Can earthquakes be predicted?

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Wednesday, March 27, 2024

Evaluation of my predicted dates over 6 -7 years

 



Roger
For last two nights, I have work up to 1 am in the morning for evaluation of my predicted posted on my blog .
Few days back I have posted the dates for seven years .
Aa I gont use any computer program, it took two days (actually nights)
Here are the results
1) Total month for which dates predicted...... 78
2) Total predicted dates.. 315
3) Total hits ......199
4) Total mis .....116
5) % Accuracy  199/315 =63.1%
So ,over a considerable long span of prediction accuracy is 63%
Even the results by evaluation showed it 63%

Monday, March 25, 2024

Evaluation of my Earthquake prediction dates by Roger Hunter

 have posted my major ( 6 and above) dates ,here and on my blog

https://lnkd.in/dzRtvB6w

One of my best friend Mr Roger Hunter,who is retired seismologist from USGS ,is kind enough to test the dates ( 2019 to 2024) against actual quakes.


Below is the evaluation results by Roger, word to word. Roger ,sorry for posting exact quotes. But I did not want to interpret and reproduce in my word

....     ......     .. . .       ..... ..     ..     



The results for the 2019 thru 2024 mag 6.0+ quakes show you made 163 correct predictions

and 93 wrong predictions for mag 6.0+ quakes.


Not too bad but not good enough for practical use. 100% is the goal; anything less risks lives

.....     ........   .......      ........    ...

Roger Hunter 

few things

1) Whether quakes of mag 6 considered?

2) Can we check these dates for 7 and above quakes?

It means ,how many of 7 and above quakes occured in these dates ( with window period) against total 7 and 7+ quakes between 2019 to 2024

Sunday, March 24, 2024

Earthquake Prediction for April 24

Hi

Following are the probable dates for major quakes (6 and above) ,with window period of + or - one day. Date and time as per UTC
1)2nd April 24
2) 7th April
3) 11th April
4)20th April
5) 24th April.

Please note ,that the epicenter location will follow ,my epicenter hypothesis
For more pl see
https://earthquake-prediction.blogspot.com

Amit Dave

Wednesday, March 20, 2024

Earthquake prediction dates for year 2023-24

 Roger

Here are some more dates for the year 2023-24,for your scrutiny


https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/7ofzokj1blqw68rpb9n3f/EQ-dates-2023-24.pdf?rlkey=gadg11d58wq9poaic9vxvr5dg&dl=0


Amit

Tuesday, March 19, 2024

 Roger

Here are the predicted dates for 75 months .The predicted quakes are 6 or 6+. Time window margin is +or - one day.

https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/tyj8gk15educn9eb68lrg/Earthquake-prediction-dates-for-6-quakes.pdf?rlkey=3v63v6t0ra421lclo5lt3ioo2&dl=0