Can earthquakes be predicted?

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Tuesday, July 16, 2013

Cycle earthquake theory....pre and aftershocks..theory

hi

 please see my note - earthquake prediction for July 2013-

 please note 7.3 earthquake on 15th 14 UTC ,at south sandwich island
  Predicted date and time were 16th July 4.0 UTC.
  yes I am conservative while predicting magnitude. May be I am too cautious while predicting magnitude
 What is to be noted here is the theory of cycle quakes
   Time and again I have stated and pointed out that, as Moon is the main trigger in earthquake occurrence, there are fair amount of chances that,another quake (major 6.5 or so) occurs exactly after 7 and half days to 8 days
 This is because, Moon moves exactly 90 degrees during these 7/8 days and occupies another potent /triggering position 90 degree apart.
   Thus, before and after any major quake,there are chances of pre and post shocks after 7 and half adys and 15 days.
  This continues (15 days or 21 days ) till the potent positions created by major planets ( Jupiter/Venus/Sun) fades away
  Thus, after any major quake,authorities should be cautious on 7/8 th and 15 days also
   Check this theory,if anybody wishes
 Amit

12 comments:

AMIT said...

hi
It is ,therefore, predicted that a quake of 6.5 may occur on 22/23rd July.place not predicted
Amit

Anonymous said...

so you basically predict a large quake on the full moon and new moon.... both these times are when the moon works with the sun and the tides are high.

you then give 7-15 days for a large after shock, this means you cover the whole month with 2 dates.

you also give your self a 3 day lee-way ie a date of 15th and 1 day either side, and you also mention M6.3-M6.6, knowing a + or- 3 will also fall in your range.

Just letting you know , A M7.6 is 30 times more powerful than a M6.6, you cant claim anywhere near with this distance.

If you are claiming a M7, say an M7, or don't claim at all.

Watching Jazzmans predictions, only once has a large quake not fallen on a coronal hole, and i could see why, i dont know if he noticed this but when the moon is in the 1st quarter, it is influenced more from that side of the sun, ie coronal holes influence the moon before they reach centered on the sun/ once the reach center, they then have less influence on the moon.


David.

AMIT said...

David
It would be better ,if you go throgh complete theory and then comment
1) I do not predict quakes only on full moon and new moon.It is. only trigger
2)There are 3-4 dates in a month.
3) window perod. cover only one day on either side. does not cover complete month
4) To the best of my knowledge magnitudes are in logeridhimetric proportion.ie each next one is 10 times biggee. ie 7 is 10 times bigger than 6

Amit

Anonymous said...

A M7.6 is 10 times bigger, but 31 times stronger (energy release)than a M6.6

http://earthquake.usgs.gov/learn/topics/calculator.php

Every month, people should expect larger quakes on new and full moons, then watch the 1st quarter moon at least with new coronal holes/sunspots forming just out of the earth's view.

The position of the moon during the month in regards to the sun changes things.

Watch for 90 degree angles with the close planets also .

And yes David, i was aware of the angles concerning the moon/coronal holes/sunspots etc .

Be safe

Jazzman :)

AMIT said...

David
Have you ever analysed. the the prediction by seismolost and scientists.?
" There will be a major quake in Himalayas, either tomorrow or after 500 years."
what is the use of such prediction?.Open windows for days (years???!!!!!) and magnitude.
why any body not seen/heard objecting such vauge prediction.
we should stop spending tax payers money in such research. If seismology strongly belive quakes can not be predicted than stop wasting money. Instead work on quake proof buildings and retrofitting the old one
Think out of the box.

Anonymous said...

Ok, here are the dates for the 4 Moon phases for the rest of 2013 and January 2014s

Lets see how these dates correspond to yours?

Full moon July 22, 2013 11:16:32 AM

Last quarter July 29, 2013 10:44:43 AM


August

New moon August 6, 2013 02:51:32 PM

First quarter August 14, 2013 03:57:33 AM

Full moon August 20, 2013 06:45:06 PM

Last quarter August 28, 2013 02:35:47 AM


September

New moon September 5, 2013 04:36:12 AM

First quarter September 12, 2013 10:09:52 AM

Full moon September 19, 2013 04:12:38 AM

Last quarter September 26, 2013 08:56:12 PM


October

New moon October 4, 2013 05:34:10 PM

First quarter October 11, 2013 04:03:54 PM

Full moon October 18, 2013 04:37:36 PM

Last quarter October 26, 2013 04:42:04 PM


November

New moon November 3, 2013 05:49:32 AM

First quarter November 9, 2013 10:58:47 PM

Full moon November 17, 2013 08:16:30 AM

Last quarter November 25, 2013 12:30:21 PM



December

New moon December 2, 2013 05:22:19 PM

First quarter December 9, 2013 08:13:09 AM

Full moon December 17, 2013 02:29:20 AM

Last quarter December 25, 2013 06:50:20 AM


And January 2014

New moon January 1, 2014 04:15:02 AM

First quarter January 7, 2014 08:40:20 PM

Full moon January 15, 2014 09:53:35 PM

Last quarter January 23, 2014 10:21:01 PM


You have already mentioned the 1st of January 2014.


David

Anonymous said...

A large coronal hole and a M5.8 New Zealand.

Tom hardy

AMIT said...

hi
yes.Ine more to come in 48 hrs. Place not known
Amit

AMIT said...

hi
please note 6.5 quake at NZ on 21st July 2013,
as predicted above
Amit

AMIT said...

David
All Full Moon and New Moon do not trigger quakes. There are some baic requirements , which are required to be fulfilled first -
These basic guide lines are given in this blog under
Basic guide lines and thumb rules to predict major quakes
Yes they can act as trigger ,hence some of my dates may coinside
Amit

Anonymous said...

Yes, same rules apply, +- 1 day count as a hit.

Also as Jazzmans theory says... large coronal holes in relation to the moons position.

I don't believe many quakes will fall on the 1st and last quarters, the sun and moon are against each other.

I would say a couple of days before the 1st quarter and a couple of days after the last, but 28th/29th is very much possible.

David

Anonymous said...

As no one mentioned the earths position in regards to the sun/moon when the M6.5, and my findings of sunrise/sunset theory.

New Zealand had just occupied the moons pull, the sun had a very small fringe hold, and knowing the New Zealand sits on 2 plates, the result was forth coming.

New Zealand was also coming up to sunset status.

http://www.fourmilab.ch/cgi-bin/Earth

Be safe

Jazzman :)