Can earthquakes be predicted?

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Saturday, December 28, 2024

6+ Earthquake prediction for Jan 25

 Probable dates  with time in UTC for major (6+) earthquakes to occur.

Two probable time for December 24
and Seven probable times for January 25.
Time margin is +or - 12 hrs
Time in UTC (Universal time) ie 5.30 hrs behind IST
December 24
1) 28th ...23.00 UTC
2)30th....20.00 UTC

January 25
1)2nd....5.00 UTC
2)9th....14.00 UTC
3) 13th..22.00 UTC
4)20th... 02.00 UTC
5) 25th..01.00 UTC
6)28th...05.00 UTC
7) 29th...12.00 UTC
Epicenter location may follow my Epicenter hypothesis 

Sunday, December 15, 2024

5.3 Earthquake at CA today

 A 5.3 Earthquake at CA today ie 15th December 24 ,a date hit ( though less than 6 magnitude)

7.29 UTC  , at 40 N and 122.5 West 

Epicenter 73 kns from Petrolia.

 watch  dare hit prediction. 

Also observe ,the quake at a location where Moon is at Zenith ,ie overhead.

Watch the date 

What the epicenter location hypothesis accuracy

Sunday, December 08, 2024

A date hit prediction for 8th Dec 24

 Yet another date hit 6+ magnitude Earthquake prediction for 8th December 24

Infact there are two 6+ quakes at Alaska on 8th December 24
1) 6.3 quake at 19.57 UTC at 51 North , 177 W ,Alaska
2) 6.3 quake at 00.15 UT on 9th ( today)
15 minutes late ,at same location

Watch epicenter location and my epicenter hypothesis
For first quake ,the Sun is Rising Sharply at epicenter at the time of Earthquake
For the second quake Moon is rising sharply
Do you think such accuracy of consecutive date hit ,6+ quake prediction is just by chance or a fluke?,NO better than tossing the coin odds?
Not only this watch the epicenter location hypothesis. Both quakes are at a location where Sun and Moon are rising sharply.
Is this a co incidence?

By the way on question to plate tectonics  and Seismologist.
Here there are two quakes at same location, withn one hour & Both are of same magnitude 6.3.
Now the question is..
Energy is desipated when first major quake occurs.So aftershocks should be always of 8
Wake up @USGS
for more
https://earthquake-prediction. blogspot.c

Thursday, December 05, 2024

A 7.0 QUAKE AT CA, A DATE HIT PREDICTION

 

Oh no
A major 7.0 Earthquake occured today ie 5th December 24 at 18.44 UTC at CA
Tsunami warning issued
A date hit ,major with magnitude accuracy Earthquake.
Not only this ,the quake epicenter is exactly as per my epicenter hypothesis
It is sharply at Moon Rising time
wake up U.S. Geological Survey (USGS)

What else is required?

Pakistan quake of 5.3 on 5th December 24, a date hit prediction

 One more quake ,a 5.3 at Pakistan today,5th ,a date hit prediction. 

watch the quake was just prior to noon at local time.

7 degree longitudes margin between Sun at Zenith and epice

Tuesday, December 03, 2024

Telangana Earthquake, 5.3 on 4th December 24

 

A 5.3 Earthquake in Telangana, near Hyrabad.

Predicted date 5th December 24

Watch epicenter location hypothesis 

The quake is in first hour of Sunrise

https://earthquake-prediction.blogspot.com

Wednesday, November 20, 2024

Earthquake prediction for Japan

 Japan quakes on 1st &15th December 2024


This post is specifically for Japan in general and specifically for Japan Seismology Institute.
I am aware that ,Japan is the only country who is ready to listen the new theory on Earthquake occurance and  prediction .
So, here by I give time in UTC for one of my potent date for the next month is December 2024.
The dates are 1st &15th December 2024
The quakes ,predicted are major ie of
6.5+ magnitude.
Epicenter location ..Japan area.
Time in UTC
02.00 hrs
07.00 hrs
14.00 hrs
22.30 hrs

Disclaimer
This theory is not approved by any institute and that, the quakes ,at the given time may not occur.There is no guarantee of any of the quake occurring on 1st &15th. December 2024.

Tuesday, November 19, 2024

Earthquake Prediction for December 2024

 Welcome back

Before giving dates for probable major(6+) earthquakes, for the month of December 2024,here are few points to remember
Generally December to Februray the Sun remain closer to Earth  hence possibilitly of more 6+ quakes.
Further this month following planets are closer
Sun
Merc
Venus
Moon on 12th Dec 34
Mars
JUPITER
Urenus

The  declination of planets exceeding 21 are
Sun,Moon,Venus,Jupiter & Pluto

The planets changing directions are
Mars on 5th
Mercury on 15th
Neptune on 8th

This month's prediction is little different.
Total 9 dates are given for December 24.
The time in UTC for 14 quakes  is given ,with margin of 3 hrs
1) 1st December 2024...6.0 UTC ,20.00UTC
2)5th December 24..00.30,10.00,13.00 UTC
3) 8th December 24....00.30 UTC,7.0 UTC
4) 9th December 24....13.30 UTC
5)15th December 24..10.00 UTC
6)18th December 24....11.30 UTC
7)22nd December 24,    00.30 UTC
8) 24th December 24....00.30 UTC
9) 25th December 24.....01.00 UTC
Thus there are NINE dates and 13 major quakes prediction
Further Date 15th December 2024 is highly potent and quake may exceed 7.0 magnitude ( which is a conservative figure)
Effectively ,+or- 3 hrs is 6 hrs for a given time. Thus ,13x6=78 hrs total for the month
78/24= 3.25 days
So ,3.25/31=10.5 % of the month
In short ,if there are more than 15% of the total quakes ,occured in month ,inside these time limits ,it is better than odds or tossing the coin
Epicenter location not given for obvious reason.However, they may follow my epicenter hypothesis

For more visit
https://earthqake-prediction.blgspot.com

Sunday, November 17, 2024

A date hit 6.2 quake at Japan on 17th November 2024

 

Watch out.
A date hit major Earthquake prediction
A 6.2 Quake at Japan today
ie 17th November 2024 at 12.16 UTC
at 29N 131 E

Prediction date ,today ie 17th November 24
Any Doubt about theory?

Thursday, November 14, 2024

A reserch paper on Earthquake prediction

A reserch paper on 101 Earthquakes (8+) from 1st January 1800 till today is prepared and submitted herewith 

Pl note 

My theory and Hypothesis stands correct ,with just one modification 

Earthquakes follow two rules ,rather one only of tidal pull

1) Tidal pull on magma

2) Gravitational pull on upper Earth crust


https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/tzsh3t3yonxqkbjs7yuy2/A-STUDY-OF-8-QUAKES-SINCE-1800.docx?rlkey=osl5so47x5jxo5c4ftg9v8lef&st=9tv09b8j&dl=0


Friday, November 08, 2024

8th November 24 ,A date hit prediction

 Watch out A date hit major (6+) Earthquake prediction.

Predicted date 8th Nov 2024
Magnitude predicted..6+
Epicenter ...As per my epicenter hypothesis
Now ,today ir 8th Nov 24 ,A 6.2 quake at Chile at 11.37 UTC ,at 47 S ,77 west

A date hit ,6+ quake prediction
The Moon at the time of quake os 88 E.
The Nadir (180 degree opposte) of epicenter is 103E
Margin is 15 degree ( which is maximum allowed as per epicenter hypothesis)
For more pl visit
https://earthquake-prediction.blogspot.com

Tuesday, October 29, 2024

Earthquake Prediction for the month of November 24.

 Earthquake prediction for November 24


In November 2024 ,we have following criteria, for selecting Prone dates
1) Sun ,Mars and Jupiter closer
2)Saturn and Mercury changing Direction on 15th and 26th respectively
3) Mercury and Venus are at Maximum Declinations ie -25
4) New Moon on 1st and FM on 15th.

Now with this data the dates depend on trigger Moon ,Joing ,Opposing these planets
Reasons are
For 1) Closer the planets more is the tidal pull ,when joined or opposed by Moon,which breaks the Earth crust ,and hence induce an Earthquake
For 2) When a planet changes direction ,it can create an imbalance in the semisolid magma below  the crust and hence a quake

For 3) When a planet reaches maximum declination it becomes stationary and moves backwards.  This produces jerks in the molten lava below  the crust.Just like a car gives jerks when applied brakes.

