Explanation of deeper quakes

 The Deep quakes and plate tectonics

The plate tectonics fails to explain the deep quakes at 600 to 700 kms below Earthcrust.This is because the plate thickness are up to 100 kms .How come a rupture or relative motion at this much depth.
The answer given by plate tectonics is like this...
At subduction zone the plate  going below another plate, reaches the depth of 700 kms and then due to heat ,it dismantle from subducting plate,giving a jerk and hence a quake.
Now the question is...
1) The temp at 700 km depth is about 1000 degrees Celsius
2) The Earth crust melt at temp from 600 to 900 degree Celsius 1300 Celsius max.
Now the question is whether the defending plate can bear the temp of 1000 degrees ,without melting or atleast becoming fluid?
How come a fluid plate material can produce a jerk on mother plate,which is already melted or about to melt?
The explanation given is just an eyewash.
Now my explanation is...
There is water (in whichever form ,sponge or otherwise),below Earthcrust at a depth of 700 kms.The beauty of recent reserch says ,the water quantity is three times that of waters in all oceans.
Now when tidal pull exceed the limit ,on given date ,it breaks the surrounding mentle (material) and a deep quake occurs.
So ,tidal pull on water below 700 kms is the main reason of deep quakes.

Some opinion -way back in 2008

 http://suvratk.blogspot.com/2008/06/mumbai-engineer-claims-new-earthquake.html?m=1

One more question to plate tectonics

 

One more question for plate tectonics

It is beltway, it takes years to built up stresses at plate boundaries, inside the crust.When these stresses are released by way of movement and Earthquake, it takes several years to built up stresses again
Now question is...
Why there are frequent 6+ quakes at locations like PNG ,Tonga etc.?
Why and how the stresses are built-up so fast.
If you have doubt ,take out records for both places and check.

Now here is my explanation
At such locations ,like Japan ,where more plate boundaries meet ,the structure is very week.So ,whenever there is little more tidal pull nearby ,it gives a way first ( being weakest)
Hence more major quakes at these locations
for more
https://Earthquake-prediction.blogspot.com

Can we measure built up stresses on the plate boundaries?

 Plate tectonics and internal built up stress

As it is believed that ,the Earthquakes occur due to built up stress on the plate boundaries.  As the moving plates  creates and built up stresses over plate boundaries.
When these built up stresses exceed the threshold limit ,the plates move one over other or side by side and hence a quake
Now being an engineer, I have some questions about these stresses.
Most of the major and devastating quakes occurs at shallow depth of 10 to 15 km.
Look at here ,what all data we have
1) plate area in sq kms
2) Depth of plates
3) Average density of plate
4) Hence mass of plates
5) speed of plates in cms per year etc
6) Hence kinetic energy a plate carry while moving say 1/2 mv2
7) we can drill up to 12 kms inside the Earth and can collect samples from depth.
8) We can test these samples taken from along plate boundaries and test them in Laboratory for compression, tensile and shear strength.
Now with all these data can seismologist find out the built up stress at 12 km depth?
Also can seismologist compare these built up stress with laboratory results
Keeping some factor of safety can seismologist predict when the built up stress will exceed laboratory results?
SO CAN WE PREDICT MAJOR EARTHQUAKES?

A hypothesis on plate boundaries and Earthquakes

 A hypothesis on plate tectonics

Look at my this statement...

Yes,there are plates on Earth and they are moving. However, the fact of the matter is
the Earthquakes are not due to these plates ,but the plates and plate boundaries are due to Earthquakes..

Look at my above, may be stupid ,may be bold statement.,you decide.
  However before deciding answer few of the following questions
1) As the Earthcrust started to solidify, how the first plate broke and plate boundry developed?
Wait ,I will give your answer..The heat currents of magma from below comming up broke it.correct?
Now answer this question..
If there were heat currents /convection currents, (like boiling water comming up),at that location ,it would not allow the plate to solidify over it,in first place.

Now look at this explanation..
As the Earth cooled plates started to solidify over it.The tidal pull broke the thin crusts,as major Earthquakes, at several locations.Hence plates and plate boundaries are formed.
2) Why there are quakes at locations other than plate boundaries?
Wait ,I will answer it for you.
Those are due to intra plate fault lines.
Now another question..
If there is a small faultline inside a big plate,how come there are relative motion on fault line? Because there can not be a relative motion ,inside a big plate,which is must for a quake to occur.

