Can earthquakes be predicted?

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Sunday, December 08, 2019

Earthquake Prediction for December 2019

Hi
Sorry for postig late .We are well in to Dec 19 and I have not posted the dates so far
Now ,the dates are ready
1) 13th December 2019...  6.5
2)19 th December......6.6
3) 23rd December....6.4
3) 26th December .....6.7
window period +or - one day

Amit Dave

Thursday, October 31, 2019

Earthquake Prediction for November 2019

Hi
first of all let me declare that, October 2019 predictions were all miss (though one of them is one hour late)
Nevertheless ,this month's predictions are posted herewith
1)12th.....6.4
2)16th.....6.5
3)25th....6.6
4)28th.....6.7
Amit

Friday, October 25, 2019

This shows how Earthquake and atmospheric disturbances are connected

The Asian Age: Researchers close to developing short-term earthquake forecast system.
https://www.asianage.com/science/251019/researchers-close-to-developing-short-term-earthquake-forecast-system.html

Tuesday, October 01, 2019

Earthquake Prediction for October 2019

Hi
Here are some of the probable dates for major quakes on October 2019

1)5th Oct 2019........6.5
2)13th Oct 2019.....6.6
3)27th Oct 2019....6.8

Window period is +or - one day

Amit

Saturday, August 31, 2019

Earthquake prediction for September 2019

Hi
Here are some of the probable dates fir 6+ quake prediction for the month of September 2019
1) 7th September ......6.4
2)15th September.....6.5
3)23rd September....6.6
4)28th September...6.9

Amit

Friday, August 02, 2019

Earthquake Prediction for August 2019

Hi
This month ,I could not post probable dates before start of the month and missed predictions Moon closest distance date is 2nd August 2019
Some of the probable dates for 6+ quakes are
1)   11th August 2019....6.9
2)14th August..,............ 6.7
3)25th August.............6.6
4)30th August.............7.0
Window period is +or - one day

Amit

Sunday, July 14, 2019

Western Australia 6.6 earthquake on 14th July 2019-let us talk about place

Hi
Pl note today's major ,6.6 earthquake at western Australia ,a hit prediction ,
Predicted date is 15th with +or - one day window period
Now let us talk about place
1)Decide date first
2)Watch Moon and other strong planet like Jupiter ,Venus ,Mars and Saturn in that order.
However ,in most cases considering Moon Will suffice  the purpose
Now
90-(Altitude of Moon) and location will be at West longitudes
So if Moon is at 20 degree altitude
90-(20)=70 longotude at western side is probable place  and location 180degrees to this

If Altitude is -ve
90-(-20)=110 degrees to the East longitude and exactly opposite location on globe(180 degrees apart)
Thus rough longitude band can be obtained

Now for Western Australia the quake was at 120 degree East longitude

Moon at the time of quake was at -37 degree Altitude
Thus
90-(-37)=127 East
Hence nearby location

Amit


Saturday, June 29, 2019

Earthquake Prediction for July 2019

Hi
Here are some of the probable dates for major Earthquakes in July 2019

1)2nd July 2019......6.8
2)9th July ................6.5
3)15th July..............7.0
4)23rd July..............6.4
5)31st July...............6.5

Window period is +or - one day

Amit

Friday, June 07, 2019

Two questions raised by Roger and Answers

Amit;

1) Can you show me an example of that? 2 quakes of equal mag and location.
Your cycle theory is simply wrong. The moon has nothing to do with quakes.
If it did, you would not have failed my long term test.

2) There are quakes not on plate boundaries but we do know why. Subduction zones for example.
Quakes related to volcanos for another.

Yes, your hits are due to chance. Otherwise you would not have failed my test.

