Watch the accuracy of major Earthquake prediction for the month of February 24
The date 7/8 February was prediction.Actual quake on 9th at 10.58 UTC ,6.1 at Tonga Iceland
Moreover there is a volcanic eruption at Iceland on 8th and an emergency is declared
It was told ,time and again ,that my Earthquake prediction dates are also prone to volcanic eruptions
This is because both occurs due to built up tidal pull inside the Earth crust.
If the tidal pull breaks the plate boundry partially it give an Earthquake and if it breaks open the mouth of a volcano it is an eruption
Now few words on my date 7/8 th February
It means from 7th 12 noon UT C to 8th 12 Noon UTC (+ or - 1 day as window period)
12 comments:
amit;
What is an Eroution?
You need a proofreader!
Roger
Roger
Yes and No
This is because ,I find time only when I am going to officially oncoming back ,which is about 30 km from my home.
I travel by Mumbai Subarban Local train.
You must be aware of the crowd in Mumbai local trains.
Yes ,I should have saved draft and checked later ,before posting.
Any way ,laungage is only for conveying idea and thoughts
https://images.app.goo.gl/gn7gaZD2khskAhj88
Regards
Amit
Amit;
Have you considered moving to America?
Roger
Roger
At this age (68 ) and 10 years after official retirement as a senior Engineer, now it may be possible and even advisable to move to USA.
And not even get permission to stay there
Thank you
Amit
Roger
Nevertheless, I would love working full time on -Earthquake prediction. There are fair chances of me getting this to do in USA.
Alternatively, I can do full time research remotely, if supported by USA or USGS
Regards
Amit
Amit;
I don't know the details on how to inquire about it but you might start with NEIC at Golden, Co.
Neither do I know the staff there any more since I retired so long ago. Still, it never hurts to ask.
Roger
Roger
Thanks Roger
Regards
Amit
neic
National Earthquake Information Center
Golden, Co.
Amit;
Now you're getting tricky. I don't use time in my files so anything the day before or after
the predicted date is counted as a hit too.
Roger
Amit;
At 68, you'll be considered too old for most jobs in America.
Not trying to discourage you, just warning you of the way things are here.
Roger
Roger
Yes
I am aware of this.
Infact ,in India also retirement age is 58 or max 60.
After 60 if appointed as an advisor or consultant, the age limit is 65
I am still working full time,as an advisor, at 68 is a rare exception ,
Moreover, finding time for Earthquake Prediction in week ends ,is a tough task.
One more task taken is in the field of Stress Management
This is possible only due to maintain good health with regular Yoga,meditation and walking.
Regards
Amit
amit
Finally finished my 2021 to 2024 analysis of your predictions.
You got 101 hit predictions and 51 missed predictions so you
reached 50.1%, just a tiny bit more than flipping a coin.
This just won't do for quake prediction. We need 100% correct
because lives are at stake, sometimes thousands of them at a time.
The study is based on only those predictions for which I could
find printed sources of the predictions.
I allowed your 3 day window, so a day before or after your date
also counted as a hit.
There was no penalty for NOT predicting even though there should be
one, since failing to predict is the worst possible thing, resulting
in the maximum number of deaths.
Roger
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