Method of testing my theory
If you check my theory only looking at Moon phases ,it will not pass the test.
Time and again seismolist have done this .Susan from USGS have also checked 204 major past quakes from 1600 AD
I will give you results before you test.
As I have already stated ,If you do only Moon phases study it will not pass the test.
All full Moon and New Moon are not potent enough to produce quake or Eruption.
I can give a hint ,step by step
1) Find out the month/s when Jupiter is closest/closer.. 4 to 5 AU distance from Earth
2) Find the month/s when Mars is closest/closer ..0.5 to 0.7 AU (Astronomical Units..average distance of Earth from Sun)
3) Find the month/s .days Venus is closest/closer..0.27 to 0.4 AU
4) Find the month /days when Saturn is closest/closer...8 to 9.5 AU
On these Months/weeks look at Moon phases as well as Moon Joining or opposing the planet which is closer./closest /at Maximum Declinations
The magnitude will depend on proximity of Moon ,Sun ,Jupiter ,Mars ,Venus ,Saturn in that order
Sun between November to March is closer and potent
Few finer points I am putting here so as not to make your testing complicated like..
Maximum Declinations of Moon ,Sun ,Jupiter, Mars ,Venus and Saturn are potent in that order. On these days Moon joining or opposing planets at Maximum Declinations give quakes.
Why Maximum declination is important..because after that the planet will become standstill and later Move in opposite direction. This will cause a breaking and acceleration effect on magma inside the crust and hence distarbance
If you do not want to go in all these details and would like to check only Moon phases do this..
During November to Feb /March next year ,whe Sun is closer/closest and at Maximum declination look at Moon distance. When Moon is closest 57 to 57.5 ER (Earth Radious) and /or at Maximum Declinations check Moon phase ,only New Moon and Full Moon
12 comments:
Amit;
True, the moon does not show anything useful, but I don't have the ability to check the other things you mention.
There was a time, I could have. But those days are gone. Equipment and intellect have both failed me.
Roger
Roger
It is OK
Doesn't matter.Let others do it.
Do gave done a lot throughout your career.
Thank you very much for you kind support during last 15 odd years.
Amit;
Thank you for the kind words. But I don't deserve them since I've been trying to discredit you all these years.
I still haven't found the program to display the needed information about planet location, distance and all.
Roger
Amit;
What software do you use to get planet positions and distances?
Roger
https://www.fourmilab.ch/cgi-bin/Solar
Roger.This is live solar system with all required details.You can change the year ,date and time by opting -UTC ,instead of live
Amit;
I would like to see a list showing each day for a year or more.
All of these thing that should cause quakes are noted on the list, each in it's own column.
Then each quake will be marked on its proper day and in the quakes column.
I don't have the ability to make such a list but you do and it will prove your theory (or not)
Are you up to it?
Roger
I look forward to seeing it.
Roger
Roger
Yes
However ,I believe it is not ethical for me to do that
Nevertheless, as you have said will try to do.
What I think ,for a complete year putting data physically may be combursome.
Can you suggest a month or quarter, so that it is not my choice?
Regards
Amit
Amit;
Ok, second quarter of last year.
Roger
Amit;
You mention Jupiter proximity as an indicator but I find that Jupiter's proximity is a sine wave and is closest only once a year.
How can that be useful?
Roger
Roger
When I say closer is not necessary closest.
Closest may be 3.9 or 4 AU distance once a year ,may remain at that distance for 1 day or max 2 days.
However , closer means approaching closest pint and moving away from closest point . Closest have max potential, but closer also have potential, though little less
Thus for Jupiter 3.9/4 AU to 5/5.5 may be limit
Amit;
Here are the peaks and troughs for Jupiter - Earth
that I was able to get.
2001/ 1/ 1 4.23883
/ 6/16 6.11516
/12/31 4.18747
-------------------
2002/ 7/21 6.26067
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2003/ 2/ 2 4.32715
/ 8/23 6.38381
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2004/ 3/ 4 4.42568
/ 9/20 6.44978
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2005/ 4/ 4 4.45670
/10/21 6.44285
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2006/ 5/ 5 4.41285
/ 5/ 7 "
/ 5/ 7 "
/11/19 6.36463
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These are smooth curves so anything earlier or later is more or less.
Roger
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