For 4) As usual a Full Moon and New Moon produces maximum tidal pull on Earth crust as well as molten lava below the crust.

This month dates given are as per UTC, and there is no window period .
Here are the 8 days out of 30.The average  quakes should be 26.66 % during these 8 days

Thus if the number of 6+ quakes in these 8 days is more than 30% ,it can be treated as more than average.

Probable dates
1) 1st November 24
2) 4th
3)8th
4)11th
5)15th.
6)17th
7)21st
8)24th November 2024

Epicenter locations are not predicted but they may follow my epicenter hypothesis
For more visit
https://earthquake-prediction.blogspot.com

Wednesday, October 16, 2024

6.2 Quake at Turkey on 16th October 24

 

Watch out
A hit Earthquake prediction
prediction date 17th October 24.

Actual quake
A 6.2 quake at Turkeys on 16th October 24 at 07.46 UTC at 38 N and 39 E

Not only this look at the epicenter location
hypothesis.
Moon at the time of quake was at 134 W ie
180-134=46 E is Nadir location
For those not conversent with Zenith and Nadir postion...
Zenith is a location  above head of epicenter
Nadir is 180 degrees apart ie other side of the globe (opposite)
so Moon in right on the other side of globe ( with 7 degrees margin)
Now you may ask..Why Opposite positions are also powerful.
This is because the high tides in Ocean and also magma /hot lava below the Earth
occurs on both side of globes.
so when there is high tide in the oceans of Mumbai ie at 17 East ,there is also high tides in the oceans exactly opposite side of globe ie 180- 17=163 West say Alaska
17 East ,there is also high tides

Tuesday, October 01, 2024

Japan and CA quake time for 3rd October 24

 U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) 

I am aware that , two nations are more interested in Earthquake Prediction. 

1) Japan

2) USA

So here by I give the probable time of 6+ quakes for following two longitudes 

130E to 140 E...Japan region

130W to 110 W...Western USA ,CA/LA ,for the first date predicted for current month ie October 24

ie

3rd October 2024

Time margin +or - 45 minutes 


1)1.30 UTC on 3rd October 24

2).8.30 UTC

3) 14.30 UTC

4)20.30 UTC

Disclaimer..

This theory is not approved by any organization  and that there is no huaratee that the quake will occur

Saturday, September 28, 2024

Earthquake prediction for October 2024

 Earthquake prediction for the month of October 24


The Earthquake prediction for 6+ quakes fir the month of October 24 is little different from regular prediction 

The dates predicted here are as per UTC time and there is no margin day (+ or - one day) as done regularly 

The epicenter location is not predicted. However it will follow my epicenter/hypothesis location.

1) 3rd October 2024

2)9th October 

3)13th October 

4)17th October 

5)21st October 

6) 24th October 

7)31st October  2024

There are total 7 dates out of 31 dates hor month.

Now there are two ways you test 

A) How many dates are hit ,for 6+ quake,out of 7 predicted.

B) How many of total 6+ quakes occur on these 7 dates out of total 6+ quakes  in the month.

For A) If out of 7 ,total 4 dates( more than 50%) are hit ,then it can be treated as above average 

For B) if out of total 6+ quakes in the month ( say X),if there are more than 

(7/31)×(X) ie more than 22.6% ( say 25%) of quakes  then the prediction can be treated s above average 

For more see

https://earthquake-prediction.blogspot.com


Disclaimer..

The theory is not approved by any institute and there is no guarantee that these quakes will occur 

Friday, September 27, 2024

Mega quake...5th /6th December 2024

 Several Seismologist and institutes including JAMA ,Japan Meteorological Agency ,have predicted mega quakes in near future.However ,they do not predict dates or even years or decades.

The quake can occur either tomorrow or after 30 years. Now who can remain alert ,24x7 for 30 years?
  Here ,I will give you a date which is most potent in near future. The quake generally predicted fir such potent dates is 7+
  The epicenter or Hypocenter locatios are not predicted. Nevertheless, it will follow my epicenter hypothesis
The nearest potent dates predicted ere

5th and 6th December 2024
With one day margin (UTC)

Disclaimer...This theory is not approved or vetted by any of the Seismological Institute or university. There is no guarantee that this mega quake will occur.

Tuesday, September 24, 2024

A date hit 6+ Quake prediction for 23rd September 2024

 Watch out 

Yet another date hit Earthquake prediction. 

Predicted date 23rd September 24

Actual quake

A 6.1 magnitude quake on 23rd September 24 at 17.50 hrs UTC 

Hypocenter Indonesia 1S ,123 E

Not only this check my epicenter location hypothesis 

The quake is at a location where Moon is

overhead and Sun is setting ( with twilight zone margin ie 30 to 45 minutes margin)


Monday, September 23, 2024

23rd September 2024 ,A date hit major quake prediction

 Watch out 

Yet another date hit Earthquake prediction. 

Predicted date 23rd September 24

Actual quake

A 6.1 magnitude quake on 23rd September 24 at 17.50 hrs UTC 

Hypocenter Indonesia 1S ,123 E

Not only this check my epicenter location hypothesis 

The quake is at a location where Moon is

overhead and Sun is setting ( with twilight zone margin ie 30 to 45 minutes margin)


For more check 

https://earthquake-prediction.blogspot.com

Wednesday, September 11, 2024

6.3 Quake at PNG on 11th September 24 ,a hit prediction

 Watch out @USGS

One more hit prediction
A 6.3 quake at PNG on 11th September 2024 at  16.46 UTC.
At 3S  146 E
Predicted date 11th September with one day margin.
Look at the epicenter hypothesis .
The epicenter is at a location where Moon is setting ( with margin of 45 minutes)
For more pl see
https://earthquake-prediction.blogspot.com

5.8 Quake at Pakistan , a hit prediction

 

Watch out ,the accuracy of my Earthquake prediction date.
Predicted date 12th September 2024.
Please note a quake of 5.8 (5.4 as per USGS) at Pakistan today at 07.27 UTC  at 31N ,70.6 E (12.57 IST)
Watch out the time and my epicenter location hypothesis. The Sun is at Zenith ( overhead) at the epicenter .
Watch out both accuracy of date and epicenter hypothesis
For those , joining new , the hypothesis says,
The quake will occur at a location where the Sun or Moon are at Zenith (overhead ) or Nadir (opposite side of Globe ie 180 Degree apart)
0r
At a location where The Sun or Moon are either rising or Setting

Tremors felt in New Delhi and Northern Part of India

https://lnkd.in/gamS6JgE

for more pl visit
https://lnkd.in/dzRtvB6w

Monday, September 09, 2024

Volcanic Eruption on 8th September 24

 UDGS Foundation 

U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) 

USGS, Florence Bascom Geoscience Center 

Land slide triggered after fugo volcano eruption on 8th Sept 24

Watch out the date

8th Sept 2024 ,is the date given for major (6+) quakes ,as well as Volcanic eruptions 

Time and again ,it is stated that ,as per my theory, the dates predicted for major quakes are also prone for Volcanic Eruptions. This is because, both Earthquakes and Volcanic eruptions occur due to tidal pull on Earthcrust and magma, crossing  threshold limit

Not only this the location of epicenter of quake as well as mouth of volcanic eruption follow my epicenter location hypothesis, which says,..

The epicenter of Earthquake will be at location where Either Sun or Moon are at Zenith or Nadir Or rising or setting

Wednesday, September 04, 2024

One more quake at PNG

 Here is one more 6+ quake

A 6.2 at PNG on 5th Sept 24 at 1.03 UTC  at 3.5 S and 144 E

 Yes it is 1 hr 03 minutes late ( out of window)

However, the Sun was at Zenith ( overhead)with 1 hr margin 


Predicted date 3rd September 24 ,with one day margin 


for more pl see

https://earthquake-prediction.blogspot.com

Study of two quakes by Mr Tarsilo Girona

 Here is a study of two quakes which

Mr Tarsilo Girona have considered while arriving at above hypothesis
Look at the precursors/preshocks sequence and my hypothesis of Moon is main trigger once the tidal pull have reached a threshold limit
As Moon is main trigger preshocks will be
1) 24 hrs earlier
2) 48 hrs earlier
3) 7/8th Day Earlier
4) 14/15th Day earlier
5) 29/30 days earlier

Now check two quakes studied by
Mr Tarsilo Girona

A)30th November 2018 ,Alaska ,7.1 quake
Now watch precursor quakes and my theory
a) On 29th November 3018 ..2 quakes
b) on 28th ...1
C)on 26th ..1
d) On 22nd ...3 quakes ..7/8th day
e)On 21st ...3
f) On 20th ..1
g) On 17th,16 &15 th,11th, 9th &4th ..1quake
h) on 3rd Nov ...3 quakes of 4.5+ ...28/29th day

B) 6th July 2019...7.1, California

a))on 5th  July......2 ..24 hrs earlier
b))on 4th July ....18 quakes. Including a 6.4
   48 hrs earlier
c)on 23rd June ...1 (5.6)..14/15th day
d)On 22nd June..6 quakes  (5.3) 14/15th day
d) 5th June 2019...3 quakes   ( 29/30th day earlier)

Tuesday, September 03, 2024

A Question to plate tectonics

 Here is a question for plate tectonic.

