Can earthquakes be predicted?

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Tuesday, December 30, 2014

Earthquake prediction for January 2015

hi
 Here are three probable dates and magnitude for the month of January 2015

1) 4th January................6.6

2)19th January...............6.7

3)22nd January..............6.6

 Date window + or - one day

Magnitude window + or - 0.3


Amit


Monday, December 29, 2014

Hypothesis for predicting location of the major earthquakes

hi
 After much home work ( more than six years),following hypothesis is published for predicting locations of major earthquakes
 One more hypothesis is can be given is like this

If the quake is more than 6 ,the place ie location could be depending on
1) Moon's location (+ or - 20 degrees)
2) Moon's location + 180 degrees (+ or -20 degrees)
 However this depends on the stronger trigger at that time
 Generally it is Sun or Moon
In some cases it could be Jupiter, Venus or Mars ,if they are at perigee and at Maximum declination on that day
 To days-29th December 2014(6.1 -Philippines quake) corresponds to Moon
This hypothesis, is under trial and I have seen it working in more than 75% major quakes
Amit

Wednesday, December 24, 2014

Results of my Prediction of 6.1 and above quakes till today (22nd december 2014)

Hi
 Here is brief review of my prediction for 6.1 and above quakes between September and December 22nd

1) September...2 hits out of 4
2)October.....1 hit out of 3
3) November...3 hits out of 4
4) December..1 hit out of 2.. till 22nd
 Thus,7 hits out of 13
so, above 50%
Thus ,above odds.
 (As per odds for 6.1 + quakes it is slightly below 50%)
Amit

Sunday, December 07, 2014

Earthquake Prediction for the month of December 2014

hi

 I am sorry for not posting the probable earthquake dates for the month of December 2014.
Yesterday, my wife has been given discharge from the hospital after surgery.
 Any way,we have one quake of 6.8 ,at PNG today ie 7th at 01.22 UTC,(pl check it is just after Full Moon.
 Any way the probable dates are

1) 13th  December 2014........6.4

2)20th..................................6.8

3)23rd..............................6.6

4)29th..............................6.4

window period  + or - one day

magnitude window...+ or -  0.3


If I specify the time also ( this is purely for academic purpose and my evaluation should be done on above criteria...for Roger)

1) 12th....at 00.30 UTC
2)19th ....08.30 UTC
3) 22nd...01.36 UTC
4) 24th....16.45 UTC
5)  28th ...18.30 UTC
 These are five dates with + or - 6 Hrs time window

Amit

Saturday, November 22, 2014

Eastern Honshu Japan earthquake 22nd November.Accuracy of Earthquake prediction prediction

pl note today Japan earthquake and accuracy of my prediction.
predicted date 22nd Nov at 12.32 UtC 6.1 and above and at 160 to 180 E.
Actual quake Date ,time and magnitude match exactly .Place is 20 degree away
watch the accuracy.
Amit


Saturday, November 01, 2014

Earthquake Prediction for the month November 2014

hi
 Here are the probable dates for 6+ quakes
1)4th November 2014............6.3
2)7th/8th ...............................6.4
3)23rd....................................6.5
4)28th...................................6.4

window period + or - 1 day
magnitude window    + or - 0.3

7th /8th means from 12noon UTC  7th to 12 Noon UTC 8th

Amit

Sunday, October 05, 2014

My Earthquake prediction results compared with Roger's random dates for September 2014

Roger
 Here are the results of my September results as against your 30 random dates

Total 6+ quakes...5
My results.. 3 hits out of 4

results of 30 random dates are as follows

1 hit.........6
2 hits........12
3 hits........10
4  hits.......2
...............
total........30

Now 10 +2 = 14 are better than my results out of 30. ie not even 50%
 If my predictions are below odds ,at least 75% or more should be better than my dates
Amit

