Can earthquakes be predicted?

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Monday, March 16, 2026

Prediction for Volcanic eruptions

https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2026/03/260315004411.htm watch this How if my potent dates ,with + or - 1 day ,observed carefully for such jerks. why we can nit work together

18th and 19th March earthquakes prediction

Disclaimer The following information is based on my independent research hypothesis regarding major earthquake timing and epicenter geometry. This hypothesis has not been approved, validated, or peer-reviewed by any institute, organization, or professional seismologist. Earthquakes/eruptions may or may not occur during the periods mentioned below. This note is shared solely for academic record and observational purposes. No public action, warning, or response is required. Major quakes predicted ( 6.5+),as well as Volcanic eruptions, for the dates 18th and 19th March 2026 for the longitudes band 120E to 150 E are as follows. Date and time as per UTC 1) 18th March 2026 01.00 UTC 2) 19th March 2026 02.00 UTC To be more precise 1) 18th March 2026 01.00 UTC At 155 East Or 25 West Or Where Sun / Moon are rising or setting at that time( with + or - 45 minutes margin) 2)19th March 2026 02.00 UTC At 150 East Or 30 West Or Where Sun/Moon are rising or Setting( with + or -45 minutes margin

Major quake prediction for 18th and 19th March 2026

Disclaimer The following information is based on my independent research hypothesis regarding major earthquake timing and epicenter geometry. This hypothesis has not been approved, validated, or peer-reviewed by any institute, organization, or professional seismologist. Earthquakes/eruptions may or may not occur during the periods mentioned below. This note is shared solely for academic record and observational purposes. No public action, warning, or response is required. Major quakes predicted ( 6.5+),as well as Volcanic eruptions, for the dates 18th and 19th March 2026 for the longitudes band 120E to 150 E are as follows. Date and time as per UTC 1) 18th March 2026 01.00 UTC 2) 19th March 2026 02.00 UTC

Friday, March 13, 2026

My prediction date test with ChatGPT and Gemini

#usgs USGS Natural Hazards Science Live score Here is a competition results between Two AI ( Chat GPT and Gemini ) with Amit Dave 1Rules are 1) Everyone have to give 4 probable dates for quakes 6 and above ,anywhere at any depth 2) USGS catlog be used 3) Dates to be given by 26th of February 2026 ,for March 26 prediction 4) Margin is + or - 1 day 5) Date hits...+5 6)Margin hits ...+3 7) Quake out side margin..-1 marks Today ,yet another 6+ date hit quke ,today at chile +5 marks for Amit Dave +3for Gemini -1 for Chat GPT The score as on 13th March 2026 ( as per UTC) is as follows Amit Dave.....+13 Chat GPT.....+3 Gemini.......+5

