Can earthquakes be predicted?

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Sunday, July 15, 2012

Result of openion poll-Can Earthquakes be predicted?

hi
 A question was asked on this blog-
 Can earthquakes be predicted?
In answer ,total 1591 people have gave their openion,which are as follows
1) Yes------------505----31%
2)No-------------351----22%
3)Possibly Yes---582---36%
4)No------------153----09%

If we add up -Yes and possibly Yes ,it add up to 67%
Any comments?
Amit

Sunday, July 08, 2012

Earthquake prediction for July 2012

hi
 PART A

 First date for July was already posted in my June prediction., and which was correct,Due to lack of time I am un able to concentrate on my calculations for rest of the adtes of July 2012.I am not a full time research guy,but find some time after full dyas work(8 am to 8 pm). I would love to work full time on the topic if supported by NZ Government
Nevertheless ,further dates are posted here with for your cross checking
1)16th July 2012-----------6.4

2)19th July 2012-----------6.2

3)22nd July 2012.---------6.3

4)29th July 2012----------6.8

 This time , I would like to check the dates (as per UTC), without any + or - one day window period

PART B

 Recent quake of June 2012 having magnitude 7.0(or 6.2? ) at NZ ,has made me think several questions?

USGS has stated that the quake was of magnitude 6.2, where as NZ media and other News has quoted it as having magnitude 7.0
Now the question is why such variations in magnitudes ? Which one is correct, or the other one is less accurate?
  My questions to elite seismologist are

How many,minimum, seismographs readings are required to arrive at accuracy of one decimal?
Are local (NZ) seismologist and Govt not doing proper homework before publishing magnitudes, if USGS is taken as ture and correct observer?

Can any ons or even NZ officials throw some light on this issues?

If ,we are to allow such huge differnece in observations, how are we (seismologist) asking dot accuracy from people like myself,who gives estimates well before an event?
 Any answers?

Amit

Saturday, June 02, 2012

earthquake prediction for June 2012

hi
Here are the probable dates for major earthquakes

1) 4th June 2012-------------6.6----- 10.10 UTC

2)10th June 2012-----------6.5

3)19th June 2012-----------6.4

4)26th June 2012----------6.4

5)29th June 2012----------6.6


July 2012

2/3 rd July 2012-------------7.1-----1st July 12.00 noon UTC
                                                  3 rd July 19.15 UTC

Watch the dates

Amit

Tuesday, May 01, 2012

Earthquake prediction for May 2012

hi
 Here are probable dates for major quakes in the month of May 2012

1 )6th May 2012----------6.8  --(10.30 UTC)

2)8th May  2012---------6.6--(12.30 UTC)

3)14th May 2012------- 6.3

4 ) 22st May 2012-------6.5

5) 28th May 2012------6.3

 As a test let us watch (this time ) the date and time  ,wherever mentioned.
Magnitude window is + or - 0.3

Watch the dates
Amit

Thursday, March 29, 2012

Earthqauke predicion for April 2012

hi

Following dates are prone to earthquakes/eruptions

1 ) 6/7th April 2012----------------6.5
2) 15th April 2012---------------- 6.3
3) 22th April 2012-----------------6.2

watch he dates
window period for date + or -one day
window period for magnitude + or -0.3
place not predicted
Amit

Friday, March 23, 2012

Cycle quakes in March 2012,-Think out of the box-

Hi


By the same logic and rule of -cycle quake-we may get some quake of 6+ magnitude on 27/28th March

whenever Moon is at Max declination (also on 27th March ) ,closer, on equator, faster,COinsing ,squaring or opposing Sun or/planet changing the direction ,we may get major quakes

What I maen by -cycle quake concept- is

Before and after any major quake,pre shocks or after shocks occurs at an interval of 7/7 and half days.This is because,After every seven and half days (approx) Moon changes to next potent position ,90 degrees apart(which is also potent).Also after each 7 and half days, Moon occupies potent declinations, ie max North to on equator or from equator to Max south.Thus,7/8th ,14/15th ,21/22nd and 29/30th day after amjor quakes we may get major aftershocks and quakes at differnt locations also

Have any body noticed cycle quakes in March 2012 (current month. ie 8th ,14/15th ,20/21st March 2012?

THINK OUT OF THE BOX,LOOK AT IT FROM OTHER ANGLE ALSO(OTHER THAN PLATE TECTONICS)

Amit

Wednesday, March 21, 2012

7.4 earthquake at Mexico and 6.2 at Indonesia

hi
 Please see my prediction for March 2012 and to days two major earthquakes .
watch the accuracy.It is surprising that ,we believe these quakes are just by chance, and my predictions are not better than random date selected by anyone
I hope major Instituations , Universities and USGS will look in to the matter, and promote such research by givinng technical and finincial help
 In fact , I would love to do this research (my 18 year old hobby) on full time basis. However, due to official work presure I am unable to spend time on this .I wold love to leave my job and concentrate on this work if sponsored by any Institute or universities
Amit