Wednesday, October 01, 2014

Earthquake prediction for October 2014

hi
here are the probable dates for the month os October 2014

only three dates are predicted for this month
1)7th October 20147............6.6

2)22nd  October 2014.........6.5

3) 28th October 2014...........6.4

Time window is + or - one day

Magnitude window is + or - 0.3 ( however this should not be disqualifying criteria ,as long as the quake in window period is 6+)

Amit

Friday, August 29, 2014

Earthquake Prediction for September 2014

hi
 My probable major earthquake dates for the month of September 2014 are as mentioned below
1)1st September 2014...............6.6

2)8th September 2014.............6.8

3)16th September 2014..........6.3

4)23rd/24th September 2014...........6.4 ( 23rd/24th means UTC TIME 1200 FROM 23rd to UTC 1200 NOON ON 24th)

window period + or - one day
magnitude window + or -0.3 (only for reference and should not be disqualified if quake is 6+ but out of window magnitude)

Roger is requested to post random dates here. If all 30 sets of dates are not practicable Roger is requested to post only 10 sets as a sample survey
 Actually, random dates should be posted prior to my dates. From next month we will do that.
 As my first date window period was approaching with in a day, I have posted the dates earlier
Amit

Monday, August 25, 2014

Open Invitation to one and all to give random dates for probable major Earthquakes

hi
 Time and again, it is debated that my prediction are below odds or random dates given by anyone.
This invitation was given earlier also . It was also tried to prove statistically ,that my prediction are below random dates,but software results are misleading.
  If my predictions are below average or below random dates, it should be proved practically
   One thing I know for sure is,if my predictions are below random dates,majority of people should be able to beat me (at least 7 out of 10 people )
 Now here is challenge
1)  Three groups of 10 people should volunteer for the work
2) All 30 people should give random dates for 6.2+ quakes,with + or - one day window period
3) The random dates should be for next six months
4) The dates should be posted on my blog,before 1st day of each month
5) I will post my dates (for that month)on 2nd day of each month
6)An independent evaluation will be done after 6 months

 If at least 20 people ,from 3 groups,beat me in results , I will believe that, my predictions are below random dates or are just by fluke.
 
Amit




Sunday, August 24, 2014

Earthquake prediction track records

hI
 Those who wish to see my previous prediction track record my pl visit my facebook page ,which will give you links to evaluation records

https://www.facebook.com/amit.dave.54/posts/835162603169145?comment_id=835299599822112&offset=0&total_comments=11&notif_t=feed_comment
Amit

6.6 EARTHQUAKE AT CHILE ON 23RD AUGUST 2014 AS PREDICTED,WATCH ACCURACY OF EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION

Hi
pl note 6.6 quake in chile on night between 23/24th (UTC) .note accuracy of date and magnitude both
6.6 at Chile  ,22.32UTC
Are these hits flukes? 
Also note my cycle quake theory
wake up USGS
Amit

Monday, August 18, 2014

6.2 earthquake on 18th at Iran Iraq Border and My " cycle quake theory"

hi
 Time and again I have mentioned about " Cycle Quake " Theory. The term devised by me is about the major quakes (6+) occurring in a cyclic way.Which is explained as mentioned below
   Whenever a major quake occurs on a potential date (as per my theory) , the subsequent major quakes also occur on dates 7th/8th,and /or 14th/15th and /or 21st /22nd days after the first quake. These quakes can not be termed as after shocks because they may occur on any where. Nevertheless,chances of yet another major quake on the same location are high.
  Thus ,it is advisable for people in general and authorities in particular, to alert the people on such days (where major quake has already struck
  Let us check for AUGUST
 I have mentioned 10th,17th and 24th (though 3rd August was strong , as could not post on my blog before that, I have not mentioned it). for the major quakes ( watch they are in cyclic order)
 Now actual quakes in August are
1)3rd August-  6.8 and 6.1 at Micronesia
2)3rd ----------6.1 CHINA where hundred of people died
3)10th-----------6.0 Japan
4)18th-----------6.2 and 5.8 at Iran Iraq boarder
 
watch the clear cyclic pattern
 The beauty of this prediction is, there was no major quake (6+) on any date other than this cyclic nature
 The reason for such pattern is Clearly Moon .
 After every 7th /8th day Moon travel  90 degrees and occupies another potent position 90 degrees apart,hence cyclic quakes. After 15 days it will be at 180 degree apart.

