Problem with getting statestical odds of having 6+ quakes

Roger
As you have stated that odds of having 6+ quakes is 0.6 ,in window period of + or - one day.
 Now here are some facts
If I take period from 1-1- 2000 to 31-12 2015 ie 16 years ie 1946 windows of 3 days
Now as per USGS
1) 6 and 6+ quakes in 16 years are 2544
2)6.1+....  Quakes are 1975
3)6.2+..............1537
4)6.3+.........  1230
5)6.4+.......966
6)6.5+..........779

Thus odds are quakes/windows are
1.3, 1.01, 0.789 ,0.632, 0.496 , 0.410

Now , as per this ,there will alwaysbe a 6 or 6 .1+ quake in 3 day window . Which never happens

The problem with this stats is it does not take in to account clusters of quakes.
On a prone date there will be several 6+ quakes in one window ,
  I think ,correct picture will be arrived if we take one quake in window ,even though there are several.
Amit

Earthquake Prediction for December 2018

Hi
In December 2018 ,the quakes could be more powerful ,for the following reasons
1) Sun is closest to Earth on 23/24 the December
2) Sun is at Max Declinations south ,on22nd
and will move towards north after that
3)Moon is at closest distance on 24th
4) Mercury is closer and changing direction 7th
Probable dates for 6+ quakes with window period of +or - one day are

a)6th.......6.5
b)9th.......6.6
c)21st......6.8
d)24th....7.2

Infact ,there will be serise of major quakes between 21st to 24th.December

However ,any volcanic eruption between 21 to 24 may reduce the magnitude of quakes
Amit

Results of Earthquake Prediction for year 2018, 2017,2016, 2015

Hi
 Each day , I will try to compile my predictions for  one year
odds of getting a hit date in window period of + or - one day is one in four ie 25% approx
Results shows that my predictions are far better than odds


YEAR 2018

For current year ,till 25th Nov , following are results

6+ quakes predicted ...---41 dates

Hit dates......------------26   ( 63.41%)

--------------------------------------------

YEAR 2017

Total dates predicted .........40
total hit dates.....................21
                                                (52.5%)

----------------------------------------------

YEAR 2016

Total dates predicted....43
Total hit dates..................30
                                  (69.76%)

______________________________________

YEAR 2015

Total dates predicted...........39

Total hit dates........................29

                                 (74.36%)
______________________________________

Earthquake Prediction for November 2018

Hi
 Sorry for posting this post so late.
I was pre occupied with office work and Dipawali
 Dipawali is Hindu new year ,which will start from 8th November
Probable dates for major quakes ae
1) 7th......6.4
2)15th......6.6
3)22nd.....6.5
4) 26th......6.9

Window period is +or - one day

Amit