hi
Following are the probable dates for major earthquakes for the year 2017
1) 4th Oct 2017............6.3
2)10th Oct 2017..........6.8
3)19th Oct 2017.........6.4
The window period is + or -1 day
Amit
Following are the probable dates for major earthquakes for the year 2017
1) 4th Oct 2017............6.3
2)10th Oct 2017..........6.8
3)19th Oct 2017.........6.4
The window period is + or -1 day
Amit
16 comments:
Almost 6.0 in japan
Hi
Watch date hit accuracy.
6.3 quake on 10th, at Chile.
Is this a fluke?
What are the chances of a 6+ date hit prediction?
Amit
Amit;
Yes it's a hit.
Your current score is 1/4 predictions, 1/5 quakes.
Below chance.
Odds on a 6+ globally are quite high. There are a lot of them.
Roger
Roger
6+ quakes are once in three days,ie 33%,. A date hit is 100% ,
Amit
Amit
Actually, odds on a 6+ quake on any given day are 0.044 based on a study I just did for 6+ quakes from 1900 to mid-2017.
That's a long term average so any given year could be much higher.
Roger
Amit;
I repeat;
One of your 3 predictions is correct but you missed 4 of the 5 quakes so far.
Roger
Roger
Here ,one more 6.7 quake at Bouvet Island region
Two major quakes ,date Hits ,on a single day. Do you still think it is a chance?
I repeat,some dates are prone to major quakes,
Dave
Amit;
Your current score is 1/2 predictions correct, 2/6 quakes correct
Yes, it's just chance.
You could get everything correct and it would still be just chance.
It's the long term average that counts and yours is below chance
Your method is wrong.
Roger
Amit;
Your current score is 1/2 predictions correct, 2/6 quakes correct
Yes, it's just chance.
You could get everything correct and it would still be just chance.
It's the long term average that counts and yours is below chance
Your method is wrong.
Roger
Hi
One more hit
6 quake at Tonga to day ie 18th Oct 2017.
Amit
Amit;
Yes, that's a hit.
You have 3/7 quakes and 2/3 predictions correct at this time.
Just chance.
Roger
Amit;
Yes, that's a hit.
You have 3/7 quakes and 2/3 predictions correct at this time.
Just chance.
Roger
Amit;
Miss today a 6.0 SW of Africa
Now you have 3/8 quakes correct with 2/3 predictions correct.
Below chance.
Roger
Amit;
Final score is 3/11 quakes, 2/3 predictions
Below chance.
Roger
Amit;
Correction;
3/11 quakes
Roger
Amit;
oops! Another quake today.
Now 3/12 quakes, 2/3 predictions.
Worse and worse.
Roger
Post a Comment