MOON QUAKES AND TIDAL PULL

 

Why Moonquakes follow tidal cycle .Why Moonquakes are very deep?
Why Moon have quakes without platetectonics.?

Surprisingly ,seismologist believe that ,Moonquakes are due to Earth's tidal pull.But not ready to believe that can happen to Earth also.

Now ,I will explain what actually happens when seismologist try to link full Moon and New Moon to Earthquakes.
Yes, all Full Moon and New Moon do not give quakes .If you try to link them statistically it may not give results.
What actually required is ,several factors like
1) Moon cycle
2) Moon proximity
3) Moon at Maximum Declinations North or South
4) Major planets closer to Earth mainly Jupiter,Venus ,Mars
5) Three or More planets in line with Earth
6) Major planets changing directions from Direct to retrogate or retrogate to direct
7)Sun at Maximum Declinations
These are in order of importance
Why Maximum Declinations ?
Because after Maximum Declinations the planets appears to move in opposite direction in sky.Thus the tidal pull direction reverses. It is like breaking a car and reversing direction. This gives jerks to internal magma .Hence a quake
So ,one need to combine all ,not only Moon phases.
Studying only Moon phases V/s quakes and rejecting the theory is not correct

https://seismo.berkeley.edu/blog/2009/07/20/quakes-on-the-moon.html

Hypothesis of volcanic eruptions and Earthquake link

 Watch my date of Earthquake prediction 

7th April 24.

Though there is only one 6 mag quake on 8th (actually two minutes past 8th ) here is a volcanic eruption on 7th 

As states earlier ,my probable dates are prone to volcanic eruption also.

 The new hypothesis is 

On the predicted date ,there are chances of volcanic eruption to occur also.

This is because ,the tidal pull on magma, if directly below volcanic mouth ,it may break open the mouth and an Eruption occurs.

 Further ,the extended version of hypothesis says,...

..if there is an eruption on the given date ,the magnitude of quake will be less ,This is because in eruption the internal built up pressure is partially released ,hence lesser magnitude quake.

Yet ,extended version of hypothesis says..

...few years from now ,it will be possible to manage the magnitude of quake in populated area  by inducing volcanic eruption at remote places and there by reducing the magnitude of quakes on given date

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ShtIihbXiJw

Aftershocks at New jersy.

 Yesterday there was considerably higher magnitude 5 (4.8 as per USGS) quake at New Jersy

The quake was on 5th April 24 at  14.23 UTC (40.7 N and 74.75 W)

First look at my epicenter hypothesis
At the time of quake the Moon was at
74.2 W,right over zenith)
Now one question for plate tectonics..
Is there any plate boundry or fault line at epicenter?
To the best of my knowledge...No..
How do you explain this quake with plate tectonics.?
And Yes...this is outside my window period by about 10 hrs . So ,I do not ask for credit ,neither it is 6+ quake.

However my date is 7th April 24 with + or - one day window period.


DISCLAIMER.. The quake ,date and time predicted here are not recognized by and organization and that these prediction may not come true. These are just for academic purposes

Now ,after this Disclaimer, which is mandatory,  I would like to give probable time ,for major aftershocks,at New Jersey ,if at all it comes ,as follows.

Date 6th April 24....15.00 UTC
Date 7th April 24....16.00 UTC
Date 8th April 24...17.30 UTC
Disclaimer Applies for above Date and time

Waters deep inside Earth and my theory of Earthquake prediction

 Waters Deep inside the Earth and Tidal pull theory for Earthquake Prediction

Recent research by  North Western University, Illinois  proved that,the water deep inside the Earth at a depth of 700 kms,in sponge form,ringwoodite rock, is three times more in volume than the waters in oceans combined.

This necessarily imply that

1) My theory of predicting major Earthquakes by tidal pull method ,hold solid ground, considering tidal pull on this much volume of water.
2) The existing theory ,explaining deep quakes 600 to 700 km deep ,is absolutely wrong.The explanation of deeper quakes ,by descending plates at subduction zone ,at this much depth is just an eye wash.
3) In fact tidal pull apply at all levels
a) On water at 700 km depth produce ,deeper quakes,by partially breaking the encircling magma
b) on magma just below Earth crust of 100 km thick, create upper and destructive quakes
c) When  magma is below the mouth of a volcano,  hightide forces may break open the mouth and an Eruption occurs
d) On Ocean water it creates hightides and low tides
e)On Earth crust ,it gives bulging ( 1 to 2 mtr) effect on upper crust
f) On monsoon clouds ,it drags the moist cloud at hightide zone ,and my induce cloud bursts
g)On Atmosphere it creates patial vacuum at low tide zone ,which forces air to fill up the vacuum. This air when pass over ocean water at 26 to 28 degrees Celsius,  gether latent heat from water and produce a tropical cyclones.
THUS THE POTENT DATES PREDICTED FOR MAJOR EARTHQUAKES BY ME ARE ALSO PRONE TO
VOLCANIC ERUPTIONS
DEEP QUAKES
CLOUD BRUST
TROPICAL CYCLONES