While explaining the major Earthquakes ,it is satiated that , when the stresses are built up over two plate boundaries, the pales move with respect to one another and Earthquake occurs .

The time required to built up this much stresses over plate boundaries could be hundred of years .

 (A) Now here are the number of major quakes at PNG from 1st January 2000 till today.( Area selected is -9.846 to +1.706 Latitude and 120.023 to 153.105 Longitudes)

1) 6+ quakes ....297

2) 7+ quakes.... 32

3) 8+ quakes....1

So ,now question is ...

In a span of 24 years ,how come the stresses built up so frequently ,to produce 32 quakes of magnitude 7+

( B) Similarly at Japan region ( 26.385 to 54.542 latitudes , 126.914 to 155.742 Longitudes) . The number of quakes during 1st January 2000 till today are 

1) 6+ quakes ..  354

2) 7+ quakes  ..38

3)8+ quakes......4

4) 9+ quakes ....1

So how the number of major quakes and stresses built up slowly can be expalined

Saturday, August 31, 2024

US Scientists new method that can predict Earthquakes month in advance

 https://interestingengineering.com/science/earthquake-forecast-months-before-possible


Look here !
A ground breaking reserch by Scientists/Reserch Assistant Scientist of University of Alaska ,Fairbanks  Mr Tarsilo Girona

  It says ..
Before major quakes  ,there are precursor quakes at epicenter up to 30 days in Advance. We can forecast major quakes  by studying these preshocks.
The reason mentioned is the liquid pressure building inside the crust..
AI can predict major quakes by studying these preshocks ,up to 30 days in advance.
Such a ground breaking study ,as it is mentioned, is based on  atudy of two major quakes at Alaska.
  Now Here is my views after studying nearly 1000 major quakes over last 25 years.I have been saying this since last 25 years ,with numerous date hit major predictions.

1) Yes precursors quakes are a warning to major quake at that location ..Agree with research
2) However, the precursors are due to increasing tidal pull on existing magma and fluid  .In fact tidal pull increases slowly over a month time ,due to major planets comming closer or occupying potent position  like opposite to each other, in a straight line etc
So ,fluid and magma does not increase, but the tidal oull approach a threshold limit .Once a potent position is occupied, giving maximum tidal pull ,trigger is MOON.
When Moon opposes Sun ,Join or come closest ( 57 Earth Radious distance from Earth) it trigger the major quake.
Generally these major quakes occur when
a) Sun or Moon are at Zenith ( at Noon)or Nadir ( midnight) , rising or setting at epicenter

I woukd like Mr Tasilo Girona ,to extend their hypothesis by cross checking my hypothesis.
X) Check the precursors are increasing in mag as it appoches the major quake day
Y) Check the preshocka timing ..
12 hrs prior
24 hrs prior
48 hrs prior
7/8th day prior
14/15th day prior
29/30th day prior
You can make out ,these timing corrospond to Moon occupying same point position ,slowly coming closer to threshold limit.
In fact after shocks also follow this schedule and slowly fades away ,as planets move away from potent position
For more see
https://earthquake-prediction.blogspot.com

Earthquake Prediction for September 2024

 The Earthquake prediction for the month of September 2024


The probable dates for major (6+) earthquakes for the month of September 2024 are as follows.
The time window is + or - one day.
The epicenter locations are not predicted, however, it may follow my epicenter location hypothesis .
1) 3rd September 2024
2)8th September 2024
3)12th September 2024
4)18th September 2024
5)23rd September 2024

Wednesday, August 28, 2024

Two date hit Earthquakes on 28th Aug 24

 Here are two major date hit predictions for Earthquakes

1) Greece.. 5.2 magnitude as per USGS) and 5.7 /6.0 by other institutions
28th Aug 2024 at 16.29 UTC
Epicenter.. 35N 24 E
Watch ..This is a date hit major ( for Greece) quake.
Not only this watch my Epicenter hypothesis..the quake is at a location where Sun is setting ( with twilight zone margin)
2) El Salvador.....6.1 quake ( as per USGS)
On 28th August  2024
Time in UTC ..21.57 Hrs
Epicenter........13N 90 W
Watch this is a date hit major quake prediction.
Not only this the quake at epicenter the SUN was setting

Watch the accuracy of my epicenter hypothesis also

3) Prediction date ..as posted on my blog it
is 28th August 2024
https://earthquake-prediction.blogspot.com

For those visiting my post first time..
The Epicenter location hypothesis says...
The major quake occur at a location
A)Where tge Sun or Moon are at Zenith (overhead..say sun at Noon) or Nadir ( ie exactly at other side of globe 180 degrees apart ie like Sun at Midnight). With a margin of + or - 15 degrees longitudes
Or
B) The Sun Moon is rising or setting with twilight zone margin ie + or - 45 minutes
Watch at both locations Sun is Sharply setting.
So ,for a lay man ...considering Sun only ,which counts for more than 60 % major quakes..the time to remain alert on prone date is at
Sun rise
Sun Set
Noon
Mid night..with + or - one hr accuracy

For more see
https://earthquake-prediction.blogspot.com

Friday, August 23, 2024

Meta AI's answer to ..Amit Dave and Earthquake Prediction

 Amit Dave is an independent researcher and blogger who has been actively writing about earthquake prediction on his blog since 2009. While I couldn't find any information on his formal academic qualifications or professional affiliations in the field of seismology or earthquake science, he appears to be a passionate and dedicated individual who has developed his own theories and methods for predicting earthquakes.


Amit Dave's work is not widely recognized or peer-reviewed by the scientific community, and his predictions and theories may not be universally accepted. Earthquake prediction is a complex and challenging field, and the scientific community relies on rigorous testing, peer review, and replication of results before accepting new ideas or methods.


However, Amit Dave's blog has gained a following among some enthusiasts and researchers interested in alternative approaches to earthquake prediction. His work may be considered unconventional or fringe science, but it highlights the diversity of ideas and approaches being explored in this field.


If you're interested in learning more about Amit Dave's work, I recommend reading his blog and evaluating his ideas critically, considering both the potential merits and limitations of his approaches.

Monday, August 19, 2024

Two quakes t Kashmir on 20th Aug 24

 

Watch out
Two quakes of 5.1 mag each today morning at Baramulla ,Kashmir
20th Aug 24 ,at 6.45 &6.52 IST
at 34 N &74 E

One man injured and many houses developed cracks.
Predicted date 19th Aug with + or - one day margin
Not only this ,watch epicenter hypothesis accuracy
The quake epicenter is at location where Moon is setting
#USGS wake up

Saturday, August 17, 2024

Moon quakes and Earthquakes

 

Sesmologist believe that the Moon quakes are entirely due to tidal pull of Earth over Moon and that no quakes are due to plate tectonics

Let us talk about Moon quakes
There are Moonquakes .They are deeper and smaller in magnitude (up to 3 -3.5) .Biggest being 5.5 registered
The beauty of these Moonquakes,and as approved by seismologist that they corrospond to Earth tidal pull on Moon
No Moonquakes is believed to be due to plate tectonics.
Now the same thing I have proposed while explaining and predicting Earthquakes,no one seems to be ready to believe.