Thursday, March 05, 2026

Second pase Prediction evaluation rules

EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION COMPARISON – FINAL SCORING RULES (Effective April–June 2026) 1. Data Source and Event Definition All earthquake information will be taken from the USGS Earthquake Catalog. Only earthquakes of Magnitude 6.0 and above (M6+) will be considered. Event time will follow USGS origin time (UTC) with seconds accuracy. Earthquakes occurring anywhere on the globe and at any depth will be considered. 2. Prediction Dates Each participant must publish four (4) fixed prediction dates for the month. These dates must be published on or before the 28th day of the previous month (UTC). Once published, prediction dates cannot be changed during that month. Example: For April predictions, dates must be published on or before 28 March (UTC). 3. Prediction Window For each predicted date D, the valid evaluation window will be: D − 1 day, D, and D + 1 day (UTC) Example: Prediction = 10 April Window = 9 April, 10 April, 11 April (UTC). 4. Exact Date Hit Score MagnitudeScore6.0 – 6.9+57.0 – 7.4+107.5 and above+15 An exact hit occurs when the earthquake happens on the predicted date (UTC). 5. Window Hit Score MagnitudeScore6.0 – 6.9+37.0 – 7.4+57.5 and above+10 A window hit occurs when the earthquake happens on D−1 or D+1. 6. Miss Penalty MagnitudePenalty6.0 – 6.9−17.0 – 7.4−37.5 and above−5 Two types of misses are defined: (a) Prediction Miss: If no qualifying earthquake occurs within the prediction window (D−1, D, D+1), the prediction is considered a miss and the above penalty applies. (b) Unpredicted Earthquake: If an earthquake of M6.0 or higher occurs outside all prediction windows, a penalty will be applied according to the same scale above. Each such earthquake will be treated as a separate miss event. 7. Scoring Method Scores will be updated daily based on UTC dates. A running total score will be maintained throughout the month. 8. Experiment Duration Phase 1: March 2026 – evaluation using the original rules already in use. Phase 2: Revised rules (this sheet) will apply for: • April 2026 • May 2026 • June 2026 9. Transparency Prediction dates must be published in advance. Rules remain frozen during each month. Results will be publicly documented. 10. Multiple Earthquakes in a Window If more than one M6.0+ earthquake occurs within a prediction window, each earthquake will be scored separately according to the rules. Example: Two earthquakes M6.1 and M6.5 on the predicted date → +5 +5 = +10. 11. USGS Catalog Authority The USGS Earthquake Catalog will be the only official reference for magnitude, origin time, and location. If USGS later revises the magnitude of an earthquake (for example from M6.0 to M5.8), the score will be adjusted according to the revised catalog value. 12. Open Participation This exercise is open to anyone who wishes to participate. Members of the public, researchers, or seismologists in particular may submit four (4) prediction dates for the month, following the same rules and deadlines. 13. Seismic Sequence Rule (Mainshock and Aftershocks) If a large earthquake produces a sequence of related earthquakes (aftershocks), scoring from that seismic sequence will be limited to a maximum of three earthquakes of M6.0 or higher. The largest earthquake in the sequence (mainshock) will always be counted. Up to two additional M6+ earthquakes from the same sequence may also be counted if they fall within valid prediction windows. A seismic sequence is defined as earthquakes occurring: • within 300 km of the mainshock epicenter, and • within 30 days after the mainshock.

Score as in 4th March 26

#USGS Earthquake prediction dates Score as on 4th March 2026 Chat GPT +4 Gemini 0 Amit Dave +10 Keep watching

Tuesday, March 03, 2026

Score card for March 26, up to 3rd March

The Scrore of my Earthquake Prediction for the month of March with ChatGPT and Gemini AI ,up to 3rd March 2026 is as follows 1) Chat GPT +1 2) Gemini -3 3) Amit Dave +7 Rules are a) Date hit 6 and above quake..+5 marks for each quake b) Margin hit ,ie + or -1 day.. + 3 fo each quake c) Each 6 and above miss quake -1 mark Four dates given by all of us Keep watching

Monday, March 02, 2026

Japan quake prediction for 3rd and 4th March 2026

Following are probable time in UTC for 6 and above quakes for longitudes band 120E to 140 E Japan Band 1) 3rd March 2026 UTC time 8.30 UTC 14.30 UTC 21.30 UTC 2)4th Mar h 2026 ..UTC time 2.30 UTC 9.30 UTC 15.00 UTC Margin + or - 45 minutes Longitudes band 120 E to 140 E Disclaimer.. The theory is not approved by any institute. The quakes predicted may not occur and that no action is required. This is for academic records please

Sunday, March 01, 2026

Evaluation as on 2nd March 2026

Daily Evaluation of my Earthquake Prediction dates of March 26 ,with the dates given by Chat GPT and Gemini Here is Daily evaluation criteria as approved by Chat GPT • Date hit one 6 and above...5 marks for each date hit • Margin hit .1 quake....3 marks each • out side margin ,for each 6 and above quakes -1 mark ,for each miss • The total will cover all three aspects Now As on 2nd March marks are A) Chat GPT ...... -2 B) Gemini........ -2 C) Amit Dave..... +2 After each 6 and above quake this table will be revised

