Hi
The probable dates for major earthquakes in the month of June are as follows
1) 5th June 2016.....
2)18th/19th June 2016..
3) 29th June 2016..
window period is + or - one day
As on the date of Moon at Perigee( closest to Earth in the month ie about 57 ER -IE 57 Earth radius,we have one 6.5 quake, The date has passed hence omitted from the list
Amit
The probable dates for major earthquakes in the month of June are as follows
1) 5th June 2016.....
2)18th/19th June 2016..
3) 29th June 2016..
window period is + or - one day
As on the date of Moon at Perigee( closest to Earth in the month ie about 57 ER -IE 57 Earth radius,we have one 6.5 quake, The date has passed hence omitted from the list
Amit
24 comments:
Amit;
Missed one already; June 1
Roger
Roger
yes.I have already mentioned it.As I was out of town could not calculate and post in time
Amit
Amit,
What is the use of this blog if you cannot predict the location? Predicting only dates but no location - good for nothing?
You did not even reply to my earlier post where I asked you about Jan 3rd and April 13th quakes, 2016?
Anyway... seems like you're only interested replying to 'Mr. Roger'... Boasted ego speaking?
Good luck.
Amit;
Unfortunate but still a miss.
Roger
Amit;
Unfortunate but still a miss.
Roger
Hi
I am extermly sorry if I missed to reply your post.
As mentioned earlier the location can not be predicted as it is an offence under Indian Disater Act 2005. Moreover location accuracy is not up to the mark.This is because if you miss the time by even half an hour the location is moved due to Earth rotation and revoluation.
Nevertheless ,if the dates can be predicted ,it implythat the quakes follow some rule.The biggest hitch of to days seismologist is,they stongly believe that the quakes can not be predicted and then start finding the various reasons why.How on Earth they find any solution with this mental staus.
Regards
Amit
Amit;
If quake dates can be predicted, why aren't your results better than chance?
I mean, a LOT better, 99% better.
Roger
Roger
Which of the forecast /predictions are 99%accurate?
After spending millions of dollarcan we predict rains accurately ie 99%.Like today LA will get 6.5 cm rains by evening?
Or even after sattelite tracking can we pin point land fall or a cyclone to one sq km accuracy.This after super computers put in actions
Amit
Amit;
None of them but that's not the point.
I want 99% better than chance so I don't endorse someone who might just have been lucky on a small sample test.
It means the results have only 1 chance in 100 of being due to luck.
Roger
Hi
There are two major quakes
6.3 each at Banda sea and Indonesia.
watch date hit prediction
Are such date hits flukes or by chance?
Amit
It seems a single quake of 6.3
Amit;
Come on, you're clutching at straws. Your predictions are for 6.5+ quakes.
Yes they are chance.
Roger
Roger
watch again.Thiis month I have mentioned major quakes
Amit
Amit;
Score to date;
1/7 quakes, 1/3 predictions for 6+ quakes.
Roger
Roger
It is not correct to say 1/3.
In fact it is 1/1.
The first date predicted was hit.
It is how you see and interpreat the things
Amit
I think 7.5 magnitude earthquake is possible on 18 june.possibly south sanvich.what do you think about magnitude.
Annonymous
Yes ,it could be 6.5+.placae not confirmed
Amit Dave
Hi
watch 6.6 quake at Vanuattu on 19th.
A date hit prediction.
Roger
It is 2/2 prediction for this month.ie both predicted dates are hit
Amit
Good call amit
Amit;
Yes, that.s a hit but consider;
Out of 9 quakes so far you have captured 3 in your windows.
Your windows covered 6 of the first 20 days or 30%
30% of 9 is 2.7 (or 3 to the nearest unit)
So once again, just chance.
Roger
Amit;
Another quake today in your 18/19 window bringing you up to 4/10
Roger
Amit;
2 more quakes today making you 6/12 well above chance which is why we don't rely on small samples.
Roger
Amit;
6.3 just now so it's 6/13
Roger
Amit;
So we finish out the month with 3/13 quakes, 2/3 predictions
I must have miscounted earlier.
Roger
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