If anybody would like to check ,they can try with USGS records
 I do not know why are we ignoring such striking rule.
Amit

Sunday, August 17, 2014

Earthquake at Iran Iraq boarder on 18th August ,as predicted

hi
 pl see my prediction for 17th August of 6.7 quake and actual quake of 6.2 at Iran Iraq Boarder on 18th
August at 2.32 UTC
Watch the accuracy of prediction (+ or - one day window period)

 Also pl note at the time of quake Moon was at 56 degrees East and the quake occurred at 47 degrees east,showing Moon has profound effects on major quakes

also pl see my web page
http://earthquakeprediction.webs.com/   and see news and calender
Amit

Sunday, August 03, 2014

Earthquake prediction for August 2014

hi
 Here are the probable dates for major quakes in August 2014

1)10th August 2014.........................7.0 (most potent date in August)

2)17th August ...............................6.7

3)24th August.............................6.5

places/location of quakes are not predicted

window period is + or - one day

magnitude window is + or - 0.3

please note as we have already crossed 3rd August ,the date is excluded (though it is my personal diary.

The proof of cycle quakes (which term I often use 0 can be clearly seen from other dates.

You can notice that,the dates are seven/seven and half days apart ( by which time Moon occupy another

potent position 90 degree apart. The chances of major aftershocks (where major quakes have been

witnessed on 3ed August  ,are high

 These are my personal predictions and observations and can not be treated as warnings

Amit

Saturday, July 12, 2014

Earthquake prediction for (rest of the ) July 2014

hi
 First of all sorry, I could not find time to cacluate and post for the first half of the July 2014.
Nevertheless, here are some of the probable dates for rest of the July 2014

1)13th /14th July 2014..............6.5

2)23/24th July ........................6.3

3)27th...................................6.4

23th/24th means ,12 noon UTC from 23rd to 12 noon UTC on 24th
time window + or - one day
magnitude window + or - 0.3

Amit

Thursday, June 05, 2014

Earthquake Prediction for the month June 2014

hi
 Here are the probable dates and magnitude of major quakes in June 2014

1)7th June 2014-------------6.4

2)14th June----------------6.9

3) 21st June---------------6.3

4)27th June--------------6.8

Time window is + or - one day

magnitude window is + or -0.3

locations not predicted
Amit

Saturday, May 03, 2014

Earthquake Prediction for May 2014

hi
 Following dates are prone to the earthquake /volcanic eruption

1)10th May 2014...................6.4

2)15th ..................................6.8

3)19th...................................6.3

4) 24th................................6.5

5)29th...................................6.6

window period + or - one day

magnitude window + or -0.3

Amit

Monday, April 21, 2014

WAKE UP USGS- Seies of major quakes in April 2014

hi
 Watch ,what science and seismology now says,
"a major quake can trigger quakes far away all over the globe,which is termed as -dynamic triggering*
 I have been telling this from last 15 years or so.

http://www.nbcnews.com/science/environment/spike-earthquakes-illusion-raises-new-questions-n85826

 I would like to correct the notion of dynamic triggering by
" potential week or fortnight" which causes such spat of quakes.
 when the potent position slowly fades away in a week or fortnight ,the trend disappear
Long ago , I have predicted that April second and third week will witness major quakes

WAKE UP USGS
AMIT

Sunday, April 20, 2014

Two Earthquakes as predicted on 19th April at Solomon Island ,PNG

Hi
First of all let me make it clear that, I am not explaining these quakes after they occurred. In fact ,these are my date hit major quakes..
 Here, I am going to explain ,the time and place of occurrence, In fact these details are already  mentioned in my personal diary

Two quakes on 19th April
1)6.6  at 1.04 UTC at 7 degree south and 156 degree East

2)7.5 at 13.28 UTC  at the same location  (almost)

Now  note
1) the time of Moon at Maximum declination (and closer)  at 12.55 UTC
Watch the time (13.28 UTC) and close relation to quake
Another quake (6.6 preshock ) was almost 12 hrs ahead of major quake.