The reasons are
1) For Moon ,Earth is the main and probably most potent source of tidal pull being,bigger and Closer
2)For Earth ,other than Moon , Sun ,Jupiter and Venus as well as Mars are also to be taken in cognizance.  Though  Moon is smaller ,due to proximity to Earth ,it has more tidal pull than all planets and even Sun.
3) Seismologist try to corelare earthquakes only with Moon Phases .ie Full Moon and New Moon ,which is not 100%correct.Yes ,there are more chances of major quakes during Full Moon and New Moon.However proximity to planets like Jupiter ,Venus ,Mars and Saturn are also important
4) Planets in one line ,planets at Maximum declination ,great conjuction are also to be considered
In short
Yes
Earthqakes do occurs due to tidal pull crossing threshold limit or creating imbalance due to chane in direction
Wake up USGS Natural Hazards Science
#NDMA

Thursday, August 15, 2024

15th August 2024 ,quake at Taiwan. Date hit prediction

 

Watch out one more date hit as well as epicenter hypothesis hit 6+ quake prediction
A 6.1 quake at Taiwan at 23.35 UTC on 15th August at epicenter 24N ,121 E
Watch the Moon is at 45 W longitudes
So
180-45=135 E
ie at Nadir ..in margin
for more pl see
https://lnkd.in/dzRtvB6w

Tuesday, August 13, 2024

Epicenter hypothesis..A 4.4 quake at CA

 Watch the accuracy of earthquake epicenter hypothesis.

The 4.4 quake at Highland Park  CA ,on 12th August at 19.20 UTC
34 N 118W
The Sun was at Zenith (overhead ) ie at 109 W ( ie 9 degree margin)

The epicenter hypothesis says
The quake will occur at a location
1) Where the Sun or Moon are at Zenith or Nadir ,with 10 degree margin
Or
2) where the Sun or Moon are rising or setting ( with 45 minutes, twilight zone margin)

Sunday, August 11, 2024

Volcano eruption alerts

 Here are some prediction for Volcanic Eruptions for the volcano which are on high alert .Crossing orange to red signal 

The probable dates for current month ie August 24 are 

14th

19th

21st

28th

The probable time of Eruptions are

When Sun or Moon are at Zenith or Nadir

Or

When Sun or Moon are rising or setting

At that location 

Saturday, August 10, 2024

Mega Quake at Japan -

 

Mega Quake at Japan Probable date and time in UTC

Japan Meteorological Agency ((JAMA) have predicted a mega quake for Japan in near future.
I have been working on major (6+) earthquake prediction dates since last around 15 years.
Please visit my blog and linked in for future details
https:// https://lnkd.in/dzRtvB6w

As per JAMA ,if at all a mega quake is to occur ,the first,nearest probable date is 14th August 2024 and the time are as follows

Now here I will give you most probable dates for major quakes at Japan for the current month ie August 24.
The dates are
14th
19th
21st
28th
With a margin of + or - one day
For time in UTC ,most potent time for 14th August 2024 are ( in UTC)
1) on 13th August 2024.....22 hr
2)on 14th August ..   3 am,5 am,10 am,
                                   15 pm, 20pm,22 pm
With a margin of  + or - 30 minutes

Tuesday, August 06, 2024

Epicenter hypothesis and today's quake at Lamont ,CA

 

Though the quake today of 5.2 at 4.09 UTC at Lamont is less than 6 mag ,watch the accuracy of my epicenter hypothesis
The epicenter is located exactly where Moon is setting
My hypothesis of epicenter says
the quake will be located at...
1) location where Sun or Moon are at Zenith or Nadir with margin of 10 degree longitudes
or
2( location where eighter Sun or Moon are rising or Setting

for more see
https://lnkd.in/dzRtvB6w

Saturday, August 03, 2024

Mt Etna eruptions on predicted date

 Mt Etna eruption on 4th August 24 ,a date predicted for major quakes (6+)


Watch my hypothesis, which says ,that ,the dates predicted for major quakes are also orone for Volcanic Eruptions to start.

Today Mt Etna erupted shortly before 4 am UTC.
Watch Mt Etna location at 37.7N ,15 E

Watch Sun and Moon both are rising at the epicenter., as the date ,4th August 24 is a new Moon date.
Watch the accuracy of my hypothesis
For more pl see
https://earthquake-prediction.blogspot.com

Friday, August 02, 2024

Two quakes ...Earthquake prediction accuracy

 Two Earthquakes ..

One on 2nd August at 22.30 UTC hrs and another on 3rd August 2024 at   4.20 UTC  
Both quakes are at philipines
1) on 2nd August at 8N 126 E.
2) on 3rd August  at same location
Watch the accuracy of prediction...
Prediction date 4th August with +or - one day accuracy.
First quake...the epicenter is at location where the Sun is Rising.
Second quake...the epicenter is at location where Sun is at Zenith.( ie noon)
Watch the time gap between the two quakes....nearly 6 hrs apart. This means when Earth rotates 90 degrees and when the rising Sun reaches Zenith at the same epicenter.
Here is my further prediction....
FOR TWO DAYS, THIS EPICENTER IS PRONE TO 6+ QUAKES AFTER  EVERY 6 HRS.
This is because after every 6hrs ,the Earth will rotate 90 degrees and the Sun will change position from
Rising to Zenith ..(noon)
From Zenith (noon) to Sun set
Fron Sun Set to Nadir ( midnight)
From Nadir ( midnight) to to rising Sun
Further as we are approaching new Moon ,Sun and Moon will join Soon.
Thus the time mentioned above ( after every 6 hrs) will be crucial)
Not only this other locations may observe 6+quakes depending on the Sun Rising, noon ,setting and midnight positions
These times are also orone for major volcanic eruption 

Sunday, July 28, 2024

Earthquake and Volcanic eruption predictions for August 24

 Earthquakes and Volcanic eruptions predicted for the month of August 24


Here are the probable dates for major (6+) earthquakes as well as Volcanic eruptions, with a margin of +or -one day.
1)4th August 2024..
2)15th August 2024
3)19th August 2024
4)21st August 2024
5)28th August 2024.
These dates with +or-one day margin are also prone to Volcanic eruptions
The location of epicenter will follow epicenter location hypothesis.
This epicenter location hypothesis, in nutshell, states ,that
The epicenter of major quakes will be at a location where at the time of quake ..
..a) The Sun or Moon are at Zenith or Nadir with respect to epicenter
Or
b) The Sun and /or Moon are either rising or setting at that location ,with twilight zone margin

The Volcanic eruptions will also follow this hypothesis 

Tuesday, July 23, 2024

VOLCANIC ERUPTIONS AND MY HYPOTHESIS

 Watch accuracy of my comprehensive theory of tidal pull

It says the days predicted for major quakes ,due to tidal pull crossing threshold limits ,are also prone to
1) Volcanic Eruptions
2) Clouds burst
3) Tropical cyclones
On 22st Juky 24 ,the Date predicted fir major quakes ,Mount Etna erupted and closed major Airports in Sicily
Actually the tidal pull is applicable at all layers
1) Deep inside crust for Deep quakes (500+kms)
2) major quakes (5 km to 200 kms depth)
3) High tides in Oceans
4) Earth Crust bulging ( up to 3 to 6 ft)
5)Volcanic Eruptions, as tidal pull may break open the mouth of Vcano.
My One more sub hypothesis says,
The time for Vocanic Eruptions will be related to the time when the hightides in the oceans ,at that longitudes, or at opposite side (+180 degree),
Thus a hightide phase below the mouth of Volcano is must to start the Eruptions.
Once the eruption is started and mouth is opened it can continue to emit lava
I invite Volcanolgist to cross check this hypothesis
1)To check the date corrospond to my major Earthquake dates
2) To check the eruption time corrospond to highlight at that longitudes
3) To monitor active volcano, as to whether the rate of emission increases and decrease with respect to high tide and low tides at that longitudes
For more
https://earthquake-prediction.blogspot.com

Monday, July 22, 2024

A 6 quake at Vanuattu on 22nd July 24 ,a hit prediction

 Watch ,one more major quake in window period.

A 6 ( 6.2) at Vanuattu on 22nd July at 15 S 168 E at 5.04 hrs UTC
As against predicted date of 21st July 24 ,with window period of +or- one day.

