earthquake prediction
Think out of the box,Earthquakes can be predicted. Donate research paypal e mail account amitjdave@yahoo.com PayPal.Me/earthquakeprediction
Monday, March 16, 2026
Prediction for Volcanic eruptions
https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2026/03/260315004411.htm
watch this
How if my potent dates ,with + or - 1 day ,observed carefully for such jerks.
why we can nit work together
18th and 19th March earthquakes prediction
Disclaimer
The following information is based on my independent research hypothesis regarding major earthquake timing and epicenter geometry.
This hypothesis has not been approved, validated, or peer-reviewed by any institute, organization, or professional seismologist.
Earthquakes/eruptions may or may not occur during the periods mentioned below.
This note is shared solely for academic record and observational purposes.
No public action, warning, or response is required.
Major quakes predicted ( 6.5+),as well as Volcanic eruptions, for the dates 18th and 19th March 2026 for the longitudes band 120E to 150 E are as follows.
Date and time as per UTC
1) 18th March 2026
01.00 UTC
2) 19th March 2026
02.00 UTC
To be more precise
1) 18th March 2026
01.00 UTC
At 155 East
Or 25 West
Or Where Sun / Moon are rising or setting at that time( with + or - 45 minutes margin)
2)19th March 2026
02.00 UTC
At 150 East Or 30 West
Or
Where Sun/Moon are rising or Setting( with + or -45 minutes margin
Major quake prediction for 18th and 19th March 2026
Disclaimer
The following information is based on my independent research hypothesis regarding major earthquake timing and epicenter geometry.
This hypothesis has not been approved, validated, or peer-reviewed by any institute, organization, or professional seismologist.
Earthquakes/eruptions may or may not occur during the periods mentioned below.
This note is shared solely for academic record and observational purposes.
No public action, warning, or response is required.
Major quakes predicted ( 6.5+),as well as Volcanic eruptions, for the dates 18th and 19th March 2026 for the longitudes band 120E to 150 E are as follows.
Date and time as per UTC
1) 18th March 2026
01.00 UTC
2) 19th March 2026
02.00 UTC
Friday, March 13, 2026
My prediction date test with ChatGPT and Gemini
#usgs
USGS Natural Hazards Science
Live score
Here is a competition results between
Two AI ( Chat GPT and Gemini ) with Amit Dave
1Rules are
1) Everyone have to give 4 probable dates for quakes 6 and above ,anywhere at any depth
2) USGS catlog be used
3) Dates to be given by 26th of February 2026 ,for March 26 prediction
4) Margin is + or - 1 day
5) Date hits...+5
6)Margin hits ...+3
7) Quake out side margin..-1 marks
Today ,yet another 6+ date hit quke ,today at chile
+5 marks for Amit Dave
+3for Gemini
-1 for Chat GPT
The score as on 13th March 2026 ( as per UTC) is as follows
Amit Dave.....+13
Chat GPT.....+3
Gemini.......+5
Thursday, March 05, 2026
Second pase Prediction evaluation rules
EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION COMPARISON – FINAL SCORING RULES
(Effective April–June 2026)
1. Data Source and Event Definition
All earthquake information will be taken from the USGS Earthquake Catalog.
Only earthquakes of Magnitude 6.0 and above (M6+) will be considered.
Event time will follow USGS origin time (UTC) with seconds accuracy.
Earthquakes occurring anywhere on the globe and at any depth will be considered.
2. Prediction Dates
Each participant must publish four (4) fixed prediction dates for the month.
These dates must be published on or before the 28th day of the previous month (UTC).
Once published, prediction dates cannot be changed during that month.
Example:
For April predictions, dates must be published on or before 28 March (UTC).
3. Prediction Window
For each predicted date D, the valid evaluation window will be:
D − 1 day, D, and D + 1 day (UTC)
Example:
Prediction = 10 April
Window = 9 April, 10 April, 11 April (UTC).
4. Exact Date Hit Score
MagnitudeScore6.0 – 6.9+57.0 – 7.4+107.5 and above+15
An exact hit occurs when the earthquake happens on the predicted date (UTC).
5. Window Hit Score
MagnitudeScore6.0 – 6.9+37.0 – 7.4+57.5 and above+10
A window hit occurs when the earthquake happens on D−1 or D+1.
6. Miss Penalty
MagnitudePenalty6.0 – 6.9−17.0 – 7.4−37.5 and above−5
Two types of misses are defined:
(a) Prediction Miss:
If no qualifying earthquake occurs within the prediction window (D−1, D, D+1), the prediction is considered a miss and the above penalty applies.
(b) Unpredicted Earthquake:
If an earthquake of M6.0 or higher occurs outside all prediction windows, a penalty will be applied according to the same scale above.
Each such earthquake will be treated as a separate miss event.
7. Scoring Method
Scores will be updated daily based on UTC dates.
A running total score will be maintained throughout the month.
8. Experiment Duration
Phase 1: March 2026 – evaluation using the original rules already in use.
Phase 2: Revised rules (this sheet) will apply for:
• April 2026
• May 2026
• June 2026
9. Transparency
Prediction dates must be published in advance.
Rules remain frozen during each month.
Results will be publicly documented.
10. Multiple Earthquakes in a Window
If more than one M6.0+ earthquake occurs within a prediction window, each earthquake will be scored separately according to the rules.
Example:
Two earthquakes M6.1 and M6.5 on the predicted date → +5 +5 = +10.
11. USGS Catalog Authority
The USGS Earthquake Catalog will be the only official reference for magnitude, origin time, and location.
If USGS later revises the magnitude of an earthquake (for example from M6.0 to M5.8), the score will be adjusted according to the revised catalog value.
12. Open Participation
This exercise is open to anyone who wishes to participate.
Members of the public, researchers, or seismologists in particular may submit four (4) prediction dates for the month, following the same rules and deadlines.
13. Seismic Sequence Rule (Mainshock and Aftershocks)
If a large earthquake produces a sequence of related earthquakes (aftershocks), scoring from that seismic sequence will be limited to a maximum of three earthquakes of M6.0 or higher.
The largest earthquake in the sequence (mainshock) will always be counted.
Up to two additional M6+ earthquakes from the same sequence may also be counted if they fall within valid prediction windows.
A seismic sequence is defined as earthquakes occurring:
• within 300 km of the mainshock epicenter, and
• within 30 days after the mainshock.
Score as in 4th March 26
#USGS
Earthquake prediction dates
Score as on 4th March 2026
Chat GPT +4
Gemini 0
Amit Dave +10
Keep watching
Tuesday, March 03, 2026
Score card for March 26, up to 3rd March
The Scrore of my Earthquake Prediction for the month of March with ChatGPT and Gemini AI ,up to 3rd March 2026 is as follows
1) Chat GPT +1
2) Gemini -3
3) Amit Dave +7
Rules are
a) Date hit 6 and above quake..+5 marks for each quake
b) Margin hit ,ie + or -1 day.. + 3 fo each quake
c) Each 6 and above miss quake -1 mark
Four dates given by all of us
Keep watching
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