Major Earthquake prediction riles and open compitation

EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION COMPARISON – FINAL SCORING RULES (Effective April–June 2026 PART I- Rules 1. Data Source and Event Definition All earthquake information will be taken from the USGS Earthquake Catalog. Only earthquakes of Magnitude 6.0 and above (M6+) will be considered. Event time will follow USGS origin time (UTC) with minutes accuracy. Earthquakes occurring anywhere on the globe and at any depth will be considered. 2. Prediction Dates Each participant must publish four (4) fixed prediction dates for the month. These dates must be published on or before the 29th day of the previous month (UTC). However ,a participant can give date and UTC time simultaneously. It means ,the time window is + or - 12 hrs from the time ,in UTC, Once published, prediction dates and time cannot be changed during that month. Example: For April predictions, dates must be published on or before 29th March (UTC). 3. Prediction Window Thre is no window period if date is given in UTC with no time mentioned. There will be a + or - 12 hrs window if the date and time in UTC both are given by any participant 4. Only Date Hit prediction are counted as hit ( All dates ate as per UTC) A 6 and above quake in + or - 12 hrs ,if the date and time both are mentioned by a participant( All dates and Time are as per UTC) Scores will ba as mentioned below 6.0 – 6.9....+5 marks 7.0 – 7.4...+10 marks 7.5 and above.. +15 marks 5. Window Hit. As the evaluation is done on date hit predictions only ( UTC date) ,there is no window hit and window marks if only dates are given. However ,if date and time ( UTC ) both are given ,the window is + or - 12 hrs from the date and time ,in UTC ,given by a participant 6. Miss Penalty Magnitude Penalty A) False Alarm penalry 6.0 – 6.9..−1 marks 7.0 – 7.4...−3 marks 7.5 and above....−5 marks If no qualifying earthquake occurs within the prediction date ( of only date is given) and within + or -12 hrs if time in UTC of dare is also given.the prediction is considered a miss. B) If a qualifying earthquake occur out side the date predicted ( UTC date) or outside + or -12 hrs window if time in UTC is also given,there will be penalty of -1 for all 6 and above quakes 7. Scoring Method Scores will be updated daily based on UTC dates.and UTC time A running total score will be maintained throughout the month. 8. Experiment Duration Phase 1: March 2026 – evaluated using the original rules already in use. Phase 2: Revised rules (this sheet) will apply for: April 2026 May 2026 June 2026 9. Transparency Prediction dates must be published in advance. Rules remain frozen during each month. Results will be publicly documented. 10. Multiple Earthquakes in a Window If more than one M6.0+ earthquake occurs within a prediction date / window of + or - 12 hrs, each earthquake will be scored separately according to the rules. Example: Two earthquakes M6.1 and M6.5 on the predicted date → +5 +5 = +10. 11. USGS Catalog Authority The USGS Earthquake Catalog will be the only official reference for magnitude, origin time, and location. If USGS later revises the magnitude of an earthquake (for example from M6.0 to M5.8), the score will be adjusted / corrected according to the revised catalog value. 12. Open Participation This exercise is open to anyone who wishes to participate. Members of the public, researchers, or seismologists in particular may submit four (4) prediction dates for the month, following the same rules and deadlines. 13. Seismic Sequence Rule (Mainshock and Aftershocks) If a large earthquake produces a sequence of related earthquakes (aftershocks), scoring from that seismic sequence will be limited to a maximum of three earthquakes of M6.0 or higher. The largest earthquake in the sequence (mainshock) will always be counted. Up to two additional M6+ earthquakes from the same sequence may also be counted if they fall within valid prediction windows. A seismic sequence is defined as earthquakes occurring: • within 300 km of the mainshock epicenter, and on + or - 12 hrs from mainshock PART II Actual prediction dates I) Chat GPT 5, 11, 18, 27 II) Gemini 4, 11, 19 ,26 III) Claude.AI 5, 12 20 ,27 IV) Google Open AI 4, 11 ,23 ,29