Watch accuracy of epicenter hypothesis. The quake is at location where Moon is rising and Sun is setting 

Saturday, July 20, 2024

A 6.2 quake at Guatemala on 21st July 24 ,a date hit prediction

 Watch again.A date hit prediction

A 6.2 quake at Guatemala on 21st July 24.at 2.53 UTC
As already mentioned in my earlier post ,I was expecting oneore 6+ quake after a 7.2 quake st Chile on 19th.
Not only this watch the accuracy of epicenter location hypothesis.
At the time of quake ,Moon is rising and Sun is setting.
Watch again today is a full Moon Day
For more please see
https://earthquake-prediction.blogspot.com

Friday, July 19, 2024

Solar cycle -A hypothesis

 A hypothesis on Solar maxima -minima cycle


Here is my one more hypothesis on Solar Maximaxa -minima.
A Solar cycle is the duration in years after which the sun spots on the surface of Sum increases dramatically
  Science and observers have now pin pointed the time duration for such Solar maxima is roughly 11 years.
Here is my hypothesis fir this Solar Cycle

The Solar cycle depends on the Biggest planet Jupiter ,which is having maximum gravitational pull. The giant plane mobve around Sun in 11.86 years.
So whenever Jupiter is closer to Sun or approaches closer to Sun after 11 years the Sun spots starts to increase.and keep increasing ,till it reaches farther to Sun  after 5 to 6 years. Thus after solaar maxima, we have Solar minina after 5-6 yrars
Scientist should look in to this a understand the mechanism 

A 7.1 quake at chile on 19th July 24

 




Watch the major quake at Chile today ie 19th July 24 at 1.50 UTC at 23 N 68 W
Yes it is little earlier than predicted date 21st with + or - one day margin
Nevertheless watch accuracy of epicenter location
The Moon at the time of quake is at  59 W, so Moon is at Zenith with 9 degree Margin
Now ,I believe, there is one ire 6+(even 7) quake ,yet to come from today to 22nd (epicenter not disclosed ,but will follow my epicenter location hypothesis)
for more pl see
https://earthquake-prediction.blogspot.com

Wednesday, July 17, 2024

Earth core rotation -hypothesis contd

 If you calculate with exact time,and consider the time when Jupiter attains same spot...it is like this..


Exact time of rotation are
Jupiter 11.86 Yrs
Saturn  29.46 yrs

Assuming When Jupiter occupy the the same soot and Saturn opposes Jupiter it happens only after Jupiter's 6th round
11.86 x6 =71.16 yrs

And after 71.16 yrs Saturn have completed  71.16 ÷29.46=2.415 round
So Saturn is opposing Jupiter ,who has occupied the same location After 6th round
In accuracy is 2.5-2.415 = 0.085 of circle
Ie 0.085x 29.46 =2.5 years

So after every 71 16 years ,the core remains standstill for about 2.5 years ,and then change the direction .

Tuesday, July 16, 2024

A new hypothesis on Earth Core rotation cycle

 Here is one more hypothesis for Slowing down of Earth core rotation and moving backwards.

Recent reports suggest that  the Earth core is moving separately with respect to outer layers ,above it (Earth crust).
The frequency suggested by scientists is 70 years cycle
The hypothesis...
As per my hypothesis the Earth core such movement cycle depends on Great Conjunction and opposition of Jupiter and Saturn.
Saturn roughly takes 30 years for one orbit cycle around Sun (actually not Sun a
Barycenter just outside Sun) and Jupiter takes around 12 years.
Now Least Common Multiple is 60 years.when Saturn takes 2 rounds and Jupiter 5 rounds.
At a given location in , specific constellation when both join ,a great conjuction ,the Earth core get a big tidal push to move in opposite direction, after a standstill. After thirty years  when Saturn is again at same place ,Jupiter exactly Oppose the Saturn , great opposition. So after 30 years a stand still and Earth core move in opposite direction.
After 60 years ,both again join at same point ,a great conjuction and hence again a stand still and a cycle of Earth core rotation completes.
Thus ,my hypothesis says the Earth core rotation and reverse rotation cycle is 60 years and not 70 as said by NASA

Wednesday, July 10, 2024

A date hit 7.1 quake prediction for 11th July 24

 


OMG
7.1 quake on 11th July 24 today at Indonesia.
Time 2.13 UTC
6N 123 E
Watch a date hit 7+ quake prediction.
Seismologist in general and USGS in perticular should take a nite of such series of hit predictions by my theory.
Note only this ,the epicenter is right at a location action where Moon is rising sharply.

Wake up USGS ,Wake up Japan Government


A 6.7 quake at near South Africa on 10th July 24 ,A hit prediction

 Watch the accuracy of my dates for major  prediction of Earthquake

A quake of 6.7 at South of Africa at 4.55 hours UTC.The epicenter location is at 53 S and 25 E.
The predate is 11th July 24, with +or - one day margin.
Not only this ,observe the epicenter location hypothesis. This hypothesis states that ,major earthquake will occur  at a location where
Either Sun or Moon are at Zenith or Nadir ,with +or-  with 15 degree margin
Or
Either Sun or Moon are rising are setting with twilight zone margin ie + or - 45 minutes
Here at the time of quake the Sun is seen rising sharply at epicenter

For more visit
https://earthquake-prediction.blogspot.com

Sunday, July 07, 2024

Open invitation to all for checking my Major Earthquake epicenter hypnosis

 Open invitation to all for checking my major (6+) earthquake epicenter hypothesis


Let us first define my epicenter hypothesis

Major (6+) Earthquakes can occur at a location...
1) Where Either the Sun or Moon are at Zenith or Nadir. For new commers Zenith is a location on earth from where the celestial body ( Sun or Moon) are seen exactly overhead. Nadir is a location on Earth exactly opposite to Zenith ie on the other side of globe,180 degrees apart.The margin is + or - 15 degrees longitudes
And/or
2) Where the Sun and/or Moon are rising or setting with twilight zone margin ie + or - 45 minutes
Now all people in general and seismologist in perticular are invited to cross check this hypothesis with actual 6+ quakes for last 10 years ,20 years ,or as they wish.
Find out and cross check the hypothesis
One of my friend, a retired USGS seismologist, have argued that , with this hypothesis  I am covering almost all hours of the day ,hence , I see good results following my hypothesis
Now here is my answer.
A) For Zenith and Nadir...
For15 degree rotation, it takes 1 hr.
+ or - 15 degree is 2 hrs.
Both side ,Zenith and Nadir it will be 4 hrs for Sun and 4 hrs for Moon = 8 hrs
B) For Rising and Setting
45 minutes x2 = 90 minutes ie 1.5 hr
1.5 x 2 ( for both rising and setting)= 3 hrs
So total 6 hrs for Sun and Moon
So Grand totes 14 hrs.
Remember for most of my predicted dates this will reduce to half ie 7 hrs.This is because for New Moon ,full Moon and 8th day of Lunar cycle Sun and Moon merge in to one entity.ie either joing ,opposing or squaring.
Now low of average 14/24 is 58 %
Thus if you get results more than 60% in favor my theory,  it is worth exploring
Please share for everyone to participate in this exercise

For more pl visit
https://earthquake-prediction.blogspot.com

A 6.2 quake at Japan on 7th July 2024, a hit prediction

 Watch a 6.2 quake at Japan on 7th July 2024 at 20.01 UTC at 27 N ,139 E

Watch the accuracy of prediction
The predicted date is 6th July 2024 with + or - one day window period.
Not only this watch the accuracy of epicenter hypothesis.
The epicenter of quake is at a location where Sun is Rising Sharply and Moon is about to rise
How many hit predictions Seismologist in general and USGS in perticular need to take close look at Theory and hypothesis?
For More
https://Earthquake-prediction.blogspot.com

Friday, July 05, 2024

Sicily's Volcanic Eruption on 6th July 2024 ,a date hit pre

 Watch the date hit accuracy of volcanic eruption

Sicily's Catania volcano Erupts on 6th July 2024 ,a date hit prediction
As the dates predicted for major, 6+quakes are also prone to volcanic eruptions .
The theory of both Earthquakes and Eruptions is based on tidal pull inside the Earthcrust ,exceeding a threshold limit, these dates are prone for Volcanic Eruptions also.Infact these dates are prone for cloud bursts also
For more pl see
https://earthquake-prediction.blogspot.com

Sunday, June 30, 2024

Earthquake prediction for July 2024

 Here are the probable dates for major (6+) quakes in July 2024.