THUS WHEN THE EARTH MOVED 180 DEGREES ,THESE SPOT AGAIN CAME UNDER TIDAL PULL

2) As far as location is concerned ,my theory states that quake will occur ,generally at locations where Moon  or Sun reaches at that time. (in rare cases Jupiter can also cause location to shift)

Now in both cases SUN and Moon are as follows
1) Quake  6.6......SUN at 160 east (and opposing side 20 degree west)
                      and Moon....37 degree East ( and 143 degree west --opposing side)
2)Quake 7.5.....SUN 25 degree west (155 degree east)
                   ......Moon 143 degree West (38 degree East)

 Thus quake could occur at 140 to 160 degree East
    or
    20 to 40 degree West

 WATCH 12 HRS APART QUAKES ,WHICH SHOWS CLEAR TIDAL EFFECT ON BOTH SIDE OF GLOBE 180 DEGREES APART

AMIT

Monday, March 31, 2014

Earthquake prediction for April 2014

HI
 Here are the probable dates for 6+ earthquakes on April 2014.

1) 6th April.......................6.4

2)14th April....................6.8

3)20th April...................6.5

4) 23rd  April...............6.4

time window......+ or - one day

magnitude window.....+ or - 0.3

Locations  not predicted

Amit

Sunday, March 30, 2014

so many aftershocks at LA and to days(30th March 2014) earthquake prediction

DISCLAIMER- THESE ARE MY VIEWS AND MAY NOT BE CORRECT. PLACES OF EARTHQUAKE CAN NOT BE PREDICTED AS OF NOW.



 we have seen so many aftershocks at Los Angeles area after 5.2 earthquake. iIt is my personal openion that,we should remain watchful to day at following time and places
 again please note these are my personal views and need not be be treated as final true predictions

Date--30th March 2014( to day)

1)20.15 UTC...................115 degree west to 130 degree west ( LA  IS AT 118 degree west ,so betteer careful for a day)
                                        50 degree East  to  60 degree East

2) 22.15 UTC..................65 degree west  &115 degree East

Amit

Monday, March 17, 2014

Earthquakes at Japan ,Peru and Chile in March 2014, as predicted

hi
 please see my earthquake prediction for the month of March 2014 on this web page (news) and calender as well as on my blog
  http://earthquake-prediction.blogspot.com/
 watch three major quakes recently as against my prediction
1)13th March..6.3at Japan
2)15th March...6.3 at Northen Peru
3)16t March ...6.7 at chile
4)17th March 6.2 at Chile
 so many 6+ quakes in couple of days.
watch accuracy of prediction .date and magnitude
It was also mentioned  in my blog that ,this month will witnes major quakes atating the reasons
 wake up USGS
Amit

Saturday, February 22, 2014

Earthquake prediction for March 2014

hi
 sorry for not posting the probable dates for February.
Now, I could find some time here are the dates for March 2014
There are several planets changing the direction in March 2014 eg Mars, Mercury,Jupiter and Saturn. Besides Jupiter is at Maximum Declination in March 7th ,hence I expect more major quakes and /or Volcanic eruptions in March 2014

1)28th Feb/1st March 2014......6.7

2)6/7th March .........................6.4

3)12th March ........................6.4

4)16th March ........................6.5

5)24th March.......................6.5

6)28th March......................6.3

places not predicted

Magnitude window + or -0.3

Date window + or - one day

Amit

Sunday, January 05, 2014

Earthquake Prediction for January 2014

hi
Here are probable dates for earthquakes in January 2014

1) 7/8 th  January..........6.4

2) 14/15th January........6.6

3) 29th January.........  .6.7

Time window  + or - one day (UTC)

magnitude window....+ or - 0.3
Place not predicted

Amit