Apr 2026 prediction date test with random dates

April 26 dates for 6+ quakes Here are the 4 random dates given by AIs for test of Earthquake predictions theory, against my 4 dates A) Chat GPT 5 11 18 27 B)Claudi AI 5 12 20 27 C) Gemini app 4 11 19 26 D) Google open AI 4 11 23 29 Dates and time as per UTC..Universal Time Only date hits will be counted Other rules ,if required will be posted here With my dates( before 30th of March 26) I would like to invite my friends ( at least 2 or 3) to give their 4 random dates for April 26 ,before 29th March 26

6.5 Japan quake on 26th March 26 ,A date hit prediction

6.5 Japan Earthquake A date hit prediction Please note a major 6.5 Earthquake at Japan on 26th March 2026 Magnitude..6.5 Time (UTC)....14.18 hrs Epicenter....40N ,143 East 9.5 km depth A date hit prediction Not only this ,look at my epicenter hypothesis... In nutshell the epicenter hypothesis says.. A major (6+) earthquake occurs at a location where 1) The Sun or Moon are overhead or at opposite side of the Earth , with a margin of +or-15 degrees longitudes For example for SUN it is Noon or midnight 2) Sun or Moon are either rising or setting ,with a margin of + or - 45 minutes Fir example for SUN it is Sun set or Sun rise Now look at the Japan quake.. At the time of quake the Sun was at 33 West ie ( 180-33 =147 East) Watch accuracy. The qusje was at 143 East so margin is 4 degrees The time was midnight ( sharp) at epicenter

Earthquake Evaluation up to 26th March 26

Here is Daily evaluation criteria as approved by Chat GPT And Scorecard up to 26th March 26 • Date hit one 6 and above...5 marks for each date hit • Margin hit .1 quake....3 marks each • out side margin ,for each 6 and above quakes -1 mark ,for each miss • The total will cover all three aspects Now As on 26th March marks are A) Chat GPT ......+7 B) Gemini........ +13 C) Amit Dave..... +11 D)Claudi AI......+9 After each 6 and above quake this table will be revised

Prediction for Volcanic eruptions

https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2026/03/260315004411.htm watch this How if my potent dates ,with + or - 1 day ,observed carefully for such jerks. why we can nit work together

18th and 19th March earthquakes prediction

Disclaimer The following information is based on my independent research hypothesis regarding major earthquake timing and epicenter geometry. This hypothesis has not been approved, validated, or peer-reviewed by any institute, organization, or professional seismologist. Earthquakes/eruptions may or may not occur during the periods mentioned below. This note is shared solely for academic record and observational purposes. No public action, warning, or response is required. Major quakes predicted ( 6.5+),as well as Volcanic eruptions, for the dates 18th and 19th March 2026 for the longitudes band 120E to 150 E are as follows. Date and time as per UTC 1) 18th March 2026 01.00 UTC 2) 19th March 2026 02.00 UTC To be more precise 1) 18th March 2026 01.00 UTC At 155 East Or 25 West Or Where Sun / Moon are rising or setting at that time( with + or - 45 minutes margin) 2)19th March 2026 02.00 UTC At 150 East Or 30 West Or Where Sun/Moon are rising or Setting( with + or -45 minutes margin

Major quake prediction for 18th and 19th March 2026

Disclaimer The following information is based on my independent research hypothesis regarding major earthquake timing and epicenter geometry. This hypothesis has not been approved, validated, or peer-reviewed by any institute, organization, or professional seismologist. Earthquakes/eruptions may or may not occur during the periods mentioned below. This note is shared solely for academic record and observational purposes. No public action, warning, or response is required. Major quakes predicted ( 6.5+),as well as Volcanic eruptions, for the dates 18th and 19th March 2026 for the longitudes band 120E to 150 E are as follows. Date and time as per UTC 1) 18th March 2026 01.00 UTC 2) 19th March 2026 02.00 UTC