Earthquake Prediction for January 2022

 Hi

In January every year The Earth is closest to the Sun and The Sun starts moving towards North

( Uttarayana) .

Further in this month both Mercury and Venus changes their direction,hence the association or oppostion of these planets with Moon  have potential to create major Erthquakes

Here are the the probable dates of major Earthquakes in the month of January 2022.

1) 3rd  January  2022.....7.5

2)9th January  22...........6.4

3) 16th January 22   ....6.9

4)20th January  22.....6.4

5) 31st January  22...6.4

The time period window is +or - one day

The magnitude window period is +or -  0.5 

Locations are not specified for obvious  reasons

 

Earthquake Prediction for the month of November 21

 Hi

Here are the probable dates of major Earthquake for the month of November 2021

1)4th .......6.4

2) 7th........7.0

3)12th......6.6

4) 19th .....6.7

5)23rd......6.6

6)27th.....6.5

The window period is +or - one day

The locations are not mentioned here ( as not allowed by Disaster Act 2005)

Earthquake Prediction. Two questions to Seismologist pertaing to Plate tectonics

 hi 

 Here are two simple questions which need to be answered  based on existing plate tectonic theorry

1) Why there are big quakes at locations other than plate boundries

2) Why there are dozens of small quakes (less than 4 on R Scale) daily?

 This is an open invitation to all those who thinks that ,one and only reason for quakes is plate frictions and there is no other reason what so ever

 Regards 

 Amit

Earthquake Prediction for October 21,with reason

 Hi

Here are the probable dates for major (6+) earthquakes in the month of October 21.

1) 15th.......................6.5 magnitude

2) 17th to 20th ......at least two major quakes of 7+

3) 30th ............. 6.4

Pl note place/locations are not predicted, as it is not allowed under Indian Disaster Act 2005.

So ,it could be any where all over the world ,specialy at prone area.

 Nevertheless, I calculate and note probable locations in my personal diary.

 This month is special for major earthquakes for the following reasons

A) All three planets are changing their direction in this month ie Jupiter, Saturn and Mercury. 

B) Sun is slowly coming closer to Earth ,closest in December 

Whenever, major planets changes direction ( actually, it is only relaive to Earth, it appears to be stopping and moving in opposite direction ,ie from Direct to retrogate or from retrogate to direct,) the rate of change of momentum of molten lava/magma inside the Earthcrust induces turbulance and hence a quake. It is like applying breakes or accelarating a vehicle,when you feel sudden jerk

The reasons for selecting dates

1) 15th....Moon joins Jupiter...which is changing direction .Jupiter when join with Moon ,it porovides more tidal pull.Further if Jupiter joins or opposes Moon in the month in which it chages direction ,it becomes potent. If Jupiter is closer to Earth ,ie less than 5 AU ( Astronomical units ,one AU is equal to to average distance of Earth to Sun.) it is much potent.

2) 17 to 20th.

On 17th Sun and Moon Declinations are same

On 18th Mercury is changing Direction and opposes Moon

On On 19th Moon is at Equator ,hence it is closer ,due to curvature of Earth at Equator

On 20th a Full Moon

3) On 30th.

 Moon opposes Jupiter ( who is changing Dire tion)

Moon opposes Saturn, who is also changing the direction.

On 31 st Both Sun and Moon are at same Declinations 

Date predi tion window perod is+ or -one day

Few questions to plate tectonics ( existing earthquake theory)

 Hi 

 The existing earthquake theory says..

The Earth consists of floating plates ( 100 to 150km thick) on the molten lava of about 6000 kms.These plates keep on moving due to earth rotation and heat inside the crust (ie heat currents). The plates move against each other and collide at plate boundary. When slowly, over the years the stress built up along the Earth crust is more one plate slides over another ,releasing the stored energy built up up over hundreds of years  Now some questions

1 ) Why there are major quakes at places other than plate boundaries ( one like Latur ,in India)

The answer given by supporters is..... There are faults inside the plate also... If it is so ,how can it have relative motion with another plate?

2) Why some dates are more prone to major earthquakes?

 Watch out for dates when

a) Moon is closest

b) Moon at maximum declination

c) Full Moon, New Moon , Eclipses

d) When Sun is closest

e) When Sun and Moon declination are same ( north or south)

f ) When Jupiter is closest or Changing direction

g ) When Venus or Mars are closest or changing directions

3) The faults between two plates are developed later (ie after Earth is cooled ) or there from beginning. 

Because ,if there are splinting forces acting when Earth was cooling down , they will not allow to form the crust 

4) Why there are small quakes ( less than 3 or 4 magnitude ) daily?. Because ,this theory says ,when the stresses are built up externally high ,then only one plate slides over the other

 What I say is

 Yes , there are plates .

There are faults

 Most of the quakes occurs  on plate boundries

plates slide over one another during major quakes .....

But..but... this is because...

THE PLATES FAULTS ARE DUE TO QUAKES AND NOT THE QUAKES ARE DUE TO PLATE FAULTS .

 My basic theory is like this

 The Earth consists of some 150km thick plates and below that ,some 6000 km of hot molten lava.

Whenever ,there is more tidal pull due to various planet positions there occurs high tides and low tides in the molten semisolid lava below the Earth Crust.

 When the pull exceed certain threshold limit  , it break open the existing fault line and major earthquake occurs. If it can rupture the crust completely , it becomes a volcanic eruption.

