Can earthquakes be predicted?

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Thursday, April 27, 2023

Earthquake prediction for the month of May 2023

 Hi

Here are the probable dates for major Earthquakes for the month of May 2023.
The window period is +or- 1 day.(UTC).
1)5th May 2023.....7.1
2)10th May.............6.9
3)18th May.............7.0
4)23rd May.............6.8
5)31st May.............6.7

magnitude window + or - 0.3

Epicenter location is as per my hypothesis
watch for more details..
https://earthquake-prediction.blogspot.com

Monday, April 24, 2023

A 7.1 quake at Indonesia on 24th April 23 at 20 UTC

 watch one more hit prediction 

on 24th April 23 at 20.00 UTC( 25th at 3.00 hrs early morning  local time,a 7.1 quake at Indonesia as again

Predicted 25th April 23 (6.5) with + or - one day window period






st predicted 6.5 on 25th (+ or - one day)

 How many hits are required to beat the odds?

watch for theory and epicenter hypothesis 

https://earthquake-prediction.blogspot.com

Sunday, April 23, 2023

Two hit predictions date and epicenter on 24th April 23

 Oh,two successive 7.3 quakes at Karmadic Island today ie 24th April 2023. at 0041 UTC. 

WATCH THE PREDICTION POSTED EARLIER

25th April 2023. 6.5 quake was predicted.

 Not only this ,watch epicenter hypothesis. 

 in both quake (177 W) Sun is at Zenith ( 170E) ..13 degree margin.

  Any doubts?

watch

https://earthquake-prediction.blogspot.com

Wednesday, April 19, 2023

6.3 quake at PNG on 19th April 23, a hit prediction

 Watch today's (19th April)quake of 6.3 at PNG at 09.06 UTC


watch the accuracy of prediction.

Date ..predicted ..20th April 2023 with + or - 1 day window period

Magnitude ..predicted .6.9..with + or  - 0.3  . Though predicted magnitude

 seems to be on higher side ,it is a hit prediction for 6+ quake.

 And...and..wait.. I believe there is yet another  6+ quake is to come by 21st (UTC)

 Roger Hunter ,please watch epicenter location hypothesis 

At epicenter both Sun and Moon are setting , with 30 minutes margin

  Can anyone, Seismological Society of America,Seismology Research Centre spell out what all is required , which can be treated as major Earthquake Prediction ?

watch

https://lnkd.in/dzRtvB6w


Friday, April 14, 2023

A 7 quake at Indonesia, prediction and epicenter hypothesis

 A major quake of 7 occured at Indonesia just now ie 14th April 2023 at 9.55 UTC .

 Predicted date is 16th with + or - one day window period.

  Watch epicenter location hypothesis..

The quake is 20 minutes prior to Sun Set

at epicenter 

 Any doubts?

whether this is also a coincidence?

watch for more 


Thursday, April 13, 2023

6 quake at Canada on 13th April 2023

 

please note today's quake (6) at Canada
50 N and 130 Wat 15.54 UTC.
Watch Moon is at 139 degree West at the time of quake.
   Moon is at Zenith (9 degree margin)
Check my epicenter location hypothesis.
How many of such proof required?
Is this a series of coincidences?
watch for details
https://earthquake-Prediction.blogspot.com
Roger Hunter ,as per your calculations odds are 1 in 24.
How many such proof are required?
By the way ,I have checked ,and continue to check this hypothesis for more than 600  major quakes (6.5+)

Tuesday, April 11, 2023

4.3 Bihar quake on 12th April and epicenter hypothesis

 A 4.3 Earthquake occured today at Bihar ,India at 5.35 am local time ie 00.05 am UTC.

  Check epicenter location hypothesis 

Sun is rising ,spot on 

  By the way ,which is the plate boundry at Bihar ?or say major faultline?


watch

https://earthquake-prediction.blogspot.com

Monday, April 10, 2023

Epicenter hypothesis

 Any one cross checking my major earthquake epicenter hypothesis?

If any one would like to check the hypothesis here is the sun and Moon positions , Change the date and time in UTC and you will get Sun Moon at Zenith (calculate 180 degree apart for Nadir)

There are two shades shown in this . One is where Sun is visible area and the another is where the Moon is visible 

The boundary line of shade shows the rising and setting locations on the map. 

 Left side curve shows locations where Sun/Moon are rising ,where as right side of curve shows locations where they are setting.  Care should be taken to locate which curve belong to Sun and Moon.



https://lnkd.in/dqW-F53q


say for today's three quakes 

1) 5.4 at 7.4 UTC at soloman Island.....Sun Setting

2) 4.7 at 10.54 UTC at Chile  ...Sun Rising

3) 4.5 at 10.49 UTC at Tonga ... Sun at Nadir (in 10 degree margin)

Sunday, April 09, 2023

Why 9+ quakes are rare?

 Today early morning, between 5 am to 6 am,while doing meditation, I had an idea (queation) as to why 9+ quakes are rare.

