Can earthquakes be predicted?

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Saturday, December 20, 2008

Earthquake prediction for January 2009

sir
Here are the dates ,time (IST)and intensity for the quakes
date time-intensity
2.1.2009- 13.30- 6.9 on Richerd scale
4.1.2009- -15.10- 7.2
11.1.2009-09.15- 7.1
12.01.2009-11.10 -7.6
15.01.2009-11.30 -7.4
18.01.2009-15.30- 6.4
25/26-midnught-6.9
pl watch the adtes
Place not known yet
regatrds
Dave

Monday, December 15, 2008

REQUEST TO USGS TO OBSERVE EARTHQUAKES IN jANUARY 2009

Sir
Pl see the dates mentioned in my blog for major earth quakes in January 2009 (place not known )
USGS is once again requested to keep watch on the dates for major quakes .
regards
Dave

Thursday, October 09, 2008

Theory of earthquake prediction-tidal forc and momentum change

Sir
Thank you very much. You have taken enough pains to prove me wrong and to save science from so called Astrologers. I will not take much time and not write a thesis.
However, few points need to be clarified here.
( A) First thing first-At the out set, please remove the idea/ block that, this is an Astrology and there fore it must be wrong, or baseless. The theory is based on pure science .rather physics and it is based on Gravitational pull acting on two bodies .It requires calculation of pull, mass1*mass2/ square of the distance between two objects.
It is also not correct that, the theory is only based only on tidal forces. It also takes in to account the change in Momentum (mass*velocity ) of the molten magma due to either change in direction of the major planets or extreme speed of the planets. This occurs when planets change their direction (apparent) from direct to Retro gate or retro gate to direct.. Extreme speed of the planets also plays an important role to accelerate or retard the momentum.
planet normal speed extreme speed days of extreme speed
minutes-seconds minutes -seconds in ayear
Mars 31-26 46-11 15
mercury 59-08 131-32 10
Jupiter 5-0 14-04 45
Venus 59-08 75-42 1 0
Saturn 2-0 07-45 180
you see the speed /acceleration change due such variation and when multiplied with mass it can make a huge difference.
I shall now give method of predicting a major quake
(a)First-we need to Find out the month and date when major planets, Jupiter and Saturn changes the directions. or having excessive speed. Venus and Mercury are also considered for quakes of less intensity (<6.5)
(b) Second- Find out the dates immediately after (a) above ,when moon (trigger)either joins ,opposes, or squares the planets changing the direction or the planet having excessive speed.
Also find out full moon, new moon , low neap tide moon dates and time immediately after (a) above.
As moon is the main trigger the dates and time (+/- 2Hrs ) are fixed by moon.. this is because moon takes 2 Hrs to move one degree
THIS IS THE TIME FOR MAJOR QUAKES /ERUPTION /NATURAL DISASTER
(C) Third-place-The place depends on two things
Finding place accurately is very difficult, as it depend on time accuracy. If we miss 4 minutes we are away by one longitude
The line along the vector resultant pull of all forces and the crust right above the pull at that time It is true that quakes occur along fault line ,that is only because those are weaker sections. If the crust is solid the quake may wait for some time (2 to 4 Hrs ) till it comes right below fault line or may come little early depending on availability of weaker crust
THE PLATES AND FAULTS ARE DUE TO QUAKES AND QUAKES ARE NOT DUE TO PLATES. Plates and faults are effects of quakes and not cause of the quake
HOW THE FIRST QUAKE OCCURRED OR HOW THE PLATES ARE SEPRATED WITHOT QUAKES?
On some given date (say,16 th September 2008) there are lot of quakes all over the globe and on various plates not related to each other. How do we explain this with Plate tectonics?
(d) intensity- The intensity depends on several things like
#one or more planets changing direction( for momentum change )
# Full moon ,New moon , low neap tide moon ( for tidal force calculation )
#Planets having extreme speed ( for momentum change)