The time window is + or - one day.
The Earthquakes epicenter hypothesis is applicable ,which says...
The epicenter of major quakes could be...
1) The location where the Sun or/and Moon are either at Zenith or Nadir ,with + or - 15 degree longitudes
Or/and
2) The location where the Sun or Moon are either rising or setting with twilight zone margin ( + or - 45 minutes margin)
The probable dates are
1)2nd July 24
2) 6th July 24
3)11th July 24
4)21st July 24
5) 24th July 24




Saturday, June 22, 2024

23 rd June 24 ,Venezuelan 6.0 quake

 Watch today's a 6.0 quake at Venezuela at 3.56 am UTC

Epicenter location 11 N 62.6 W

Yes it is about 4 hrs after window period
as the predicted date is 21st.

Watch the epicenter hypothesis..
The Sun at the time of quake is at 120.35 E
ie Nadir is at 60 W.
Thus the accuracy of epicenter location hypothesis is 2 .6 degrees longitudes

For those who is joing first time to my blog is ..like this..
The epicenter of major ,6+ earthquake will at ..
1) the location (longitudes) at which Sun or Moon are either at Zenith or Nadir ( with + or - 10 to 15 degrees margin)
Or
2) the location where Sun or Moon are either risingvor setting ( with twilight zone margin)
for more visit
https://earthquake-prediction.blogspot.com




Sunday, May 26, 2024

Earthquake prediction (all over the globe) and Rain forecast for Munbai and western India

 Here are the probable dates for major 6+ quakes to occur in the month of June 24

The time /day window period is + or - 1 day 

The day and time are as per UTC

1) 2nd June 2024

2)6th June

3)14th June

4)21st June

5) 27th June

As this is a unified theory of tidal pull on various levels like...

1) Clouds...hightide zone ..heavy rains

2) Atmosphere..low tide zone..tropical cyclones 

3) Oceans...High tide and low tide..which only we can see and relate

4) Earth Crust...bulging at high tide zone

5) Magma below Earth crust..up to 100 kms ..Earthquakes 

6) Volcanic eruptions..high tide zone

7) Deep water in the Earth 700 kms....Creates deep quakes.


Thus for monsoon to arrive in Western India also ,these are the probable dates .

The south west monsoon for Mumbai and western part of India , will witness rains on above dates.The window period for rain also is + or - one day 

Monday, May 20, 2024

How heavy snowfall and Earthquakes are related?

 A new study suggest a link between heavy snowfall and Earthquake.

Now ,my question to seismologist is...

..How this can be explained by plate tectonics?


My explanation is...

The hightide pull gethers the clouds containing high moisture at one location ,hightide zone. This concentration can eventually be a cloud burst, in hot regions or a heavy snowfall in cold region

https://www-nbcnews-com.cdn.ampproject.org/c/s/www.nbcnews.com/news/amp/rcna151139

Sunday, May 12, 2024

A hit prediction for Mexico on 12th May 24

 Watch yet another hot major (6+) quake prediction. All three prediction dates for current month ,so far, are hit dates.

Not only this ,all 6+ quakes followed my epicenter hypothesis.
Today a 6.4 quake at Maxico at 11.39 UTC
14N , 92 W.
At the time of quake the Sun was rising ,sharply, at the epicenter.
For more see
https://earthquake-prediction.blogspot.com

Wednesday, May 08, 2024

A 6.1 quake at Vauattu on 8th May 24,a hit prediction

 Watch another hit 6+ quake prediction 

A 6.1 quake at Vanuattu today ie 8th May 24 ,at 5.00 UTC as against predicted date of 9th May 24

Not only this ,watch accuracy epicenter hypothesis 

At the time of quake both Sun and Moon are setting at the epicenter, sharply


Those who has joined my Earthquake posts ,the epicenter of major quake hypothesis, in nutshell is as mentioned below

 The epicenter of a major (6+) quake will be at a location ..

a) Where ,at the time quake, Sun or Moon are either at Zenith or Nadir ,with a margin of 15 degrees Longitudes 

or 

b) Where ,at the time of a major (6+) quake, the Sun or Moon are either rising or setting ,with a margin of + or - 45 minutes(twilight zone).

The beauty of the margins are...

1) While looking at Zenith and Nadir of Sun and Moon , the before time  of  reaching at Maximum point is more potent ,than afterwards 

2) similarly in Sun /Moon Rising and setting prior to twilight zone is more potent than afterwards 


Sunday, May 05, 2024

May 5th ,2024 ,a hit prediction date

 watch the accuracy of Earthquake prediction 

A 6.2 Quake at Indonesia on 5th May 24 at 16.30 hrs UTC at 3.3 S ,131 E, as against the predicted date 6th May 24 with + or - one day window period.

Not only this ,watch accuracy of my Earthquake epicenter hypothesis. 

At the time of quake the Moon is rising (sharply ) over epicenter 

Those who has joined my Earthquake posts ,the epicenter of major quake hypothesis, in nutshell is as mentioned below

 The epicenter of a major (6+) quake will be at a location ..

a) Where ,at the time quake, Sun or Moon are either at Zenith or Nadir ,with a margin of 15 degrees Longitudes 

or 

b) Where ,at the time of a major (6+) quake, the Sun or Moon are either rising or setting ,with a margin of + or - 45 minutes 

for more pl visit

https://Earthquake-prediction.blogspot.com


Earthquake prediction for May 2024

 


The probable dates for 6+ Earthquakes for the month of May 24 are as follows
1) 6th May 2024
2) 9th
3)13th
4) 19th
5)23rd May 2024

The window period is + or - one day
Days are as per UTC time


Amit Dave

Sunday, April 21, 2024

Explanation of deeper quakes

 The Deep quakes and plate tectonics


The plate tectonics fails to explain the deep quakes at 600 to 700 kms below Earthcrust.This is because the plate thickness are up to 100 kms .How come a rupture or relative motion at this much depth.
The answer given by plate tectonics is like this...
At subduction zone the plate  going below another plate, reaches the depth of 700 kms and then due to heat ,it dismantle from subducting plate,giving a jerk and hence a quake.
Now the question is...
1) The temp at 700 km depth is about 1000 degrees Celsius
2) The Earth crust melt at temp from 600 to 900 degree Celsius 1300 Celsius max.
Now the question is whether the defending plate can bear the temp of 1000 degrees ,without melting or atleast becoming fluid?
How come a fluid plate material can produce a jerk on mother plate,which is already melted or about to melt?
The explanation given is just an eyewash.
Now my explanation is...
There is water (in whichever form ,sponge or otherwise),below Earthcrust at a depth of 700 kms.The beauty of recent reserch says ,the water quantity is three times that of waters in all oceans.
Now when tidal pull exceed the limit ,on given date ,it breaks the surrounding mentle (material) and a deep quake occurs.
So ,tidal pull on water below 700 kms is the main reason of deep quakes.

Thursday, April 18, 2024

Some opinion -way back in 2008

 http://suvratk.blogspot.com/2008/06/mumbai-engineer-claims-new-earthquake.html?m=1

Monday, April 15, 2024

One more question to plate tectonics

 

One more question for plate tectonics

It is beltway, it takes years to built up stresses at plate boundaries, inside the crust.When these stresses are released by way of movement and Earthquake, it takes several years to built up stresses again
Now question is...
Why there are frequent 6+ quakes at locations like PNG ,Tonga etc.?
Why and how the stresses are built-up so fast.
If you have doubt ,take out records for both places and check.

Now here is my explanation
At such locations ,like Japan ,where more plate boundaries meet ,the structure is very week.So ,whenever there is little more tidal pull nearby ,it gives a way first ( being weakest)
Hence more major quakes at these locations
for more
https://Earthquake-prediction.blogspot.com

Tuesday, April 09, 2024

Can we measure built up stresses on the plate boundaries?

 Plate tectonics and internal built up stress


As it is believed that ,the Earthquakes occur due to built up stress on the plate boundaries.  As the moving plates  creates and built up stresses over plate boundaries.
When these built up stresses exceed the threshold limit ,the plates move one over other or side by side and hence a quake
Now being an engineer, I have some questions about these stresses.
Most of the major and devastating quakes occurs at shallow depth of 10 to 15 km.
Look at here ,what all data we have
1) plate area in sq kms
2) Depth of plates
3) Average density of plate
4) Hence mass of plates
5) speed of plates in cms per year etc
6) Hence kinetic energy a plate carry while moving say 1/2 mv2
7) we can drill up to 12 kms inside the Earth and can collect samples from depth.
8) We can test these samples taken from along plate boundaries and test them in Laboratory for compression, tensile and shear strength.
Now with all these data can seismologist find out the built up stress at 12 km depth?
Also can seismologist compare these built up stress with laboratory results
Keeping some factor of safety can seismologist predict when the built up stress will exceed laboratory results?
SO CAN WE PREDICT MAJOR EARTHQUAKES?




