Can earthquakes be predicted?

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Sunday, December 30, 2018

Earthquake Prediction for January 2019

Hi
The probable dates for 6+ quakes for the month of January 2019 are as mentioned below

1)3rd Jan 2019.............6.5
2)6th Jan 2019.............7.2
3)21st Jan 2019...........7.3
4)31st Jan 2019...........6.4

Time window period is +or - one day
The dates 5th and 21st are strongest and may cross 7

Amit

Thursday, November 29, 2018

Problem with getting statestical odds of having 6+ quakes

Roger
As you have stated that odds of having 6+ quakes is 0.6 ,in window period of + or - one day.
 Now here are some facts
If I take period from 1-1- 2000 to 31-12 2015 ie 16 years ie 1946 windows of 3 days
Now as per USGS
1) 6 and 6+ quakes in 16 years are 2544
2)6.1+....  Quakes are 1975
3)6.2+..............1537
4)6.3+.........  1230
5)6.4+.......966
6)6.5+..........779

Thus odds are quakes/windows are
1.3, 1.01, 0.789 ,0.632, 0.496 , 0.410

Now , as per this ,there will alwaysbe a 6 or 6 .1+ quake in 3 day window . Which never happens

The problem with this stats is it does not take in to account clusters of quakes.
On a prone date there will be several 6+ quakes in one window ,
  I think ,correct picture will be arrived if we take one quake in window ,even though there are several.
Amit

Monday, November 26, 2018

Earthquake Prediction for December 2018

Hi
In December 2018 ,the quakes could be more powerful ,for the following reasons
1) Sun is closest to Earth on 23/24 the December
2) Sun is at Max Declinations south ,on22nd
and will move towards north after that
3)Moon is at closest distance on 24th
4) Mercury is closer and changing direction 7th
Probable dates for 6+ quakes with window period of +or - one day are

a)6th.......6.5
b)9th.......6.6
c)21st......6.8
d)24th....7.2

Infact ,there will be serise of major quakes between 21st to 24th.December

However ,any volcanic eruption between 21 to 24 may reduce the magnitude of quakes
Amit

Sunday, November 25, 2018

Results of Earthquake Prediction for year 2018, 2017,2016, 2015

Hi
 Each day , I will try to compile my predictions for  one year
odds of getting a hit date in window period of + or - one day is one in four ie 25% approx
Results shows that my predictions are far better than odds


YEAR 2018

For current year ,till 25th Nov , following are results

6+ quakes predicted ...---41 dates

Hit dates......------------26   ( 63.41%)
--------------------------------------------

YEAR 2017

Total dates predicted .........40
total hit dates.....................21
                                                (52.5%)

----------------------------------------------

YEAR 2016

Total dates predicted....43
Total hit dates..................30
                                  (69.76%)
______________________________________

YEAR 2015

Total dates predicted...........39

Total hit dates........................29

                                 (74.36%)
______________________________________

Saturday, November 03, 2018

Earthquake Prediction for November 2018

Hi
 Sorry for posting this post so late.
I was pre occupied with office work and Dipawali
 Dipawali is Hindu new year ,which will start from 8th November
Probable dates for major quakes ae
1) 7th......6.4
2)15th......6.6
3)22nd.....6.5
4) 26th......6.9

Window period is +or - one day

Amit

Sunday, September 30, 2018

Earthquake Prediction for October 2018

Hi
The reason we have some major quakes in September and October 2018 is both Venus and Mars are closer to Earth. Besides Venus will change direction on 5th Oct 2018.
 Further Venus ,Mars and Saturn are at their extreme declinations.
Thus we may also find some major quakes in October 2018
5th........7.0
9th.......6.8
11th......6.6
18th......6.9
25th......6.7

Amit

Saturday, September 29, 2018

Donate Research

hi
 This is the first time in 13 years ,that , I am posting this . I ma now a retired  engineer and on pension. The research going on for now more than thirteen years. Now ,to prolong it further amy need some help.
 I have a paypal account with email id    amitjdave@yahoo.com


Next month probable dates are under calculations and will be posted soon

regards

Amit Dave

Wednesday, September 05, 2018

6.6 Earthquake at Japan on 5th September 2018

Hi
Please note my prediction for the month of September 2018
People burried under mud,power cut off

6.6 on 5th ...predicted

Actual quake is a date hit and magnitude hit.

Wake up
Japan seismology need to rethink the existing plate tectonics theory

Amit

Saturday, September 01, 2018

Earthquake Prediction for September 2018

Hi
Here are some of the probable dates for major earthqEarth (6+) for theonth of September 2018
1)5th.......6.6
2) 9th.......6.5
3)18th.......6.4
4)26th......6.6
Time window is + ,or - one day
Magnitude window is +or - 0.3

Amit

Wednesday, August 15, 2018

Probable dates for Earthquake in August 18

Hi
Sorry ,could not find time to calculate and upload dates for August 2018.
Nevertheless ,rema remai dates of August are uploaded herewith
1)16th......6.3
2)23th......6.5
3)26th.....6.6

Amit

Sunday, July 01, 2018

Earthquake prediction for July 2018

Hi
Here are probable dates for 6+ quakes in July 18
1)13th July......6.7
2)20th July......6.4
3)27th July ...6.5

Amit

Monday, April 30, 2018

Earthquake prediction for May 2018

Hi
Following are the probable dates for major (6+) quakes in May 2018
1)2nd ..........6.5
2)6th............6.6
3)14th...........6.3
4)19th..........6.7
Amit

Tuesday, April 03, 2018

Earthquake prediction for April 18

Hi
Here are probable dates for major Earthquakes (6+). The time window is + or - one day.
1)7th April....6.5
2)17th April ...6.7
3)21st April....7.1
4)29th April...6.4

Amit Dave

Thursday, March 01, 2018

Earthquake Prediction for March 18

Hi
Following are the probable dates for major Earthquakes (6+) for theonth of March 18
1)8th March....6.5
2)16th March...6.4
3)21st March ...6.5
4)26th March...6.8
5)31st March...6.7
As Jupiter is approaching closer and will be changing direction on 8th March, Opposition and Conjunction with Moon will induce major quakes.
Also Mercury is changing direction on 21st.

Pl note approximate magnitude is given here, window is +or - 0.3
Time will download is +or -1 day

Also while calculating odds ,the figure mentioned here should be taken and not just6+

Amit

Saturday, February 03, 2018

Earthquake prediction for February 18

Hi
Following are the probable dates for major quake of 6+
1)8th.......6.3
2)15th......6.6
3)19th......6.5
4)26th......6.7
Amit