#Moon at apogee or perigee ( for tidal force calculation )
# Earth nearest to Sun ( for tidal force calculation )
# Moon on equator ( for tidal force calculation )
# Moon or sun at extreme declination ( for momentum change )
#sun and moon having same declinations ( for momentum change )
#Aspects of other planets ( for tidal force calculation )
# eclipse( when sun and moon are in the same plane) ( for tidal force calculation)
(D) Earthquake cycle- Once the date and time of major quake is decided ,we need to observe the dates before and after the selected dates ,the other dates for pre shocks and after shocks. These will occur before and after seven and half days, 15 days , 23rd day and one month. This is because moon takes yet another potent position after each seven and half days (90 Degrees movement). Please note these pre and after shock may not be at the same place.
That is why I have added few more dates in my prediction .(that too well in advance )
We also need to track the date from one month in advance and adjust according to pre shock signals.
(B)Reply to Mr kher’s remarks
(i) Yes .September 2008 was the month of major quakes as well as disasters. Make total of September quakes as against average quakes
(ii) cyclone theory- The tidal forces with change in momentum also applies to atmosphere and moisture in the air. The high tide line creates high pressure and low tide line creates low pressure zone in the atmosphere. The more the tidal force ,the more the low pressure zone. This pressure difference creates high speed winds. If it happen to be ocean with 26-27 degree temp band, over which the winds blows it may create a cyclone.( DO YOU FIND ANY THING UN SCIENTIFIC IN THIS ?)
(iii) 100 % prediction- Why do we need 100 % prediction in initial stage? Why do we need either 0% or 100 % prediction ? Why we can not progress smoothly?
Forget earthquake prediction. Do we have cent percent weather forecast? Can we predict cloud burst with accuracy ,despite having Doppler Radar? Can we predict land fall of cyclones ,despite having satellite images with 72 hours lead time ? Why only sciences have liberty to learn from error? or self correction? Are we hypocrites? Are we working blind fold in the name of science? Do we have keyhole view of the problem? Are we not ready to think out of the box?
Did any-body find any thing astrological in my theory mentioned above?
(iv) Satara quake – All quakes were due to tidal force on all dates mentioned.
I would say all major quakes are due to tidal force coupled with change in momentum.. More than 25 quakes in a day ,Where was the stress and strain ? All over the Globe? How on earth plate tectonic justify this? Are they on same plate boundaries? Was that built up stress ? Residual Stress ? No idea.
NEXT CHALLANGE- January 2009 will be a quake prone / Natural disaster prone month. IF you want dates, they are
2,4,11,12,15,23,25/26 th January 2009
Year long challenge- I shall give you 36 dates (10% of the year) for major quakes (6.8 and above ) for the year 2009.
It means there will be about 10% quakes on these dates .
How if 90% of major quakes occur on these 10% dates ?
Note-( I)-University of California, LA Department of earth and space science researchers have published an Article in “science” ,that states out of 2000 quakes they have studied between 1997 -2000 (>5.5) ,75 % quakes were at the time of high tides in the ocean
One big quake could trigger another –half way across the globe.-this is the findings of a team of Geologist in USA .”They could be of any size” said Parsons , who in previous research identified eight cases in the last quarter century in which 7.0 or bigger quake had lead to another that was even bigger
Is this not enough justification of the prone dates ?
Researcher Alexandar kahlinsky at NASA’s Goddard space flight centre in Greenbelt recently found a” Dark flow “ which they say is the Gravitational pull of matter that is across billions of light years .
What do we know about travel of the Gravitational pull across the space?
Regards
Amit dave
Astrologer / Engineer

