Can earthquakes be predicted?

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Thursday, December 29, 2022

Earthquake prediction for January 2023

 Here are the probable dates and time in UTC, for major quakes (6+) for the month of January 2023


1) 3rd January 2023.........20.00 UTC
2) 7th January  2023........00.30 UTC
3) 10th January 2023....   12.00 UTC
4) 13th January 2023.... ..08.30 UTC
5) 21st January 2023.... ..21.00 UTC
6) 26th January  2023.....02.00 UTC

Magnitude predicted 6+
Time window + or - 12 hrs
Location as per theory..which says...

At the time of quake ,with respect to epicenter longitudes , the Sun/Moon  will be at Zenith or Nadir .(+ or - 10 degrees)
Or
Sun/Moon will be rising /setting at epicenter  ( + or - 1 hr )
Thus out of 31 days ,5 days are predicted for major quake.So by law of average 1/6th major quakes should  occurs in these 5 days. If the number of 6+ quakes are more than 1/6th of the total quakes in the month ,the theory should be studied in depth 

11 comments:

Roger Hunter said...

Amit;

Jan 3 6+ wrong

Roger

Roger Hunter said...

Amit;

No 6+ on 3rd.

Wrong #1

Roger

Roger Hunter said...

What do you mean "no comments"? I've posted at least twice recently.

Roger

Roger Hunter said...

Your predictions

23 1 3 6+ WRONG
23 1 7 6+ WRONG

Roger

AMIT said...

Roger
1) see reply
7 quake on next day at Vauattu
2) A fresh volcainc erupton on date ( with window period) can successfully the magnitude.
This is due to release of tidal pull built up pressure inside the crust

Roger Hunter said...

Amit;

Correction

Your prediction score

1/3 WRONG
1/7 Late hit
1/10 Early hit
1/13
1/21
1/26

Roger

Roger Hunter said...

Amit;

Jan update
1/1
1/2
1/3 P. WRONG
1/4
1/5 6.0 MISSED
1/6
1/7 P.
1/8 7.0 LATE HIT
1/9 7.6 EARLY HIT
1/10 P.
1/11
1/12
1/13 P. WRONG
1/14
1/15 6.2 6.3 MISSED
1/16
1/17 6.0 7.0 MISSED
1/18
1/19
1/20 6.1 6.8
1/21 P. HIT EARLY
1/22
1/23
1/24 6.4 MISSED
1/25
1/26 P. 6.0 HIT
1/27
1/28
1/29
1/30
1/31

6 predictions
4 Correct

11 quakes
5 predicted
6 missed

AMIT said...

roger
pl specify your criteria
Is it + or -1 day
+ or -24 hrs
or
+ or - 12 hrs

Amit

Roger Hunter said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Roger Hunter said...

Amit;

Where are the summary list of predictions for 2022 and 2023?

I have 2020 to 2021 but 22 and 23 are incomplete in what I have.

Roger

Roger Hunter said...

Amit;

Corrections;

I'm changing my analysis to fit your method.

Quake on predicted date gets full credit
Quake on day before and after gets full credit too.
Anything else gets no credit

Prediction on wrong day (not near a quake) gets MISS score.

You should get MISS score for quake not predicted but that may be too strict.

Roger