Can earthquakes be predicted?

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Friday, February 06, 2015

Roger- Your results

Roger
 I think , the way you have put forward is not correct
 If you say, my results are 50% ie 2 hits out of 4 in a month, it is mandatory for you to get 3 hits out of 4 in the months. Therefore the number of  persons getting three or more hit in months should be taken
 Your results are

A) September
  nil hit.......0
1 hit...6
2hit.....12
3 hit ....10
4 hits ...2
B) October...
nil....6
1.....17
2.....7
3.....nil
4....nil

C) November
nil..0
1...0
2...1
3 hit...12
4 hit...17

D) December

nil hit...2
1....14
2....8
3hit..6
4....nil

E) January 2015

nil hit...3
1....20.
2hit...7
3hit...nil
4 hit...nil
 Thus ,you have 3 or 4 hits  total 47
This is out of 30 persons for five months ie 150

Now 47/150  =31.3 %
 For ,you proving better than me ,you should only take in account three or four hits by a person ( total 30 fictitious persons)

Amit


Monday, February 02, 2015

Earthquake prediction for the month of February 2015

hi
 I am sorry for not posting probable dates of February 2015 in time
As ,Roger has pointed out correctly, I have missed one 6.3 quake to day .
Nevertheless, if one matches it with my prediction guidelines ,it can be validated
1) we are approaching Full Moon on  midnight 3rd and 4th Feb
2) Mercury is changing direction and closer as well as Moon opposes Mercury on 3rd
3) Jupiter is closer and Moon joins Jupiter on 4th

I would have given date 3rd Feb 

Anyway, now another probable date is 18th February ............6.5

+ or - one day window period and + or - 0.3 magnitude

Amit

Tuesday, December 30, 2014

Earthquake prediction for January 2015

hi
 Here are three probable dates and magnitude for the month of January 2015

1) 4th January................6.6

2)19th January...............6.7

3)22nd January..............6.6

 Date window + or - one day

Magnitude window + or - 0.3


Amit


Monday, December 29, 2014

Hypothesis for predicting location of the major earthquakes

hi
 After much home work ( more than six years),following hypothesis is published for predicting locations of major earthquakes
 One more hypothesis is can be given is like this

If the quake is more than 6 ,the place ie location could be depending on
1) Moon's location (+ or - 20 degrees)
2) Moon's location + 180 degrees (+ or -20 degrees)
 However this depends on the stronger trigger at that time
 Generally it is Sun or Moon
In some cases it could be Jupiter, Venus or Mars ,if they are at perigee and at Maximum declination on that day
 To days-29th December 2014(6.1 -Philippines quake) corresponds to Moon
This hypothesis, is under trial and I have seen it working in more than 75% major quakes
Amit

Wednesday, December 24, 2014

Results of my Prediction of 6.1 and above quakes till today (22nd december 2014)

Hi
 Here is brief review of my prediction for 6.1 and above quakes between September and December 22nd

1) September...2 hits out of 4
2)October.....1 hit out of 3
3) November...3 hits out of 4
4) December..1 hit out of 2.. till 22nd
 Thus,7 hits out of 13
so, above 50%
Thus ,above odds.
 (As per odds for 6.1 + quakes it is slightly below 50%)
Amit

Sunday, December 07, 2014

Earthquake Prediction for the month of December 2014

hi

 I am sorry for not posting the probable earthquake dates for the month of December 2014.
Yesterday, my wife has been given discharge from the hospital after surgery.
 Any way,we have one quake of 6.8 ,at PNG today ie 7th at 01.22 UTC,(pl check it is just after Full Moon.
 Any way the probable dates are

1) 13th  December 2014........6.4

2)20th..................................6.8

3)23rd..............................6.6

4)29th..............................6.4

window period  + or - one day

magnitude window...+ or -  0.3


If I specify the time also ( this is purely for academic purpose and my evaluation should be done on above criteria...for Roger)

1) 12th....at 00.30 UTC
2)19th ....08.30 UTC
3) 22nd...01.36 UTC
4) 24th....16.45 UTC
5)  28th ...18.30 UTC
 These are five dates with + or - 6 Hrs time window

Amit

Saturday, November 22, 2014

Eastern Honshu Japan earthquake 22nd November.Accuracy of Earthquake prediction prediction

pl note today Japan earthquake and accuracy of my prediction.
predicted date 22nd Nov at 12.32 UtC 6.1 and above and at 160 to 180 E.
Actual quake Date ,time and magnitude match exactly .Place is 20 degree away
watch the accuracy.
Amit