what do we call a miss ..when it is prediction of major Earthquakes.
There could be two ways .
1) when there is no 6+quake on a predicted date ,including window period
2) There is a 6+quake, on a date which is not on list or window period.
There is diffrence of opinion on this issue.
Today's 6.9 quake at NZ can be treated in second category.
Nevertheless, you can check epicenter location hypothesis...
The epicenter is at location of Sun set.
This also make the possibility of quake on 7th a bit higher.
What is epicenter location hypothesis?
A major quake occurs at a location (with + or - 10 degree longitudes, where
a) Moon /Sun are at Zenith or Nadir
b) or at a location where Moon /Sun are either rising or setting
Explaionation...
As per my theory major quakes occurs due to tidal pull of magma on Earthcrust. ie hightide effect. The tidal pull is maximum at locations where Moon /Sun are overhead ( zenith) or 180 degrees apart ( Nadir)
Also pull acts on Earthcrust making it bulge at zenith /nadir and stretching open the faultline at locations where Rising and setting zones of Moon /Sun,hence quakes there also
2 comments:
Amit;
If a quake happens on a predicted date, that's a hit
If there is no quake on a predicted date, that's a miss
If a quake happens on a date that was not predicted, that's a miss
Roger
Amit;
One is a failure to predict and the other is a failure to predict correctly.
Roger
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