Saturday, September 27, 2008

theory of Earthquake prediction and dates

sir
I shall give my theory and method of prediction very shortly
A) Theory is based on tidal forces. The tidal forces creates High tides and low tides inside the earth crust (on Semi solid magma.)The day and time when the forces are more than limit it breaks the crust and an earthquake occurs.When it breaks it completely ,a volcanic eruption occurs
B) The Major planes ,Jupiter and Saturn when changes he direction from direct to retro gate or from retro gate to direct it changes the momentum (mass*velocity ) of molten magma ,which creates imbalance in the crust.
The Moon is the main trigger in predicting Date and time of the quake
B) First find out the date on which these major planets (also Venus and mercury ) changes the direction
Find out the date immediately after these date ,when Moon joins ,opposes or squares the planets changing the direction to the accuracy if 2 hours (1 degrre of moon )
Find out the full moon , New moon or low neap tide dates immediately after the date (on which change of direction occurs )
The time when moon enters such position is the QUAKE time.
C) The intensity depends on mutual aspects.
IF BOTH JUPITER AND SATURN CHANGES THE DIRECTION IN A SPAN OF TWO-THREE DAYS IT CAN CRETE A QUAKE OF INTENSITY MORE THAN 7.5 ON RICHTER SCALE
This can be fine tuned with
moon on equator, moon closest to earth, earth closest to sun, moon on exterme declination, sun and moon on same declination ,eclipse
MUTUAL ASPECTS OF PLANETS ALSO COUNTS
D) PLACES- It is most difficult to pin point place exactly. However the longitudes at which there will be high tide in the oceans ,at the specificed (calculated time ) will have the quake.
GENERALLY THE WEAKEST SECTION -FAULT LINE WILL HAVE THE QUAKE (DIRECTLY ABOVE HIGH TIDE LINE )
NEXT DATES ARE 20TH OCTOBER 008 2330 (IST-Indian standered Time)-6.9
21st October 2008 6.2
Year 2009
Only first month -which is most potent - the dates are given here by
2nd January 2009-2330 IST6.9
4th Jan 2009-1510 7.2
11 th Jan -0915 -7.1
12th January1110 IST -7.6
15th January -1130 IST -7.4
23 rd January 2009-1530-6.1
25/ 26hth January 2009 Midnight -6.9
pl note January and June 2009 will witness major natural Disasters

If required all dates(36 numbers ) of year 2009 can be given
This theory can be used for predicting Volcanic eruptions, Cyclones also
regards
A.J.Dave



GS-AK ESIC <askusgs@usgs.gov> wrote:
Hello again-

Wednesday, September 10, 2008

Actual quakes

hello friends pl observe major quakes on
8th and 10 th September 2008
Indonesia- 7.6 (tsunami warning)
Hokaido - 7.0 Vanuattu -7.0
Southern Iran -6.9
pl watch two more dates 5th and 16 th September 2008
regards
Dave

Sunday, September 07, 2008

Three major cyclones in September 08

Watch Gustav, Hanna and Ike ,three major storms in first week of September 2008
Also quake in Hindukush on 6th September 2008
keep watching dates

Monday, September 01, 2008

china quake -on 30th August 08

Sir
please keep watching the dates from now till 3rd week of September 2008.
China quake is the proof of my prediction. We have lost atleat 22 people in recent china quake.(30th August 2008)
Also ,watch for a major cyclone comming in New orliance.
We have lost almost one thousand years ,not believing the fact that Earth is not the centre of Universe. Blind faith in Plate tectonic should not block the other ideas
Regards

Saturday, August 30, 2008

EARTHQUAKE CYCLES

Sir
The earthquake dates mentioned for September 2008 are having maximum potential /strength
to trigger big quakes.However the quakes preceeds this dates (pre shocks ) and occur after the dates(after shocks) in less intensities.
As the Moon is the main trigger (after planets changinging the direction -direct to Retrogate and vice versa -Jupitor in case of September quakes),these quakes occur before and after 7.5 days, 15 days,22 days and 30 th day of the original date.This is because moon takes next strong position (90 degrees apart ) after every week
pl watch the dates
regards
Dave

