hi
Time and again, it is debated that my prediction are below odds or random dates given by anyone.
This invitation was given earlier also . It was also tried to prove statistically ,that my prediction are below random dates,but software results are misleading.
If my predictions are below average or below random dates, it should be proved practically
One thing I know for sure is,if my predictions are below random dates,majority of people should be able to beat me (at least 7 out of 10 people )
Now here is challenge
1) Three groups of 10 people should volunteer for the work
2) All 30 people should give random dates for 6.2+ quakes,with + or - one day window period
3) The random dates should be for next six months
4) The dates should be posted on my blog,before 1st day of each month
5) I will post my dates (for that month)on 2nd day of each month
6)An independent evaluation will be done after 6 months
If at least 20 people ,from 3 groups,beat me in results , I will believe that, my predictions are below random dates or are just by fluke.
Amit