4) The concept of declaring plate tectonics as a sole reason for Earthquakes is not correct.
5) The tidal pull on this much volume of water ,in whichever form it is, can never be negligible ,considering hightide levels in oceans.

Reply for Roger

 One of my friend, a retired USGS seismologist, have opined that ,there is no sense in prediction of major Earthquake dates ,if  I can not predict with cent percent accuracy of date,time ,magnitude and location

Please have a look at following issues.Do we have 100%knowledge about the subject ? Why are we doing it all?

1)  How and why the big bang happened ?
Who has collected all those mass to explode?
Still we are working on the theory .
2) How human brain works ,how many neurons are there ,exact number ?
Even than we open the skull and do surgery.
3) Are seismologist and geophysist aware that ,there is three times more water deep inside the Earth ,than in oceans?
And still we boldly say Earthquake occurs soly due to plate tectonics?
By the way ,this is the base of my tidal pull theory.
Roger , what woukd have happened ,if we did not move ,if we do not know 100%
If I plan something for tomorrow, it is also wrong. God only know who all will survive and see tomorrow.
What would have happened, if right brothers had stopped the work ,looking at huge ,raw plane which can hardly fly few yards?
How the laptops, I phones ,I pads would have developed, if we have stopped looking as huge ,bulky ,very inefficient first computer ?
So ,start .
Only condition is going in right direction with right purpose.

Epicenter location hypothesis-answer

 

Roger Hunter

11As per your calculations, I am using 50%of time availablein a day, in my epicenter location hypothesis.So there are 50% chances of my hypothesis going right.

Here is the answer

 
1) Yes ,for Rising and setting 180 minutes is correct
2) For Zenith and Nadir of Sun and Moon..
Even if we count like this
Sun ...Zenith.....45+45=90
Sun ..Nadir.......45+45=90
Moon Zenith.....45+45=90
Moon Nadir......45+45=90
Total.....360
Grand Total 360+180=540
However, you say it is 720 minutes
3) 540/1440= 0.375 ie 37.5 %
4) if the results are above 40% ,it is well above odds
5) One thing you forgot is, most of the dates are either full Moon ,New Moon or 8th day of cycle when both are at square position. In such case the % become exactly half ,because the Rising, setting, Zenith and Nadir time coincides.

Amit Dave 

7.4 Taiwn quake,a date hit prediction

 Roger

Watch out.
A date hit 7+ earthquake prediction for 2nd April 24.
A strongest Earthquake, in 25 years at Taiwan.(7.4) at 23.57 hrs UTC on 2nd April.
Now ,no one should have doubts about my major earthquake prediction theory .
Lat Long at epicenter are 23.8 N and
12l.5 East
Now again  check my epicenter hypothesis.
Moon is at Zenith, (107East at the time of quake)with margin of 45 minutes (twilight zone margin)
My epicenter hypothesis says,in nutshell..
The epicenter of major Earthquake will be at a location where..
The Sun or Moon are at Zenith or Nadir ,with 45 minutes margin
Or
The Sun or Moon are rising or setting ,with twilight zone margin

Evaluation of my predicted dates over 6 -7 years

 

Roger
For last two nights, I have work up to 1 am in the morning for evaluation of my predicted posted on my blog .
Few days back I have posted the dates for seven years .
Aa I gont use any computer program, it took two days (actually nights)
Here are the results
1) Total month for which dates predicted...... 78
2) Total predicted dates.. 315
3) Total hits ......199
4) Total mis .....116
5) % Accuracy  199/315 =63.1%
So ,over a considerable long span of prediction accuracy is 63%
Even the results by evaluation showed it 63%

Evaluation of my Earthquake prediction dates by Roger Hunter

 have posted my major ( 6 and above) dates ,here and on my blog

https://lnkd.in/dzRtvB6w

One of my best friend Mr Roger Hunter,who is retired seismologist from USGS ,is kind enough to test the dates ( 2019 to 2024) against actual quakes.

