One of my friend, a retired USGS seismologist, have opined that ,there is no sense in prediction of major Earthquake dates ,if I can not predict with cent percent accuracy of date,time ,magnitude and location
Please have a look at following issues.Do we have 100%knowledge about the subject ? Why are we doing it all?
1) How and why the big bang happened ?
Who has collected all those mass to explode?
Still we are working on the theory .
2) How human brain works ,how many neurons are there ,exact number ?
Even than we open the skull and do surgery.
3) Are seismologist and geophysist aware that ,there is three times more water deep inside the Earth ,than in oceans?
And still we boldly say Earthquake occurs soly due to plate tectonics?
By the way ,this is the base of my tidal pull theory.
Roger , what woukd have happened ,if we did not move ,if we do not know 100%
If I plan something for tomorrow, it is also wrong. God only know who all will survive and see tomorrow.
What would have happened, if right brothers had stopped the work ,looking at huge ,raw plane which can hardly fly few yards?
How the laptops, I phones ,I pads would have developed, if we have stopped looking as huge ,bulky ,very inefficient first computer ?
So ,start .
Only condition is going in right direction with right purpose.
8 comments:
Amit;
from 2019 to 2025 there were 1371 mag 6+ quakes.
You managed to hit 169 of them with your predictions.
Not a very useful record
Roger
Roger
This is not correct view
First make groups, each of 3 days from 2019 to 24.
Now considered all 6+ quakes in one window period of 3 days as one quake ,though there may be more ,may be 5 or 7 in one window.
The number 1371 will drastically reduce
Amit
Roger
Moreover,there are several months for which I have not made any predictions.
So all quakes during those months should not be considered in 1371
Amit
Amit;
No, just because you are incomplete does not mean I should be.
Roger
Roger
By this logic ,why you shoukd not considered all previous three years also
By law of natural justice, evolution should be done for the period for which I have attempted.
Amit
Amit;
Come on, take it like a man; your theory is wrong.
You have the data; find a better explanation.
Roger
Amit;
I have as many of your predictions as I could find but I'd rather have a complete list from you. Missed predictions can bias the results, making you look worse than you really are.
Please post a complete list of your predictions, for as many years as possible. I'll use it with my evaluation program and you'll get a valid accurate answer to your prediction accuracy.
Roger
Amit;
Is there a problem?
I can make a calendar of any size or length.
Roger
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