Can earthquakes be predicted?

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Wednesday, April 07, 2010

Earthquake prediction depending on cycle quakes

As there are few quakes at Baja,Macaua and Indonesia now ,the quakes on 12th April 2010 1230 UTC and on 14th April 2010 (modified ) are more or less confirmed

14 comments:

Unknown said...

I live in Baja Mexico, and we are still feeling the aftershock´s from last sunday´s earthquake, can you please tell me how can you predict that on April 12, there will be another earthquake ???

Unknown said...

are you saying that there will be more quakes on April, 12 on all the same locations, Baja, Macau, Indonesia ???

AMIT said...

jorge E
place can not be pin pointed as of to day.I am not sure of the locations. so there is no point in being anxious.relax
regards
Amit

AMIT said...

Hi
please note solomon quake (7.1) and spain quake of 6.3 as predicted

AMIT said...

I am sorry sir, I am unable to reply
regards
Amit

AMIT said...

Hi
please note to days China quake (6.9) and predicted date 14th April 2010.I would like Roger to comment on this

Roger Hunter said...

Amit;

Any hits you get are due to chance.

Now I want you to explain all the misses.

Roger

AMIT said...

Roger
What do we think a weather forecast is ? A science? Do we have mathematical accuracy of 2+2=4?
How accurate are we in predicting land fall of cyclone precisely (well in advance)though we have satellite images to rely upon?
Why do we need either 0% or 100%? can we not start with ,say,75%?
regards
Amit

Roger Hunter said...

Amit;

Yes, we can accept a percentage of hits provided it is significantly better than chance.

But you are nowhere near chance, let alone better.

Roger

Unknown said...

Amit,

Where do you post your predictions at? I would like to review them.
And Roger, as said earlier...SOME hits are better than NO hits. Indicating a window of time in which to be prepared for heightened quake activity is a good idea. At least Amit is making an effort. Why don't you? I suppose you would say that earth sensitives, people who monitor their body's symptoms and ear tones accurately are quacks too...but they have accurate hits as well. Does USGS or any other scientific establishment? No. Amit is right. Think outside the box. Consider possibilities instead of beating them down. Maybe AMIT is missing something that will make the window narrower...perhaps you could find that? Why don't you help instead of hinder?

AMIT said...

samual
Thank you very much
dates are posted on this blog dated 10th January 2010.
also on 25th November 2009 as well as 6th January 2010
chile quake predicted for 28th Feb 2010,which occured on 27th
There is lot of work still remained to be done
regards
Amit

Roger Hunter said...

Samual;

You are missing the point.

Amit has a theory. He makes predictions but they are of no use because he cannot give locations.

I check his predictions against the quakes and find he could get more hits by drawing dates out of a hat.

I cannot help because his theory is wrong. No amount of work can help.

Roger

Zyxzz said...

Theres alot that is missed, thats why is call theory for now.

But sticking your head in the sand is of no use here, yeah, we all gone to die sooner or later, nothing wrong with enjoying the present.

But when you have loved ones and they need you alive, nothing more noble than try to survive a lil more to enjoy real purpose of life, LOVE.
Remember Jesus, I was an sceptical most my life, till I start noticing the signs before us, every thing is writen in the book, to a certain point, we can have the oportunuty to fullfill it.
until that time we can only grab bits of info, here and there, and try to connect the dots, the key is to survive, as Mankind of course. Not as individuals, I can only hope Im wrong and Jesus right.
Not trying to ofend anybody.
Never tried to change the subjet of this blog, but at the contrary I think is relative. since we are trying to save some lives.

By the way roger, Location is planet earth, for now.

Amit any way to predict not specific place, but instead tectonic area or continent,
Thanks for reading.
Regards!

AMIT said...

Zyxzz
Thank you very much.I am trying to do my level best.
Thanks again
regards
Amit