Below is the evaluation results by Roger, word to word. Roger ,sorry for posting exact quotes. But I did not want to interpret and reproduce in my word

....     ......     .. . .       ..... ..     ..     

The results for the 2019 thru 2024 mag 6.0+ quakes show you made 163 correct predictions

and 93 wrong predictions for mag 6.0+ quakes.

Not too bad but not good enough for practical use. 100% is the goal; anything less risks lives

.....     ........   .......      ........    ...

Roger Hunter 

few things

1) Whether quakes of mag 6 considered?

2) Can we check these dates for 7 and above quakes?

It means ,how many of 7 and above quakes occured in these dates ( with window period) against total 7 and 7+ quakes between 2019 to 2024

Earthquake Prediction for April 24

Hi

Following are the probable dates for major quakes (6 and above) ,with window period of + or - one day. Date and time as per UTC
1)2nd April 24
2) 7th April
3) 11th April
4)20th April
5) 24th April.

Please note ,that the epicenter location will follow ,my epicenter hypothesis
For more pl see
https://earthquake-prediction.blogspot.com

Amit Dave

Earthquake prediction dates for year 2023-24

 Roger

Here are some more dates for the year 2023-24,for your scrutiny

https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/7ofzokj1blqw68rpb9n3f/EQ-dates-2023-24.pdf?rlkey=gadg11d58wq9poaic9vxvr5dg&dl=0

Amit

 Roger

Here are the predicted dates for 75 months .The predicted quakes are 6 or 6+. Time window margin is +or - one day.

https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/tyj8gk15educn9eb68lrg/Earthquake-prediction-dates-for-6-quakes.pdf?rlkey=3v63v6t0ra421lclo5lt3ioo2&dl=0

My book on Stress Management

 Hi

This is some diversion to topic .Nevertheless it is very important to manage our stress for maximum out put and bliss.

The book named -A GIFTED TOY II -is available on Amazon, flipkart and potho.com 

A GIFTED TOY-II: your depression is a blessing in disguise and a Gifted Toy https://amzn.eu/d/iQQMrIz

Manage you stress and remain blissful 

Amit

Earthquake prediction for March 24

 Hi

Here are the probable dates for major (6+) quakes For the month of March 24

1)9th March 

2)14th March

3)25th March

Window period is + or - one day.

Epicenter hypothesis should be observed for

Epicenter. 

In nutshell the hypothesis is like this

The major (6+) quakes occur at a location where, at the time of quake , 

A) Sun or Moon are at Zenith or Nadir ,with a margin of + or - 10 degrees

Or.

B) Sun or Moon are either rising or setting ,with twilight zone margin

Regards

.Amit Dave

Accuracy of February 24 prediction

 Watch the results for Februray 24 ,major earthquake prediction (6+)

Out of four dates predicted  three have major quakes ,in window period
Dates predicted
2,
7/8
15
23

Out of which. All have 6+ quakes ,except 2nd Feb 24..

So 75% Accuracy of prediction

For more visit

https://earthquake-prediction.blogspot.com

A date hit prediction for 23rd February 24

 Hi

please observe a date hit 6+quake prediction Today ue 23rd February 24.
A 6.3 quake occured at 1.51 UTC on 23rd Feb 24 at Southern East Pacific rise (25S ,110 W)

Two quakes ( 6) on 14th Feb 2024 ,a hit prediction

 Roger

Pl note two major ,both 6 ,quakes on 14th .

One at Chile and another at Micronesia.

The predicted date is 15th Feb 2024 ,with + or -

 one day window period.

 I expect one more 6+ in window period.

Amit

An Eroution and 6+ quake on predicted dates of February 24

 Watch the accuracy of major Earthquake prediction for the month of February 24

The date 7/8 February was prediction.
Actual quake on 9th at 10.58 UTC ,6.1 at Tonga Iceland
Moreover there is a volcanic eruption at Iceland on 8th and an emergency is declared
It was told ,time and again ,that my Earthquake prediction dates are also prone to volcanic eruptions
This is because both occurs due to built up tidal pull inside the Earth crust.
If the tidal pull breaks the plate boundry partially it give an Earthquake  and if it breaks open the mouth of a volcano it is an eruption
  Now few words on my date 7/8 th February
It means from 7th 12 noon UT C to 8th 12 Noon UTC (+ or - 1 day as window period)