A hypothesis on plate boundaries and Earthquakes

 A hypothesis on plate tectonics


Look at my this statement...

Yes,there are plates on Earth and they are moving. However, the fact of the matter is
the Earthquakes are not due to these plates ,but the plates and plate boundaries are due to Earthquakes..

Look at my above, may be stupid ,may be bold statement.,you decide.
  However before deciding answer few of the following questions
1) As the Earthcrust started to solidify, how the first plate broke and plate boundry developed?
Wait ,I will give your answer..The heat currents of magma from below comming up broke it.correct?
Now answer this question..
If there were heat currents /convection currents, (like boiling water comming up),at that location ,it would not allow the plate to solidify over it,in first place.

Now look at this explanation..
As the Earth cooled plates started to solidify over it.The tidal pull broke the thin crusts,as major Earthquakes, at several locations.Hence plates and plate boundaries are formed.
2) Why there are quakes at locations other than plate boundaries?
Wait ,I will answer it for you.
Those are due to intra plate fault lines.
Now another question..
If there is a small faultline inside a big plate,how come there are relative motion on fault line? Because there can not be a relative motion ,inside a big plate,which is must for a quake to occur.

MOON QUAKES AND TIDAL PULL

 

Why Moonquakes follow tidal cycle .Why Moonquakes are very deep?
Why Moon have quakes without platetectonics.?

Surprisingly ,seismologist believe that ,Moonquakes are due to Earth's tidal pull.But not ready to believe that can happen to Earth also.

Now ,I will explain what actually happens when seismologist try to link full Moon and New Moon to Earthquakes.
Yes, all Full Moon and New Moon do not give quakes .If you try to link them statistically it may not give results.
What actually required is ,several factors like
1) Moon cycle
2) Moon proximity
3) Moon at Maximum Declinations North or South
4) Major planets closer to Earth mainly Jupiter,Venus ,Mars
5) Three or More planets in line with Earth
6) Major planets changing directions from Direct to retrogate or retrogate to direct
7)Sun at Maximum Declinations
These are in order of importance
Why Maximum Declinations ?
Because after Maximum Declinations the planets appears to move in opposite direction in sky.Thus the tidal pull direction reverses. It is like breaking a car and reversing direction. This gives jerks to internal magma .Hence a quake
So ,one need to combine all ,not only Moon phases.
Studying only Moon phases V/s quakes and rejecting the theory is not correct

https://seismo.berkeley.edu/blog/2009/07/20/quakes-on-the-moon.html

Monday, April 08, 2024

Hypothesis of volcanic eruptions and Earthquake link

 Watch my date of Earthquake prediction 

7th April 24.

Though there is only one 6 mag quake on 8th (actually two minutes past 8th ) here is a volcanic eruption on 7th 

As states earlier ,my probable dates are prone to volcanic eruption also.

 The new hypothesis is 

On the predicted date ,there are chances of volcanic eruption to occur also.

This is because ,the tidal pull on magma, if directly below volcanic mouth ,it may break open the mouth and an Eruption occurs.

 Further ,the extended version of hypothesis says,...

..if there is an eruption on the given date ,the magnitude of quake will be less ,This is because in eruption the internal built up pressure is partially released ,hence lesser magnitude quake.

Yet ,extended version of hypothesis says..

...few years from now ,it will be possible to manage the magnitude of quake in populated area  by inducing volcanic eruption at remote places and there by reducing the magnitude of quakes on given date

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ShtIihbXiJw

Saturday, April 06, 2024

Aftershocks at New jersy.

 Yesterday there was considerably higher magnitude 5 (4.8 as per USGS) quake at New Jersy

The quake was on 5th April 24 at  14.23 UTC (40.7 N and 74.75 W)

First look at my epicenter hypothesis
At the time of quake the Moon was at
74.2 W,right over zenith)
Now one question for plate tectonics..
Is there any plate boundry or fault line at epicenter?
To the best of my knowledge...No..
How do you explain this quake with plate tectonics.?
And Yes...this is outside my window period by about 10 hrs . So ,I do not ask for credit ,neither it is 6+ quake.

However my date is 7th April 24 with + or - one day window period.


DISCLAIMER.. The quake ,date and time predicted here are not recognized by and organization and that these prediction may not come true. These are just for academic purposes

Now ,after this Disclaimer, which is mandatory,  I would like to give probable time ,for major aftershocks,at New Jersey ,if at all it comes ,as follows.

Date 6th April 24....15.00 UTC
Date 7th April 24....16.00 UTC
Date 8th April 24...17.30 UTC
Disclaimer Applies for above Date and time

Thursday, April 04, 2024

Waters deep inside Earth and my theory of Earthquake prediction

 Waters Deep inside the Earth and Tidal pull theory for Earthquake Prediction


Recent research by  North Western University, Illinois  proved that,the water deep inside the Earth at a depth of 700 kms,in sponge form,ringwoodite rock, is three times more in volume than the waters in oceans combined.

This necessarily imply that

1) My theory of predicting major Earthquakes by tidal pull method ,hold solid ground, considering tidal pull on this much volume of water.
2) The existing theory ,explaining deep quakes 600 to 700 km deep ,is absolutely wrong.The explanation of deeper quakes ,by descending plates at subduction zone ,at this much depth is just an eye wash.
3) In fact tidal pull apply at all levels
a) On water at 700 km depth produce ,deeper quakes,by partially breaking the encircling magma
b) on magma just below Earth crust of 100 km thick, create upper and destructive quakes
c) When  magma is below the mouth of a volcano,  hightide forces may break open the mouth and an Eruption occurs
d) On Ocean water it creates hightides and low tides
e)On Earth crust ,it gives bulging ( 1 to 2 mtr) effect on upper crust
f) On monsoon clouds ,it drags the moist cloud at hightide zone ,and my induce cloud bursts
g)On Atmosphere it creates patial vacuum at low tide zone ,which forces air to fill up the vacuum. This air when pass over ocean water at 26 to 28 degrees Celsius,  gether latent heat from water and produce a tropical cyclones.
THUS THE POTENT DATES PREDICTED FOR MAJOR EARTHQUAKES BY ME ARE ALSO PRONE TO
VOLCANIC ERUPTIONS
DEEP QUAKES
CLOUD BRUST
TROPICAL CYCLONES


4) The concept of declaring plate tectonics as a sole reason for Earthquakes is not correct.
5) The tidal pull on this much volume of water ,in whichever form it is, can never be negligible ,considering hightide levels in oceans.

Reply for Roger

 One of my friend, a retired USGS seismologist, have opined that ,there is no sense in prediction of major Earthquake dates ,if  I can not predict with cent percent accuracy of date,time ,magnitude and location


Please have a look at following issues.Do we have 100%knowledge about the subject ? Why are we doing it all?

1)  How and why the big bang happened ?
Who has collected all those mass to explode?
Still we are working on the theory .
2) How human brain works ,how many neurons are there ,exact number ?
Even than we open the skull and do surgery.
3) Are seismologist and geophysist aware that ,there is three times more water deep inside the Earth ,than in oceans?
And still we boldly say Earthquake occurs soly due to plate tectonics?
By the way ,this is the base of my tidal pull theory.
Roger , what woukd have happened ,if we did not move ,if we do not know 100%
If I plan something for tomorrow, it is also wrong. God only know who all will survive and see tomorrow.
What would have happened, if right brothers had stopped the work ,looking at huge ,raw plane which can hardly fly few yards?
How the laptops, I phones ,I pads would have developed, if we have stopped looking as huge ,bulky ,very inefficient first computer ?
So ,start .
Only condition is going in right direction with right purpose.

Wednesday, April 03, 2024

Epicenter location hypothesis-answer

 

Roger Hunter

11As per your calculations, I am using 50%of time availablein a day, in my epicenter location hypothesis.So there are 50% chances of my hypothesis going right.