Friday, February 27, 2026

Response by Chat GPT

Response by Chat GPT Understood. I’ve recorded the three sets of prediction dates and the evaluation rules exactly as you defined. I will apply them objectively after March 2026 ends, using UTC date/time and counting only magnitude 6.0 and above earthquakes. Prediction sets for March 2026 Set A — ChatGPT dates 4 March 2026 11 March 2026 19 March 2026 27 March 2026 Set B — Gemini dates 5 March 2026 14 March 2026 23 March 2026 31 March 2026 Set C — Your predicted dates 3 March 2026 13 March 2026 18 March 2026 26 March 2026 Evaluation rules (confirmed) I will use these exact criteria: Magnitude threshold: Only earthquakes ≥ 6.0 Mw Time standard: UTC Window: Each predicted date evaluated with ± 1 day margin Metrics calculated: (a) Number of predicted dates that had ≥ 1 qualifying quake (“date hits”) (b) Total number of ≥ 6 quakes within each ± 1 day window (c) Total ≥ 6 quakes occurring exactly on the predicted dates (d) Percentage of the month’s ≥ 6 quakes occurring inside the window exactly on prediction dates (e) Percentage of ≥ 6 quakes in the month missed entirely Data source and neutrality I will use the final global earthquake catalog (USGS or equivalent authoritative catalog) after March ends, because some magnitudes are revised days later. This prevents bias or premature conclusions. Timeline Monitoring period: 1 – 31 March 2026 (UTC) Catalog stabilization: ~7–10 days after month end Final evaluation report: around 10–15 April 2026 I will present a clear comparison table and percentages so the outcome is transparent. If you’d like, I can also show a running log during March so you can see each ≥ 6 quake as it occurs.

Comparing dates with AI for March 2026

This month the probable dates fir major ie 6 and sboveare posted here . This is a special case and special month for such prediction Though everyonth I do post my dates on my blog ,fb and LinkedIn but this time ChatGPT have taken up my challenge of comparing random 4 dates given by AI and my dates . The results after comparing, will be done by Chat GPT as per its earlier declared rules 1) 4 dates from both side 2) Date and time as per UTC 3) 6 and above magnitude will be counted 4) margin will be + or - 1 day 5) evaluation will be done on a) total date hits b) total number if quakes in margin (+ or - 1day c) total 6 and above quakes on predicted dates d) percentage of total 6 and above quakes of the month in window period and exactly on dates e) % quakes missed in month A) Now the dates given by Chat GPT are 4th ,11th,19th and 27 March 2026 B) Dates given by Gemini 5th, 14th, 23rd, 31st And the dates predicted by me are 3rd March 2026 13th March 2026 18th March 2026 26th March 2026 Watch out

Monday, January 19, 2026

Pakistan Earthquake, 6, on 19th January 2026

Watch the accuracy of prediction A 6.0 quake at Pakistan on 19th at 6.21 UTC ,and 36N, 74 East Predicted date 18th January 2026 With + or - one day margin Not only his watch epicenter location hypothesis At tye timeofquake the sun was at 87 E longitudes The margin is 87-74=13 Degrres Which is well within the margin of 15 degrees longitudes For more https://earthquake-prediction.blogspot.com

Friday, January 16, 2026

18th January 2026, probable quakes at Japan region

Academic note. Probable time For major quakes on 18th January at 120E to 150 E Disclaimer The following information is based on my independent research hypothesis regarding major earthquake timing and epicenter geometry. This hypothesis has not been approved, validated, or peer-reviewed by any institute, organization, or professional seismologist. Earthquakes may or may not occur during the periods mentioned below. This note is shared solely for academic record and observational purposes. No public action, warning, or response is required. A) Japan Region Longitude band: 120°E to 150°E Probable time windows (UTC ± 45 minutes Here are the probable times ,in UTC , for major ,6+ ,quake to occur in longitude belt of 120 E ,to 150 E 1)01.45 UTC 2) 07.30 UTC 3) 14.45 UTC 4) 21.50 UTC