 So ,in principle ,the prediction norms for major quakes and eruption are the same

All learned experts are requested to comment 

 Amit

  

Welcome back to Earthquake Prediction

 I am extremely sorry ,I could not post the probable dates of major earthquake (6+) till today ie 6th Oct 2021 due to busy schedule and time lost in traveling to work ( 3 to 4 hrs daily)

 Nevertheless, coming Saturday /Sunday these calculations will be done ,for sure.

Keep visiting the blog

Regards 

Amit

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Scientific Reseach Sdupport my theory

 Oh!

https://m.rediff.com/news/slide-show/slide-show-1-when-do-earthquakes-occur-most-here-is-the-answer/20101022.htm

Now only they realize this

My theory, proposed 15 year back takes in to account several more factors,in proper order

 The basic theory is like this...

 Earth comprises of upper crust of say 100 to 150 km ,below which there is around 6000 km of molten lava. Due to tidal pull there occurs high tide and low tides in this semi solid lava, exactly like one in oceans. The day on which the pull is maximum ,hence maxi hightide inside the earth crust ,the lava break the crust .If it breaks partially, it is quake ,and if it break open crust it is volcanic eruption 

Thus ,some dates are more prone to major quakes.The plate boudries ,which are

 weak ,break first ,hence more quakes at plate boundaries 

 The location can be fixed ,with the direction of resultant pull.

 Moon ,being closest is a prime trigger for quakes and eruption ,as having maximum pull. This is becuse pull reduces in qubic proprtion with eespect to distance. So ,closest have max pull

The prone dates are

1) Moon at Perigee( closest ie around 57 earth radious distance).This occurs twice in a month

2) Full Moon ,New Moon..when tidal pull is maximum 

3) Eclipses 

4) Moon at Maximum Declinations both north and south

5) Major planets changing direction from dire t to retrogate and vice a versa

6) Sun and Moon having same declinations ,north or south.

In Astrology thise are known as special yofa..vyatipat..

7) Moon joing or opposing Jupiter, venus or Mars .This gives boost to tidal pull

8) Jupiter when closest to earth...it is around 5 AU..ie Astronomical Unit..one AU is average distance of Earth from Sun

Whenever I predict dates for major quakes (6+ magnitude) ,I take in to account all this.

I predict location also ,but those can not be  disclosed ,under Indian Disaster Act 2005

Earthquake prediction for September 21

 Hi

 Sorry could not post for three months.

This is the first time ,in last 14 years,that I have not posted the major earthquake probable dates for so long .

It is ,not proper ,for me to give any excuse.

I am ,extremely  sorry for this.

Here are the probable dates for September 21

If any one would like to test this ,can compare with USGS earthquake web site

https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/?extent=-28.45903,-131.13281&extent=74.16409,-58.71094&map=false

Total 6 dates predicted

Hence window period is 6×3=18 days

So ,if total 6+ magnitude quakes in this month are  say  A numbers

Ax 18/30 = 0.6 ie 60%

Thus is 60% or above number of 6+ quakes occur in my window perod ,the theory is worth considering 

1) 2nd .....6.6

2)6th.......6.5

3) 10th ...6.4

4)15th....6.9

5)19th....7.2

22rd......6.8

The time window is + or - one day

Amit Dave

Earthquake Prediction for May 2021

 Hi

Here are tge probable dates for major earthquakes (6+) ,with window period + or - one day

1) 5th.........6.3

2)12th......6.4

3)19th......6.5

4) 26th......7.0

5) 30th.....6.6

Amit

Earthquake prediction for April 2021

 Hi

For the remaining days of this month, April 21, probable dates of major Earthquakes is posted herewith 

11th April......6.6

22nd April.....6.7

27th April.....7.2

The window period is + or - one day

Location not predicted 

Amit

Earthquake prediction for March 21

 Hi

Sorry,could not post in time for this month.

Nevertheless, the prediction for balance dates is given herewith. 

1)14.03.21.............6.5

2)22 nd.................6.6

3)28th...................6.8 to 7.0

Dave

Earthquake prediction for February 2021

 Hi

Please find here the probable dates of major (6+) dates for earthquakes, for the month of February  2021

1) 4th..............6.8

2)8th..............6.2

3)11th.............6.7

4) 16th...........  6.5

5)26th.............6.7

Please note that the window period  is +or - one day. And magnitude window is +or - one.3

Regards

Save

Earthquake Prediction for January 2021

 Happy New Year.

May Almighty bless all with happiness, health and bliss.

Happy ,Healthy and Prosperous New year.

Let Almighty select and give you in abundance. 

By the way, I remeber a small storey ( which was fwd to me by a friend) which I would like to share on this occasion. 

 In a small town, a small boy went to a shop with his father. When they were about to leave ,the shop owner asked the boy to take some sweet candy from the jar. The boy didn't move. When the owner asked again, saying take my boy ,it is free ,don't worry. The boy still did not move,  but just looked at his father. Finally, father opened the jar and gave candy to the boy.

  On return ,father asked the boy

"Why you didn't take the candy ,yourself"

After a gap of time he said.

"Because ,your hand is bigger ,than mine"

So ,trust your father to select and give it to you.He knows and his hands are bigger.

 Just work and walk with your father ,hand in hand.

 Happy New year

Ok now .....probable dates of major Earthquakes for January 2021

1)10th..... 6.4

2)13th.....6.8

3)27th... 6.7

4)30th...6.5

Window period is +or - one day

Amit