hi
For a change ,I am hereby posting ,the direct version from my personal diary. The September calculations reads like this
1)12th September 2013....1830 UTC .....6.7....10 degree West and 20 degree south,170 degree East and 20 degree south. and /or 10 degree west to 10 degree East, 170 degree west to 170 degree East
2)15th September 2013.....1634 UTC......6.5
3)19th September 2013...1113 UTC......6.1
4)26th September 2013...0110 UTC....6.2
Amit
For a change ,I am hereby posting ,the direct version from my personal diary. The September calculations reads like this
1)12th September 2013....1830 UTC .....6.7....10 degree West and 20 degree south,170 degree East and 20 degree south. and /or 10 degree west to 10 degree East, 170 degree west to 170 degree East
2)15th September 2013.....1634 UTC......6.5
3)19th September 2013...1113 UTC......6.1
4)26th September 2013...0110 UTC....6.2
Amit
20 comments:
Amit;
What are you basing this on? There are no planetary indicators this year.
Roger
Amit;
I've added moon phases back in so now I can see that your Sep forecasts are all from the moon.
It won't work, I've already demonstrated that.
Why are you clutching at straws you know won't float?
Roger
Amit;
Why are you doing this?
You're risking arrest!
Roger
Roger
Yes.Most are based on Moon.Here is fine tuning.
Planetary indicators aee essential for 6.5+ quakes. When no strong indicators Moon can induce up to 6.5 quakes
Some body have to take risk ,even it amounts to arrest.
Amit
Amit;
That's crazy.
You'll get arrested for a method that doesn't work.
Roger
Another M6, moon centered on a small coronal hole at position 1 (6th) 0 being center, moving to the left .
Also small coronal hole centered on the earth.
The stream coronal hole continuing for at least another day, be aware.
It looks like the 8th could bring trouble, the large forming coronal hole is making its way from left to right, moon right to left , sunspot 11838 feeding it, may also be other sunspots making their way round ?
Be safe
Jazzman :)
For people who don't understand degrees/latitudes can you please point out the state or city or area?
Amit;
Your dates are still ambiguous.
You say 13/14 means noon 13th to noon 14th but you also say +/- 1 day.
Does that mean noon 12th to noon 15th or something else?
It matters.
Roger
Roger
In this case,since time is also given,+ or - one day from given time.Hence it is two day window ie one day on each side of given time in UTC
yes,if time is not given and if I say 13/14 ,then what you say is correct
Amit
hi
For those who are not conversant with Longitude and Latitude ,may Google for the places. It is very easy now a days
Amit
You have not mentioned the coordinates about the other predictions ( the 2nd - 4th prediction). Are they same as the first one. ?
hi
No .They are not the same.
In fact,the first one given as an exception to my norms. Giving all three aspects is Date(time),magnitude and location is actually treated as an offense under Indian Disaster Act ,2005
AMIT
I understand that. But I live in a country where previous two big earthquakes happened exactly according to your predictions. I understand that the Indian Disaster Act had been implemented to avoid any chaos. But its more of a precautionary measure from our side. Is it possible to disclose the nearest country in the vicinity of your predictions ?
Hi , a M6 Alaska, on the 15th
jazzman, the moon was right between the sunspot 11841 and the new coronal hole on the western side of the sun, also bang on the light to dark faze as said by you using that formulab thingy.
Tom
hi
pl note the prediction
15th Sept 2013 at 1634 ....6.5
and actual
15th Sept 2013 at 1621 ...6.0 at Alaska
where as 12th Sept 2013 ...at 1830... 6.7 and actual quake was
11th Sept 2013...1244...6.1..central east pacific
I am aware that if we look for date and time window ,it is ok, but if magnitude window (+ or -0.3 ) is to be considered,it is a miss
Nevertheless, it is better than what scientist and seismologist predict,in fact they never commit any date ,time and magnitude
Amit
hi
15th sept quake. is revised to 6.2,hence now magnitude is also correct
Amit
Hi Amit, I am also creating a blog to discuss similar. Just feel free to post or just visit...
http://earthquake-predict.blogspot.gr/
Hi Amit,
In http://earthquake-predict.blogspot.gr/2013/09/normal-0-false-false-false-el-x-none-x.html
Anthony Boucouvalas20 September 2013 11:58
Let us complete the September earthquake predictions for the globe.....
1) 21st Sept 2013 is a date with 6.3R+ quake in the regions East of japan/Tokyo (Pacific Aleutian trench) OR Auckland/Wellington OR Mexico.....
2) 24th Sept 2013: 6.5R+ even 7.0R in possible regions Papua N.G. OR near China Beijing area OR if it happens on the 25th September 2013 near the Vancouver to S.F. region likely to be near the San Andreas fault.
3) Finally 27th September 2013: Another very strong earthquake is expected 6.6R+ in possible regions ....Kuala Lumpur region OR China East, OR Papua NG, OR Iran OR Greece.
hi
pl not a quake of 7.0 magnitude at Peru just now ie 16.42 UTC on 25th.
p note prediction of 6.2 on 26th at 1.10 UTC
pl note date (+or-one day) and time accueacy +or -12 hrs.accuracy
Though magnitude is higher than expeced
Quite a busy week, with the quakes following the moons position/sunspots.
Sunspot AR 11850 is BY/B powered, again be aware of possible heavy activity.
Comet ISON comes ever closer, passing over the moons north pole on the 1st of October.
29/9/2013 00:51 UK
Be safe
Jazzman :)
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