Can earthquakes be predicted?

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Friday, February 27, 2026

Response by Chat GPT

Response by Chat GPT Understood. I’ve recorded the three sets of prediction dates and the evaluation rules exactly as you defined. I will apply them objectively after March 2026 ends, using UTC date/time and counting only magnitude 6.0 and above earthquakes. Prediction sets for March 2026 Set A — ChatGPT dates 4 March 2026 11 March 2026 19 March 2026 27 March 2026 Set B — Gemini dates 5 March 2026 14 March 2026 23 March 2026 31 March 2026 Set C — Your predicted dates 3 March 2026 13 March 2026 18 March 2026 26 March 2026 Evaluation rules (confirmed) I will use these exact criteria: Magnitude threshold: Only earthquakes ≥ 6.0 Mw Time standard: UTC Window: Each predicted date evaluated with ± 1 day margin Metrics calculated: (a) Number of predicted dates that had ≥ 1 qualifying quake (“date hits”) (b) Total number of ≥ 6 quakes within each ± 1 day window (c) Total ≥ 6 quakes occurring exactly on the predicted dates (d) Percentage of the month’s ≥ 6 quakes occurring inside the window exactly on prediction dates (e) Percentage of ≥ 6 quakes in the month missed entirely Data source and neutrality I will use the final global earthquake catalog (USGS or equivalent authoritative catalog) after March ends, because some magnitudes are revised days later. This prevents bias or premature conclusions. Timeline Monitoring period: 1 – 31 March 2026 (UTC) Catalog stabilization: ~7–10 days after month end Final evaluation report: around 10–15 April 2026 I will present a clear comparison table and percentages so the outcome is transparent. If you’d like, I can also show a running log during March so you can see each ≥ 6 quake as it occurs.

Comparing dates with AI for March 2026

This month the probable dates fir major ie 6 and sboveare posted here . This is a special case and special month for such prediction Though everyonth I do post my dates on my blog ,fb and LinkedIn but this time ChatGPT have taken up my challenge of comparing random 4 dates given by AI and my dates . The results after comparing, will be done by Chat GPT as per its earlier declared rules 1) 4 dates from both side 2) Date and time as per UTC 3) 6 and above magnitude will be counted 4) margin will be + or - 1 day 5) evaluation will be done on a) total date hits b) total number if quakes in margin (+ or - 1day c) total 6 and above quakes on predicted dates d) percentage of total 6 and above quakes of the month in window period and exactly on dates e) % quakes missed in month A) Now the dates given by Chat GPT are 4th ,11th,19th and 27 March 2026 B) Dates given by Gemini 5th, 14th, 23rd, 31st And the dates predicted by me are 3rd March 2026 13th March 2026 18th March 2026 26th March 2026 Watch out

Monday, January 19, 2026

Pakistan Earthquake, 6, on 19th January 2026

Watch the accuracy of prediction A 6.0 quake at Pakistan on 19th at 6.21 UTC ,and 36N, 74 East Predicted date 18th January 2026 With + or - one day margin Not only his watch epicenter location hypothesis At tye timeofquake the sun was at 87 E longitudes The margin is 87-74=13 Degrres Which is well within the margin of 15 degrees longitudes For more https://earthquake-prediction.blogspot.com

Friday, January 16, 2026

18th January 2026, probable quakes at Japan region

Academic note. Probable time For major quakes on 18th January at 120E to 150 E Disclaimer The following information is based on my independent research hypothesis regarding major earthquake timing and epicenter geometry. This hypothesis has not been approved, validated, or peer-reviewed by any institute, organization, or professional seismologist. Earthquakes may or may not occur during the periods mentioned below. This note is shared solely for academic record and observational purposes. No public action, warning, or response is required. A) Japan Region Longitude band: 120°E to 150°E Probable time windows (UTC ± 45 minutes Here are the probable times ,in UTC , for major ,6+ ,quake to occur in longitude belt of 120 E ,to 150 E 1)01.45 UTC 2) 07.30 UTC 3) 14.45 UTC 4) 21.50 UTC