Here is the answer

 
1) Yes ,for Rising and setting 180 minutes is correct
2) For Zenith and Nadir of Sun and Moon..
Even if we count like this
Sun ...Zenith.....45+45=90
Sun ..Nadir.......45+45=90
Moon Zenith.....45+45=90
Moon Nadir......45+45=90
Total.....360
Grand Total 360+180=540
However, you say it is 720 minutes
3) 540/1440= 0.375 ie 37.5 %
4) if the results are above 40% ,it is well above odds
5) One thing you forgot is, most of the dates are either full Moon ,New Moon or 8th day of cycle when both are at square position. In such case the % become exactly half ,because the Rising, setting, Zenith and Nadir time coincides.


Amit Dave 

Tuesday, April 02, 2024

7.4 Taiwn quake,a date hit prediction

 Roger

Watch out.
A date hit 7+ earthquake prediction for 2nd April 24.
A strongest Earthquake, in 25 years at Taiwan.(7.4) at 23.57 hrs UTC on 2nd April.
Now ,no one should have doubts about my major earthquake prediction theory .
Lat Long at epicenter are 23.8 N and
12l.5 East
Now again  check my epicenter hypothesis.
Moon is at Zenith, (107East at the time of quake)with margin of 45 minutes (twilight zone margin)
My epicenter hypothesis says,in nutshell..
The epicenter of major Earthquake will be at a location where..
The Sun or Moon are at Zenith or Nadir ,with 45 minutes margin
Or
The Sun or Moon are rising or setting ,with twilight zone margin

Wednesday, March 27, 2024

Evaluation of my predicted dates over 6 -7 years

 



Roger
For last two nights, I have work up to 1 am in the morning for evaluation of my predicted posted on my blog .
Few days back I have posted the dates for seven years .
Aa I gont use any computer program, it took two days (actually nights)
Here are the results
1) Total month for which dates predicted...... 78
2) Total predicted dates.. 315
3) Total hits ......199
4) Total mis .....116
5) % Accuracy  199/315 =63.1%
So ,over a considerable long span of prediction accuracy is 63%
Even the results by evaluation showed it 63%

Monday, March 25, 2024

Evaluation of my Earthquake prediction dates by Roger Hunter

 have posted my major ( 6 and above) dates ,here and on my blog

https://lnkd.in/dzRtvB6w

One of my best friend Mr Roger Hunter,who is retired seismologist from USGS ,is kind enough to test the dates ( 2019 to 2024) against actual quakes.


Below is the evaluation results by Roger, word to word. Roger ,sorry for posting exact quotes. But I did not want to interpret and reproduce in my word

....     ......     .. . .       ..... ..     ..     



The results for the 2019 thru 2024 mag 6.0+ quakes show you made 163 correct predictions

and 93 wrong predictions for mag 6.0+ quakes.


Not too bad but not good enough for practical use. 100% is the goal; anything less risks lives

.....     ........   .......      ........    ...

Roger Hunter 

few things

1) Whether quakes of mag 6 considered?

2) Can we check these dates for 7 and above quakes?

It means ,how many of 7 and above quakes occured in these dates ( with window period) against total 7 and 7+ quakes between 2019 to 2024

Sunday, March 24, 2024

Earthquake Prediction for April 24

Hi

Following are the probable dates for major quakes (6 and above) ,with window period of + or - one day. Date and time as per UTC
1)2nd April 24
2) 7th April
3) 11th April
4)20th April
5) 24th April.

Please note ,that the epicenter location will follow ,my epicenter hypothesis
For more pl see
https://earthquake-prediction.blogspot.com

Amit Dave

Wednesday, March 20, 2024

Earthquake prediction dates for year 2023-24

 Roger

Here are some more dates for the year 2023-24,for your scrutiny


https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/7ofzokj1blqw68rpb9n3f/EQ-dates-2023-24.pdf?rlkey=gadg11d58wq9poaic9vxvr5dg&dl=0


Amit

Tuesday, March 19, 2024

 Roger

Here are the predicted dates for 75 months .The predicted quakes are 6 or 6+. Time window margin is +or - one day.

https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/tyj8gk15educn9eb68lrg/Earthquake-prediction-dates-for-6-quakes.pdf?rlkey=3v63v6t0ra421lclo5lt3ioo2&dl=0

Thursday, February 29, 2024

My book on Stress Management

 Hi

This is some diversion to topic .Nevertheless it is very important to manage our stress for maximum out put and bliss.

The book named -A GIFTED TOY II -is available on Amazon, flipkart and potho.com 

A GIFTED TOY-II: your depression is a blessing in disguise and a Gifted Toy https://amzn.eu/d/iQQMrIz


Manage you stress and remain blissful 


Amit

Earthquake prediction for March 24

 Hi

Here are the probable dates for major (6+) quakes For the month of March 24

1)9th March 

2)14th March

3)25th March

Window period is + or - one day.

Epicenter hypothesis should be observed for

Epicenter. 

In nutshell the hypothesis is like this

The major (6+) quakes occur at a location where, at the time of quake , 

A) Sun or Moon are at Zenith or Nadir ,with a margin of + or - 10 degrees

Or.

B) Sun or Moon are either rising or setting ,with twilight zone margin


Regards

.Amit Dave

Sunday, February 25, 2024

Accuracy of February 24 prediction

 Watch the results for Februray 24 ,major earthquake prediction (6+)

Out of four dates predicted  three have major quakes ,in window period
Dates predicted
2,
7/8
15
23

Out of which. All have 6+ quakes ,except 2nd Feb 24..

So 75% Accuracy of prediction

For more visit

https://earthquake-prediction.blogspot.com

Friday, February 23, 2024

A date hit prediction for 23rd February 24

 Hi

please observe a date hit 6+quake prediction Today ue 23rd February 24.
A 6.3 quake occured at 1.51 UTC on 23rd Feb 24 at Southern East Pacific rise (25S ,110 W)

Wednesday, February 14, 2024

Two quakes ( 6) on 14th Feb 2024 ,a hit prediction

 Roger

Pl note two major ,both 6 ,quakes on 14th .

One at Chile and another at Micronesia.

The predicted date is 15th Feb 2024 ,with + or -

 one day window period.

 I expect one more 6+ in window period.


Amit

Friday, February 09, 2024

An Eroution and 6+ quake on predicted dates of February 24

 Watch the accuracy of major Earthquake prediction for the month of February 24

The date 7/8 February was prediction.
Actual quake on 9th at 10.58 UTC ,6.1 at Tonga Iceland
Moreover there is a volcanic eruption at Iceland on 8th and an emergency is declared
It was told ,time and again ,that my Earthquake prediction dates are also prone to volcanic eruptions
This is because both occurs due to built up tidal pull inside the Earth crust.
If the tidal pull breaks the plate boundry partially it give an Earthquake  and if it breaks open the mouth of a volcano it is an eruption
  Now few words on my date 7/8 th February
It means from 7th 12 noon UT C to 8th 12 Noon UTC (+ or - 1 day as window period)

Tuesday, February 06, 2024

Dates predicted for 2021 &2022

 2021

1) January..Dates...10,13,27,30
2) February...4,8,11,16,26
3) April...11,22,27
4) May....5,12,19,26,30
5) October...5,30
6)November...4,7,12,19,23,27
7)September..2,6,10,15,19,22


2022
1)January...Date  3,9,16,26,31
2) February....2,12,17,24,27
3) March..,4,13,18,24
4) April....13/14, 16,19,27,30
5) May .. 9,13,17,25,30
6) June...6,9,14,17,21,26
7)July............N.A
8) August....3,10,15,27,30
9) September...10,12 ,25
10) October ..3/4,25/16,25,29
11)November...2,5,8,11,16,19,23,25
12) December.....2,8,16,29

Thursday, February 01, 2024

Earthquake prediction for February 2024

 Earthquake prediction dates for February 2024


Following are the dates for major (6+) earthquakes for the month of February 2024
1) 2nd
2)7/8th
3)15th
4)23rd

Window period is + or - one day ( As per UTC time)

The locations will be as per my -epicenter location hypothesis-
For more

https://www.linkedin.com/in/amit-dave-a3906933

Thursday, January 25, 2024

Evaluation for the year 2022

 Evaluation of Earthquake prediction for the year 2022


Roger
Here are the results of one more year,2022,which you have recently evaluated
1) Out of 12 month ,prediction for 11 month were done (except July 2022)
2) Total dates predicted 55
3) Total hit prediction  31 ( with + or - 1 day)
4) Total quakes in 11 months  (6+)..119
5) Total quakes in window period..50

Roger ,now compare your 4 years evaluation with this one year 2022