.313-07:00Amit;
That's not a good test.
It's entir...Amit;<br /><br />That's not a good test.<br /><br />It's entirely possible for 3 people to make 10 predictions apiece and have them all come out better than expected - by chance.<br /><br />Run a test like that on a past year so you don't have to wait a year for results.<br /><br />RogerRoger Hunterhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03159156315266044017noreply@blogger.com