Saturday, January 10, 2026

A date hit ,time hit ,magnitude hit ,6.5 quake on 10th January 26

Wake up #USGS WAKE UP #JAPAN #WAKEUPSEISMOLOGIST #INDONESIA #JAMA A date hit A time hit A epicenter hit ( longitudes margin) A 6 .5+ hit quake Watch my prediction earlier posted on my blog https://earthquake-prediction.blogspot.com My LinkedIn post My fb post Well in advance. It follows my Epicenter location hypothesis. Exact wording posted yesterday ... .... .... .. Academic Note: Probable Time Windows for M ≥ 6.0 Earthquakes (10 January 2026) Disclaimer The following information is based on my independent research hypothesis regarding major earthquake timing and epicenter geometry. This hypothesis has not been approved, validated, or peer-reviewed by any institute, organization, or professional seismologist. Earthquakes may or may not occur during the periods mentioned below. This note is shared solely for academic record and observational purposes. No public action, warning, or response is required. A) Japan Region Longitude band: 120°E to 150°E Probable time windows (UTC ± 45 minutes) 02:15 UTC 08:30 UTC 14:45 UTC 21:00 UTC B) Americas Longitude Belt Longitude band: 75°W to 105°W Probable time windows (UTC ± 30 minutes) 00:00 UTC 06:00 UTC 12:00 UTC 18:00 UTC 23:40 UTC These time windows are derived from a hypothesis involving Sun–Moon geometry and tidal forcing, applied consistently in forward-posted records since 2006. 🔗 For full methodology, historical records, and context: https://earthquake-prediction.blogspot.com Note: All statements above are subject to the same disclaimer stated at the beginning of this post.

Friday, January 09, 2026

10th January 2026 , Earthquake prediction

Academic Note: Probable Time Windows for M ≥ 6.0 Earthquakes (10 January 2026) Disclaimer The following information is based on my independent research hypothesis regarding major earthquake timing and epicenter geometry. This hypothesis has not been approved, validated, or peer-reviewed by any institute, organization, or professional seismologist. Earthquakes may or may not occur during the periods mentioned below. This note is shared solely for academic record and observational purposes. No public action, warning, or response is required. A) Japan Region Longitude band: 120°E to 150°E Probable time windows (UTC ± 45 minutes) 02:15 UTC 08:30 UTC 14:45 UTC 21:00 UTC B) Americas Longitude Belt Longitude band: 75°W to 105°W Probable time windows (UTC ± 30 minutes) 00:00 UTC 06:00 UTC 12:00 UTC 18:00 UTC 23:40 UTC These time windows are derived from a hypothesis involving Sun–Moon geometry and tidal forcing, applied consistently in forward-posted records since 2006. 🔗 For full methodology, historical records, and context: https://earthquake-prediction.blogspot.com Note: All statements above are subject to the same disclaimer stated at the beginning of this post.

Friday, January 02, 2026

6.5 Mexico quake ,a hit prediction for 2nd January 2026

Wake up #USGS Wake up #NDMA Wake up #JAMA Wake up #Mexicoearthquake Watch accuracy of prediction A major quake of 6.5 occured today, ie 2nd January 2026. Time of quake is at13.58 UTC Mexico time is 6 hr behind UTC So local time is 13.58-6 = 7.58 local time Sun rise ,today ,at Mexico is at 7.15 hrs local time So quake is 43 minutes after Sunrise., This follows my major earthquake epicenter hypothesis. Predicted date 3rd January 2026 ,with + or - one day window Not only this ,watch my epicenter location hypothesis. The quake occured at the local time of Sun Rising and Moon Setting By the way for new comers, My epicenter location hypothesis in nutshell is like this.. The major, 6+ quakes occur at a location Where 1) The Sun or Moon are overhead ,ie same longitudes ,with + or - 15 degrees margin,or opposite side of the Earth at that time ( Nadir) longitudes margin Or 2) Sun or Moon are either rising or setting with +or - 45 minutes margin,ie twilight zone margin. Watch my blog for accuracy of prediction since year 2006 https://earthquake-prediction.blogspot.com