Can earthquakes be predicted?

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Saturday, February 26, 2022

Earthquake Prediction for March 22

 Hi

Welcome back

Here are the probable dates fir major Earthquakes in March 22

Time window period is +or - one day

1) 4th March .... 6.5

2)13th March...6.6

3) 18th March...6.8

4) 24th March...7.0


Watch out for accuracy 

Regards

Amit

Friday, January 28, 2022

Earthquake Prediction for the month February 22

 Hi 

Here are some of the probable dates fir major quakes ( >6 )

Time window is +or - one day

Magnitude +or- 0.3 

Place/locations not predicted, as not allowed by Indian Disaster Act 2005 ( giving all three ,date ,place and Magnitude)

1) 2nd Feb..22......6.6

2)12th Feb........... 6.3

3)17th Feb.......... 7.1

4)24th Feb..........6.3

5) 27th Feb.  ...   6.6


Note..Basic theory is like this

1)Earth consist of hot semi solid magma ( around 6000km)and an upper crust of about 100kms

2) There occurs high tides and low tides in this semi solid magma ,exactly like one in oceans wares

3) The day on which the tidal pull exceed a threshold limit ( which is less for fault lines and plate boundaries), it breaks the upper crust ...and a quake occurs)

4) If the pull is directly over a volcano mouth ,it breaks open the mouth and an eruption occurs

These are basics 

Exact tidal pull calculations and momentum change formula are applied before predicting dates

Regards

Amit Dave

Results of my January 21 predictions

 Hi

Before ,I give probable dates for the month of Feb 22 ,here are the resluts of my predictions for the month of January  22

All quakes are major quakes ie more than 6 

on Ritchard scale

1) predicted date 3rd ..(+ or - 1 day)...

Acual.. on 3rd. at Vanuattu and Taiwan

2)prediction 9th.

Actual on 10th and 11th early morning Karmadic Island and Cyprus

3) prediction 16th

Actual  on 16th  at PNG .Pappa Na Guiana 

4) prediction for 20th

Actual quake on 21 st ..6.3.at Japan

5) prediction for 31st...

Yet to come ...

But...

A quake of 6.4 at Karmadic Island today ie 29th 

Wait till 1st for this date

Watch the accuracy 

Wake up ....USGS...

Wake up Japan Siesmology ...JAMA

Amit Dave

amitjdave@yahoo.com 

j.amit.d@gmail.com 

Pl contact 

Friday, December 24, 2021

Earthquake Prediction for January 2022

 Hi

In January every year The Earth is closest to the Sun and The Sun starts moving towards North

( Uttarayana) .

Further in this month both Mercury and Venus changes their direction,hence the association or oppostion of these planets with Moon  have potential to create major Erthquakes


Here are the the probable dates of major Earthquakes in the month of January 2022.

1) 3rd  January  2022.....7.5

2)9th January  22...........6.4

3) 16th January 22   ....6.9

4)20th January  22.....6.4

5) 31st January  22...6.4

The time period window is +or - one day

The magnitude window period is +or -  0.5 

Locations are not specified for obvious  reasons


 


Sunday, October 31, 2021

Earthquake Prediction for the month of November 21

 Hi

Here are the probable dates of major Earthquake for the month of November 2021

1)4th .......6.4

2) 7th........7.0

3)12th......6.6

4) 19th .....6.7

5)23rd......6.6

6)27th.....6.5

The window period is +or - one day

The locations are not mentioned here ( as not allowed by Disaster Act 2005)

Monday, October 25, 2021

Earthquake Prediction. Two questions to Seismologist pertaing to Plate tectonics

 hi 

 Here are two simple questions which need to be answered  based on existing plate tectonic theorry

1) Why there are big quakes at locations other than plate boundries


2) Why there are dozens of small quakes (less than 4 on R Scale) daily?


 This is an open invitation to all those who thinks that ,one and only reason for quakes is plate frictions and there is no other reason what so ever


 Regards 

 Amit

Saturday, October 09, 2021

Earthquake Prediction for October 21,with reason

 Hi

Here are the probable dates for major (6+) earthquakes in the month of October 21.

1) 15th.......................6.5 magnitude

2) 17th to 20th ......at least two major quakes of 7+

3) 30th ............. 6.4

Pl note place/locations are not predicted, as it is not allowed under Indian Disaster Act 2005.

So ,it could be any where all over the world ,specialy at prone area.

 Nevertheless, I calculate and note probable locations in my personal diary.

 This month is special for major earthquakes for the following reasons

A) All three planets are changing their direction in this month ie Jupiter, Saturn and Mercury. 

B) Sun is slowly coming closer to Earth ,closest in December 

Whenever, major planets changes direction ( actually, it is only relaive to Earth, it appears to be stopping and moving in opposite direction ,ie from Direct to retrogate or from retrogate to direct,) the rate of change of momentum of molten lava/magma inside the Earthcrust induces turbulance and hence a quake. It is like applying breakes or accelarating a vehicle,when you feel sudden jerk

The reasons for selecting dates

1) 15th....Moon joins Jupiter...which is changing direction .Jupiter when join with Moon ,it porovides more tidal pull.Further if Jupiter joins or opposes Moon in the month in which it chages direction ,it becomes potent. If Jupiter is closer to Earth ,ie less than 5 AU ( Astronomical units ,one AU is equal to to average distance of Earth to Sun.) it is much potent.

2) 17 to 20th.

On 17th Sun and Moon Declinations are same

On 18th Mercury is changing Direction and opposes Moon

On On 19th Moon is at Equator ,hence it is closer ,due to curvature of Earth at Equator

On 20th a Full Moon

3) On 30th.

 Moon opposes Jupiter ( who is changing Dire tion)

Moon opposes Saturn, who is also changing the direction.

On 31 st Both Sun and Moon are at same Declinations 

Date predi tion window perod is+ or -one day