Dates predicted for 2021 &2022

 2021

1) January..Dates...10,13,27,30
2) February...4,8,11,16,26
3) April...11,22,27
4) May....5,12,19,26,30
5) October...5,30
6)November...4,7,12,19,23,27
7)September..2,6,10,15,19,22


2022
1)January...Date  3,9,16,26,31
2) February....2,12,17,24,27
3) March..,4,13,18,24
4) April....13/14, 16,19,27,30
5) May .. 9,13,17,25,30
6) June...6,9,14,17,21,26
7)July............N.A
8) August....3,10,15,27,30
9) September...10,12 ,25
10) October ..3/4,25/16,25,29
11)November...2,5,8,11,16,19,23,25
12) December.....2,8,16,29

Earthquake prediction for February 2024

 Earthquake prediction dates for February 2024

Following are the dates for major (6+) earthquakes for the month of February 2024
1) 2nd
2)7/8th
3)15th
4)23rd

Window period is + or - one day ( As per UTC time)

The locations will be as per my -epicenter location hypothesis-

For more

https://www.linkedin.com/in/amit-dave-a3906933

Evaluation for the year 2022

 Evaluation of Earthquake prediction for the year 2022

Roger
Here are the results of one more year,2022,which you have recently evaluated
1) Out of 12 month ,prediction for 11 month were done (except July 2022)
2) Total dates predicted 55
3) Total hit prediction  31 ( with + or - 1 day)
4) Total quakes in 11 months  (6+)..119
5) Total quakes in window period..50

Roger ,now compare your 4 years evaluation with this one year 2022

My worst prediction year -2021-a report

 Roger

As suggested by you a physical study of my worst prediction year 2021 is done herewith

The Gist of study is

1) in 2021 ,only 7 months predictions were posted ,out of 12

2) Total number of  dates predicted are 32

3) Total hits (+ or -1 day) are 19 out of 32

4) Total quakes(6+) in these window 35

The date wise details can be posted later.

Now you can judge and compare your findings

Total number of predictions..........number

Total number of hits .............number

Do you find any problem ?

Regards

Amit

How badly ,I have performed-As per Mr Roger Hunter

 Roger /all esteemed viewers.

One of my friend ,who is retired USGS seismologist, have stated that,my performance of prediction accuracy is very poor.

He says, I have predicted 74 dates during 2020 to 24 and there are only 13 hits( 6+ quakes) in window period of + or - one day.

 I have requested him to post the results here for all to see and check.

There is nothing to hide.

By the way ,after January 18th hit prediction he has said ,there are two hits in current month

Here is few more on 20th ,including  6.4 Brazil quake

So 3 hits in current month ,and 13 in last 4 years?

So ,by this post ,I request Roger to post results he has found ( that I have failed- 13 hits out of 74 predictions in 4 years)

Regards

Amit Dave

 watch accuracy of yet another date hit prediction 

A 6.4 quake at Tonga on 18th January 24 at 22.12 hrs  at 19S ,175 W .

The predicted date is 19th January 24 with + or - 1 day margin

Any doubts?A 6.4 quake at Tonga is the proof of this theory 

6.4 Afghanistan quake on 11th January 24 ,a hit prediction

 watch a hit major quake prediction 

A  quake today ie 11th January 24 ,at 9.20 UTC ,at 36 N 70E

Prediction date 10th January 24 ,with + or - 1 day window period.

for more pl visit.

https://earthquake-prediction.blogspot.com

6.7 quake at Indonesia

 watch again accuracy of prediction 

predicted date 10th Jan 24 ,with + or - one day.

Actual quake of 6.7 on 8th  at Indonesia at 20.48 hrs.UTC

Location 5N 126E

Watch location epicenter hypothesis

watch accuracy ,Sun is Rising at epicenter at the time of quake 

7.5 quake at Japan ,a date hit prediction

 

Oh!
A massive 7.5 Earthquake at Japan on 1st January 24,at 7.10 am UTC ,at 37N ,137E.
A Tsunami warning is also issued.

watch accuracy of prediction date ,time and epicenter hypothesis

Predicted date 31st December 2023 at 17 hrs UTC ,+ OR- 12 hrs ie up to 5 am (UTC) on 1st January 24

TWO HRS AND TEN MINUTES LATE.
Watch epicenter location hypothesis.
The Sun is setting sharply at epicenter.

Not only this
watch the quake of 6.2 at Indonesia on 30th December at 17.16 UTC ,at 3S and 140E.The accuracy in 24 hrs with Moon at Zenith 146E