Actually, whole concept of Earthquake prediction was born out of morning meditation.,including recent concept of -Earthquake epicenter hypothesis-
I knew the answer given by plate tectonics in general and USGS in perticular,but some how I am not convinced .
As per USGS more the length ( and in turn contact area) at plate boundaries/fault line ,bigger will be the quake.
  Now ,as we ( ie plate tectonics) have already concluded that ,the built up stresses at plate boundaries ( when they are suddenly released)are the only  cause  of Earthquakes.
The built up stresses are measured per unit area.and it has nothing to do with total contact area. On the contrary lesser the length of plate boundaries greater the stress per unit area.
It also implies that, more the depth of plate boundaries, more the area of contact ,and lower stress per unit area. Therefore shallow plates ( ocean plates) should bave always smaller quakes. All near 9 quakes should occur at continental plate boundaries
The topic is open for discussion 

Tuesday, April 04, 2023

Panama quake ,4th April 2023

 6.3 quake at Panama on 4th April 2023 at 22.23 UTC ,at 82 degree West.

  Yes ,it is one and half hour earlier than window period ,however watch Moon rising ,Sharp,at epicenter. 

watch location hypothesis 

watch

https://earthquake-prediction.blogspot.com

Monday, April 03, 2023

Clarification on location hypothesis

 There are several messages which says , if I cover + or - 20 degree at Zenith /Nadir /Rising /setting of Sun/Moon ,I  practically cover much of the globe. So infact there is not much to beat the odds.

After ,studying these aspects ,following comments are offered. In fact ,I am cross checking these points
1) As far as Zenith and Nadir of Sun/Moon are concerned, what I believe is, the quake should occur before Sun/Moon reaches Zenith/Nadir and not after crossing their Zenith /Nadir.This is because, if there is potency ,maximum will be at Sharp Zenith /Nadir.If the plate boundaries can sustain this tidal pressure, there are less chances of quakes once they cross these two points.
So in short , the margin of 20 degrees should be prior to reaching Zenith/Nadir and not after that.
2) As far as rising/setting of Moon/Sun are concerned, if we consider all three twilight ie civil twilight up 6 degree prior to rising , Nautical twilight for 6 degrees prior to that and Astronomical for 6 degree  prior  total comes to18 degrees. Thus Say,20 degrees prior to rising and 20 degrees prior to setting
Now total comes to
A) Sun Zenith  and Nadir both..20+20=40
B) Moon Zenith and Nadir...20+20=40
C) Sun Rising and Setting....20+20=40
D) Moon Rising+ Setting...20+20=40
Total 160 degrees out of 360
160/360 ie 45%
So if  50% or more major quake follow the hypothesis, in margin ,I can beat the odds
  Comments from one and all are invited

Checking epicenter hypothesis for 6.5+ quakes (year 2022)

 The study of 6.5+ quakes for the year 2022 (1.1.2022 to 31.12.2022) for checking epicenter location hypothesis is as follows

1) Total 6.5+ quakes in the year .......42

2) Quakes following epicenter hypothesis (with margin ) ....34

3) Out side margin ......1

4) Quakes not following hypothesis......7 

So ,now we have 

34/42 =0.8095 ie 80.95%following the location hypothesis

(7+1)/45  = 0.1905 ie  19.05% not following the hypothesis. They must be following other potent planet (Jupiter mainly ) or Venus.

However ,this aspect is not verified by me yet 


Roger Hunter,as per your calculations ,the chances are 1 in 24. SO out of 42 quakes (6.5+) ,If I have more than 2 correct (ie following the hypothesis ) I could beat the odds

Amit

Sunday, April 02, 2023

A 7.0 quake at PNG on 2nd April 2023 ,a miss?

 Yes

A 7.0 quake at PNG ,on 2nd April 2023 at 18.04 UTC


It depends on how you look at it.

There are two types of miss in Earthquake Prediction .

1) Date predicted and there is no 6+ quake in window period 

2) Date in not predicted and a 6+ quake occurs.

PNG Quake comes under second category 


  I leave it to you to decide


Nevertheless look at epicenter location hypothesis. 


Moon is setting ( sharp) at epicenter 


Amit

Open invitation to check my epicenter/hypocenter hypothesis for major quakes

 I would like some one to check  my epicenter/location hypothesis, for as many 6+quakes as possible.

It is not possible for me to check all 6+ quakes for this hypothesis, unless a software/coding is done by experts.

 So ,by this post ,I request one and all to check my major(6+) earthquake  epicenter hypothesis. which says..

 Major quakes (80% of 6+) occur at a location where ...

1) The Sun/Moon is at Zenith/Nadir ( 20 degree margin) at the time of quake

or

2) The Sun/Moon is rising /Setting ..( twilight zone margin) at the time of quake

 

 

Saturday, April 01, 2023

Epicenter location hypothesis

 Here is a small study of Epicenter hypothesis which says 


Major quakes (6+) will occur at a location ...

1) At Zenith/Nadir of Moon /Sun ..with + or  - 20 degree longitude margin

or

2) At a location where the Moon/Sun are either rising/setting  ,with 

twilight zone margin .

 85% of all major quakes follow this hypothesis.

10% follow strong /closer Jupiter (Zenith/Nadir)

5% follow all other planets especially closer Venus, Mars and Saturn


The basis of this hypothesis is like this...

Earthquakes occurs due to tidal pull on molten magna and Earth crust.When pull exceeds threshold limit the high tide pressure inside partially breaks the crust and hence a quake.

Tidal pull are maximum at Zenith (overhead) and Nadir ( 180 degree apart on opposite side of globe) .Hence ,zenith and Nadir location of Moon and Sun are prone. On full Moon and New Moon, both coincides hence greater chance of quake.

 Now upper crust is pulled apart from Zenith/Nadir of Sun/Moon.At plate boundaries this low tide pull ,split the boundaries and hence quakes at Rising/Setting locations