Saturday, January 10, 2026

A date hit ,time hit ,magnitude hit ,6.5 quake on 10th January 26

Wake up #USGS WAKE UP #JAPAN #WAKEUPSEISMOLOGIST #INDONESIA #JAMA A date hit A time hit A epicenter hit ( longitudes margin) A 6 .5+ hit quake Watch my prediction earlier posted on my blog https://earthquake-prediction.blogspot.com My LinkedIn post My fb post Well in advance. It follows my Epicenter location hypothesis. Exact wording posted yesterday ... .... .... .. Academic Note: Probable Time Windows for M ≥ 6.0 Earthquakes (10 January 2026) Disclaimer The following information is based on my independent research hypothesis regarding major earthquake timing and epicenter geometry. This hypothesis has not been approved, validated, or peer-reviewed by any institute, organization, or professional seismologist. Earthquakes may or may not occur during the periods mentioned below. This note is shared solely for academic record and observational purposes. No public action, warning, or response is required. A) Japan Region Longitude band: 120°E to 150°E Probable time windows (UTC ± 45 minutes) 02:15 UTC 08:30 UTC 14:45 UTC 21:00 UTC B) Americas Longitude Belt Longitude band: 75°W to 105°W Probable time windows (UTC ± 30 minutes) 00:00 UTC 06:00 UTC 12:00 UTC 18:00 UTC 23:40 UTC These time windows are derived from a hypothesis involving Sun–Moon geometry and tidal forcing, applied consistently in forward-posted records since 2006. 🔗 For full methodology, historical records, and context: https://earthquake-prediction.blogspot.com Note: All statements above are subject to the same disclaimer stated at the beginning of this post.

Friday, January 09, 2026

10th January 2026 , Earthquake prediction

Academic Note: Probable Time Windows for M ≥ 6.0 Earthquakes (10 January 2026) Disclaimer The following information is based on my independent research hypothesis regarding major earthquake timing and epicenter geometry. This hypothesis has not been approved, validated, or peer-reviewed by any institute, organization, or professional seismologist. Earthquakes may or may not occur during the periods mentioned below. This note is shared solely for academic record and observational purposes. No public action, warning, or response is required. A) Japan Region Longitude band: 120°E to 150°E Probable time windows (UTC ± 45 minutes) 02:15 UTC 08:30 UTC 14:45 UTC 21:00 UTC B) Americas Longitude Belt Longitude band: 75°W to 105°W Probable time windows (UTC ± 30 minutes) 00:00 UTC 06:00 UTC 12:00 UTC 18:00 UTC 23:40 UTC These time windows are derived from a hypothesis involving Sun–Moon geometry and tidal forcing, applied consistently in forward-posted records since 2006. 🔗 For full methodology, historical records, and context: https://earthquake-prediction.blogspot.com Note: All statements above are subject to the same disclaimer stated at the beginning of this post.

Friday, January 02, 2026

6.5 Mexico quake ,a hit prediction for 2nd January 2026

Wake up #USGS Wake up #NDMA Wake up #JAMA Wake up #Mexicoearthquake Watch accuracy of prediction A major quake of 6.5 occured today, ie 2nd January 2026. Time of quake is at13.58 UTC Mexico time is 6 hr behind UTC So local time is 13.58-6 = 7.58 local time Sun rise ,today ,at Mexico is at 7.15 hrs local time So quake is 43 minutes after Sunrise., This follows my major earthquake epicenter hypothesis. Predicted date 3rd January 2026 ,with + or - one day window Not only this ,watch my epicenter location hypothesis. The quake occured at the local time of Sun Rising and Moon Setting By the way for new comers, My epicenter location hypothesis in nutshell is like this.. The major, 6+ quakes occur at a location Where 1) The Sun or Moon are overhead ,ie same longitudes ,with + or - 15 degrees margin,or opposite side of the Earth at that time ( Nadir) longitudes margin Or 2) Sun or Moon are either rising or setting with +or - 45 minutes margin,ie twilight zone margin. Watch my blog for accuracy of prediction since year 2006 https://earthquake-prediction.blogspot.com