Roger


AND  ANSWERS TO THOSE QUESTIONS


Roger 

OK, As you wish

1)As per plate tectonic theory, 7.5+ quake can occur at same location only after stresses built up again ,may be 50 years , 100 years , you specify 

now look at the following quakes

a)7.9 at 10.51 UTC,at 4.5 south and 153.2 East, on 17th December 2016...PNG

b) 7.9 at 4.30 UTC, at 6.24 South and 155.17 East on 22nd January 2017....PNG 

c)7.5 at 13.28 UTC at 6.7 south and 155 East on 19th April 2014....PNG

d)7.5 at 1.44 UTC at 5.46 South and 151.8 East on 5th May 2015.....PNG


e)7.5 at 12.58 UTC at 4.08 South and 152.56 East on 14th May 2019...PNG

Do you think 7.5+ quake equivalent stress can be accumulated in one month ?

How do you explain all these with plate tectonics ?

Ok next question

Look at the following quake
7.7 at Gujarat , India ( 23.4 North and 70.2 East) on 26th January 2001 at 3.16 UTC

Do you think there is volcano here
or plate boundary 
or Subduction Zone

How do you explain this 7.7 major quake

SO , think out of the box

Old theories are not necessarily correct especially when it says ,it is unable to predict major quakes

Amit

Saturday, June 01, 2019

Earthquake Prediction for June 2019

hi
June 2019 may witness some major quakes (7.5+) for the following reasons
  Some of the major planets and sun are at 22+ declination like... Sun,Mars,Mercury,Jupiter, Saturn and even Pluto

Some of the probable dates for major quakes(6.3+) are as follows

1)4th June 2019.................7.1

2)9th June.........................6.7

3)17th June ......................6.6

4)26th June.......................6.7

window period is + or - one day


Amit

Saturday, May 18, 2019

Roger to respond

Roger
Thank you so much for evaluating my prediction for last more than ten years.
 We have seen considerable 6+ prediction are hit.
 However, as per your evaluation it is below average. I do not think ,we can find a solution to this unless third party evaluation is done
 I request you to check feasibility of checking  such last 10years prediction either by USGS or European Seismology .
Regards
Amit

Sunday, May 05, 2019

some interesting previous posts for readers

hi
 All my esteemed readers. Here are some of my previous posts ,which you may find interesting .
please search the blog with following topics

1) Earthquake prediction Evaluation-a physical check

2)My own physical evaluation of my 6.5+ earthquake prediction

3)Basic guide line to predict major earthquakes

4)Hypothesis for major (8.5 +) earthquake

5) Earthquake prediction for May 2011

Amit

Sunday, April 28, 2019

Earthquake prediction for May 2019

hi
 Here are probable dates for major earthquakes in May 2019

4th May 2019......6.2
8th May 2019.....6.6
14th May 2019....6.5
18th May 2019....6.7
21/22nd May 2019.....6.8

here are the rules
1) window period is + or - one day
2) quakes predicted are 6.2+ and not 6+. Hence odds for 6.2+ can be taken for evaluation and not 6+ odds
21/22nd  May 2019 means  12 Noon GMT on 21st to 12 Noon on 22nd
3) There are 5 dates predicted ,hence total 15 days window period in the Month. It means total 48.38% of the month is consumed in window period. Hence, if I get 48.38% of total quakes in the Month in my window period , it is exactly equal to odds. If more better than odds

Amit

Sunday, March 31, 2019

Earthquake Prediction for APRIL 19

Hi
Following are the probable dates for 6+ quakes in April 19,with window period + or - one day
1) 5th April 2019
2)12th April
3)18th April
4) 25th April
Amit

Sunday, March 03, 2019

Earthquake prediction for March 2019

Hi
The probable dates for earthquake in March 2019 are as follows
1) 7th.......6.3
2)15th.......6.4
3)21st.......6.8
4)28th.....6.6

The window period is + or - one day

Amit

Sunday, February 03, 2019

Earthquake prediction for February 2019

Hi
Sorry ,could not post dates in time ,till weekend .As the first week has lapsed  ,now the dates are as follows
1) 15th February ..6.4
2)19th February.....6.8
3) 28th February....6.3
Window period +or - one day
Amit