Can earthquakes be predicted?

Total Pageviews

Search This Blog

Powered By Blogger

Wednesday, April 24, 2013

Earthquake and weather hypothesis


hi
 Here are two hypothesis I would like to propose

 1) Flash floods, cyclones and earthquakes are interrelated.
 look at to days (24th April) quake at Afghanistan and flash floods. Time and again i have noticed this
 2) whenever,the Jupiter reaches maximum declination either north or south, frequency of major quakes increases.
  This year ie Oct 2012 and again now April 2013 we have Jupiter at maximum declination and hence more quakes ( considering other factors also)

  April 25th and 28 th 2013 are two potent dates,place not known )
Amit


Sunday, April 14, 2013

Earthquake prediction for April 2013

hi
 First of all ,an apology for not posting probable dates of current month till 14th April. Due o some urgent official work I could not calculate the details of probable dates.Even to day also. I could not spare time.
   To day,ie 14th April 2013 .there is a major quake of 6..6 at Papua New Guinea.
   I am aware ,that,justifying delay is not good, Never the less ,you can check ,as per my theory,the quake of 6.6 to day
  Moon at Maximum declination
  Moon Joining the Jupiter
 Jupiter is closer to Earth

  I wish,I could devote full time to my hobby and stop working as a full time Engineer.I am also aware that, this will not happen ,unless,Govt sponsor or at least support my research plan
 Amit

  

Sunday, March 10, 2013

Surprising statements of earthquake by USGS

hi
watch these surprising statements by none other than USGS

first a quake post by USGS

== PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE REPORT ==



Region: OFF THE COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA
Geographic coordinates: 12.801N, 90.679W
Magnitude: 5.8
Depth: 17 km
Universal Time (UTC): 10 Mar 2013 10:18:17
Time near the Epicenter: 10 Mar 2013 04:18:17
Local standard time in your area: 10 Mar 2013 15:18:17

Location with respect to nearby cities:
125 km (77 mi) S of Puerto San Jose, Guatemala
127 km (78 mi) SW of Acajutla, El Salvador
144 km (89 mi) SW of Sonsonate, El Salvador
145 km (89 mi) SSW of Chiquimulilla, Guatemala
189 km (117 mi) WSW of San Salvador, El Salvador


AND

THE EVENT DELETED!!!!!!!!???

DELETED: Event us b000fi8j

== EVENT DELETED NOTIFICATION ==

***This event has been deleted after review by a seismologist.***

Geographic coordinates: 12.809N, 90.694W
Magnitude: 5.5
Universal Time (UTC): 10 Mar 2013 10:18:17
Time near the Epicenter: 10 Mar 2013 10:18:17

Location with respect to nearby cities:

Can anybody guess or explain how and why such things happen?

i have received both mail from USGS EXACTLY 1 hR AND 01 MINUTES APART

QUESTIONS ARE 
1)HOW AND WHY SUCH ERRORS OCCUR?
2)WHY DOES IT TAKES ONE HOUR TO RECOGNIZE THE ERROR?
3)FIRST THINK,HOW SUCH A BIG QUAKE OF 5.5+ CAN BE MISJUDGED?
4) IT IT IS A COMPUTER OR SOFTWARE ERROR ,HOW WE CAN TRUST SUCH SOFTWARE?
5)LAST BUT NOT LEAST
HOW CAN SEISMOLOGISTS IN GENERAL AND USGS IN PARTICULAR DEMANDS FROM
THOSE(LIKE ME )WORKING IN THE FIELD OF PREDICTION TO PREDICT EXACT MAGNITUDE(+ OR -0.3),THAT TOO BEFORE IT HAS OCCURRED?

I WOULD LIKE USGS AND /OR SEISMOLOGIST TO ANSWER THESE QUESTIONS

AMIT

Sunday, March 03, 2013

Earthquake prediction for March 2013

Hi
As my wife is operated for colostomy ,I could not find any time.In fact I was staying in hospital since last 16 days.As such could not calculate dates for march 2013
Nevertheless , from hospital and mobile phone,I could pridict the first probable date as
5/6th March 2013----------6.5

Rest of the probable dates will be posted shorly
Amit

Tuesday, February 05, 2013

Magnitude 8 earthquake at Santacruz island on 6th Feb 2013, as predicted and request to NZ Govt



hi
Watch accuracy of my prediction(5/6th Feb) in previous posts and to days 8 mag quake at Santacruz island
 You can find many 7+ earthquake predicted dot on date by me on this blog. But the problem is seismologist in general and plate tectonic theory in particular ,believe firmly that, quakes can not be predicted. several major quakes predicted by me are termed as flukes
  I have ,then. invited one and all to give random dates for major quakes,well in advance and compare random dates given by people against my dates. if my predictions are flukes, people giving random dates have same chance of success or failure. out of ten such people at least seven should beat my prediction ,if my dates are below average.Unfortunately no one turned up.
  now I request NZ Govt to take serious note of this ,and allow me to work on this topic as a full time research student,as I can not spare time for this work after my regular engineering duties

Amit

Sunday, February 03, 2013

Hypothesis for major(8.5+) earthquake occurance

Hi
 I have collected some dates on 8.5+ quakes from 2000  to 2012
1)26.12.2004-------------------------------9.1
2)28.03.2005-------------------------------8.6
3)12.09.2007-------------------------------8.5
4)27.02.2010-------------------------------8.8
5)11.03.2011-------------------------------9.0
6)11.04.2012-------------------------------8.6

Now some observations  are

1)out of these six quakes 4 were either on Full Moon or New Moon ( one in window)
2) three were on Moon at Max declination
3) Three were on dates when Moon was closest to Earth

so as a thumb rule Hypothesis for a layman, it can be stated that---

when moon is at maximum declination,closest and /or a full moon or new moon a major(6.5+) quake may occur within + or - one day

Amit

Friday, February 01, 2013

window in window ,for February 2013 quake prediction

hi
 February probable quake dates are posted here.
Now what is given here ,is the time window (+ or - one hr) during these dates.

1)5th Feb 2013----------0230UTC
2)7th--------------------1130
3)9th--------------------0815
4)10th-------------------0845
5)17th-------------------1935
6)18th------------------ 1210
7)25th-------------------2015

 These time is given to check the time accuracy, rest of the terms (magnitude) remains the same

Amit