An open invitation to Seismologist

 Hi

 Here is an open invitation for seismologist to cross check my theory 

 

USGS data available

From 01.01.2021 to 01.01.2022 there are total 157 earthquakes which are greater than 6

it means in a year ,ie 360 days  there were 257 quakes which were greater than 6

ie 157/360=0.436 quakes of 6+ magnitude per day

 

Now invitation 

For the current month  dates 24th ,25th and 26th (ie November 2022) and as per time in UTC ,

observe the quakes which are 6+  ,all over the world

As per law of average it should be 

0.436x3 = 1.3  say 2 quakes ( to be safer side)

 

Now what seismologist in general and USGS in particular  believes should be the number of 6+ quakes in these three days to be well above average . 

What is the figure they thing fit to be considered worthy to have a second look?

Double?....ie 4 quakes in 3 days?

three times..?  ie 6 quakes in 3 days

five times ?...ie 10quakes in 3 days

watch out 

 

Amit