Saturday, August 23, 2008

some more fetures of Tidal force Theory

sir
As per my theory the dates of September 2008 are already published in my blog. However one more thing required to be noted is that , the dates shown are the peak force dates ,and have maximum potential of triggering the quakes. However , the quakes follow a sinusoidal pattern. As the dates mentioned approaches nearer the quake intensity and frequency keep on increasing. After the date shave passed the tidal force slowly fades away.
Thus , there are fair chances of quakes of 6.5 to 6.8 Richter scale on following dates also
27 th August 2008----0415 Hrs IST
31 th August 2008-----0115 Hrs IST
Also 22 nd and 23 rd September 2008----up to 7.0 on Richter scale
pl watch the dates
Dave

Saturday, August 16, 2008

Request to USGS to observe the dates in September 08 for major quakes

Sir /Madam
pl see my earlier mails of earthquake predictions and actual occurrences.
Here I am giving some more dates for September 2008 for quakes more than 7.0 on Richter scale.
Yes , As of today I am unable to pin point the place for the quakes . Nevertheless I strongly believe that it can well be predicted. In fact I have already pin pointed the places for these quakes . However the accuracy of place is not higher than 50 %
Hence I can not disclose the same publicly.
Science ,can predict the quakes in Himalayan region any time from tomorrow to 100 years span,(such predictions are useless) but My predictions are asked tobe precise.What is the harm being more vigil on 12 to 15 dates in an year ?
In all probability (90% major quakes will occur on these dates only)
Why science is not open to any thing other than plate tectonics? If the plate tectonics was correct By now it should be able to predict the quakes accurately.
I believe, The plates are due to quakes and quakes are not due to plates


I am basically an Engineer, and my theory is based on pure tidal force theory
This email is specifically written for USGS in general and Linda in particular.
I would like USGS to watch the dates in September 2008 (8th,10th,15th and 16 th September 2008)
IF USGS WANTS ME TO DISCLOSE THE PLACES ALSO I WILL CERTAINLY DO THAT .HOWEVER I HAVE NO DOUBT ABOUT THE DATES.
regards
amit.j.dave

Saturday, August 02, 2008

some quaestins to plate tectonics

Sir
A few question to MR.kher who have some doubts and questions for my theory of earthquake prediction
(1) Does moon force depend on the body it is acting?
(2) How such a small force produce 4.5 mtrs of high tide in the oceans?
(3) can we observe high tide and low tides in a bucket full of water? why ?
(4) Does mass and volume of molten lava is more than that of waters in the oceans?
Now some questions to Plate Tectonics
(1) Why there are quakes at other than plate boundaries?
(2) How and why the initial two plates ie Laurasia and Gondwanaland
separated initially ? Due to heat currents or Due to Earth rotation?
Because magma will not solidify at the places where splitting forces are already there how did they separated ?
(1)Why there are major quakes allover the globe ,on different plate on a given date?
(2) Why some months are prone to major natural disasters Like May 2008?
(3)Why some of the major quakes have occured onf
full moon or new moon day. BOth Latur(30-09-1993) and Bhuj 26-01-2001)quakes are on full moon day
(4) How does plate tectonics explains pre shocks ?
Amit J Dave

Thursday, July 31, 2008

Earthquake prediction-sptember 2008

Hi
On one of press note in daily DNA ,My article earthquake prediction appeared on June 3,2008.
One gentleman from Pune ,India raised strong doubts on my earlier prediction of MAY 2008,includining the great china quake pf May 12.
Now here ,I woud like to be more specific and give time for the quakes
1. 8th September 2008------0150 IsT or2020GMT 7th September
2. 10th September 2008 ------1950 GMT
3. 15th September 2008 ----0910 GMT
4. 16Th September 2008 -----2015 GMT
I would like each and every one to observe/watch these dates carefully for major quakes all over the globe
pl----pl---pl dont treat this as an astrological and unscientific blog. This may save some lives
A.j.Dave

Sunday, July 06, 2008

EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION FOR THE MONTH SEPTEMBER 2008

Hi
Here are some more dates to be observed carefully for major earthquakes (more than 7.0 on Richter scale0 in the month of September 2008. these dates are also prone to other natural disasters like cyclones and heavy down pour.
1. 8th sept 2008
2. 10 th sept 2008
3. 15/16 th sept 2008
regards
A.J.DAVE