Can earthquakes be predicted?

Total Pageviews

Search This Blog

Wednesday, November 27, 2013

Major earthquakes predicted for December 2013


 The month of December 2013, as per my prediction will witness major quakes sometimes exceeding 7.5. It is also predicted that,these dates are prone for volcanic eruption also. Both natural disasters follow the same theory

1) 3rd/4th December 2013................7.4

2)12th December.............................6.6

3) 17th/18th December....................7.0

4)22nd December...........................6.7

5)31st December/1st January 2014.......7.5

3rd/4th means ......12 Noon from 3rd to 12 Noon 4th

Time window ...+ or - one day

Magnitude window....+ or - 0.3

 I also predict that on 3rd/4th and 31st/1st  window there will be more than one  quake

Places not predicted

Amit

49 comments:

Anonymous said...

This is an amazing site! Thank you for taking the time to share your information with us! You (Amit), Jazzman, Paul, and even Roger make this so very interesting!! Thank you again! I'm a believer!!

AMIT said...

hi
Three time slots are given here with,those are probable for the quake.

1) December 3rd....0022 UTC
150 degree east to 180 degree east and /or 0 degree to 30 degree west

2)December 3rd..1638 UTC..
50 degree west to 80 degree west and /or 100 degree east to 130 degree east

3) December 4th ..1015 UTC
50 TO 70 degree east and /or 110 to 130 degree west
These are my personal opinion and may not come true

Amit

Roger Hunter said...

Amit;

The odds on a hit are effectively zero for predicting a quake to the exact time.

Roger

AMIT said...

Roger
The basic idea is the time window should not cross that ,mentioned originally ie 3rd /4th December ( 12 Noon to 12 Noon and with + or - one day window)
However, to check,how much close it(prediction) can go, the time in UTC is given
It does not necessarily mean ,the quake will be on minutes accuracy
Amit

Anonymous said...

Ok, The moons position will shortly be Influenced by AR 11910/ 11907 then 11905/11906 ,all this before the 2nd.

AR11907 being Beta Gamma Class.

Anon, your welcome :)

Be safe

Jazzman :)

Anonymous said...

Ok, AR11909's leading edge will start its below center centralized position on the sun this evening,
Amit Covering 2nd-3rd Already .

AR11909 Is not a complex grouping.

Be safe

Jazzman :)

Roger Hunter said...

Dec 3/4 - MISS

Roger

Anonymous said...

Dont forget to cross refrance Earthquakes with position of sunrise/sunset on fourmilab, change time as needed.

http://www.fourmilab.ch/cgi-bin/Earth

Powerful energy is produced along the leading edge of sunrise and sunset.

Be safe

Jazzman :)

AMIT said...

hi
This may appear as face saving efforts,but I will put my view
As I have already stated earlier,the quakes and volcanic eruptions follow the same rules ie tidal pull and momentum change theory
Time and again I have noticed that, on the predicted dates ,if there are volcanic eruptions or sudden increase in eruptions ,the magnitude of the quake decreases.
This can be explained easily
IF the increase tidal pressure in side the crust have found some outlet,the force will decrease and hence the magnitude of the quake will also decrease
I have noticed it several times that,the date of quake may also cause major eruptions

pl see
http://volcano.si.edu/reports_weekly.cfm#vn_211060

for eruptionns on December 2/3rd 2013
Amit

Roger Hunter said...

Amit;

No good.

It might apply if the volcano was very close to the fault. Otherwise, no. The earth is not a ball full of liquid rock.

Roger

AMIT said...

roger
But the Wikipedia says something else
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Earth
Amit

Roger Hunter said...

Amit;

Not really.

The outer core is a liquid but not in the sense you're thinking. It's under immense pressure from the solid mantle and lithosphere above it

Magma forms near the surface when folding reduces the pressure enough for the mantle in that area to liquify. It's a local phenomena.

Roger

Anonymous said...

Dear Sir;

My name is Steve Mitton and I am the host of a radio talk show, RadioActive. The program covers parts of Idaho, Utah, and Nevada, and we stream live on the internet and feature podcasts, as well. I would love to have you as a guest on my program to discuss earthquake prediction and emergency preparedness. If you would like to join me, please respond to this email or feel free to call me at 208-312-5227.

My website: www.stevesradio.com
email: smitton@pmt.org

thank you in advance for your kind consideration.

Steve Mitton

p.s. I would like to talk with you ASAP , so please respond immediately if possible

Anonymous said...

For people interested/following the sun/moon/earth connectivity theory.

http://gong.nso.edu/data/magmap/mod4.html

As you can see, all though the stream is open, there are no earth sun connections at present.

Be safe

Jazzman :)

Anonymous said...

Well, besides the slight rise in power when a few strands of open (red) magnetics flick, all seems to be on par with the magnetic-earthquake theory.

Keep watching-

http://gong.nso.edu/data/magmap/mod4.html

should be interesting to see what happens when we have a heightened open magnetic connection along with the earths position at that time via Infolab .

Be safe

Jazzman :)

Anonymous said...

^^^^^

Not Infolab, Fourmilab...

http://www.fourmilab.ch/cgi-bin/Earth

Be safe

Jazzman :)

Roger Hunter said...

Amit;

2)12th December........6.6

MISS

Roger

Anonymous said...

Aha, open positive flux in green was free from its blue shield this morning up till just after mid day, (1st time since posting this Theory) a slight up take in quakes, a M5.6 New Zealand, M5.2 mid Atlantic drift etc...Interesting, shall see how things progress, Ie wwith new moon tomorrow etc.

Be safe
Jazzman :)

AMIT said...

hi
A 6.2 quake occurred at south land NZ on 17th Dec 2013

http://au.ibtimes.com/articles/530642/20131217/earthquake-southland-new-zealand.htm#.Uq_yPSeZgkg
pl see the date of prediction

I think one more quake is expected (place not known ) within 24 Hrs

Amit

Roger Hunter said...

Amit;

No such quake has been reported by NEIC.

There was a 5.7 some distance to the north but that's all.

Roger

Anonymous said...

New Zealand use the modified mercalli Intensity scale, USGS use the moment magnitude scale.

GNS did post the quake as M6.2, i quoted the USGS as M5.6.

NEIC also use the moment magnitude scale.

The moment magnitude scale is based on the original Richter scale, the modified Mercalli Intensity scale is built to help the scientists of New Zealand etc

Be safe

Jazzman :)

AMIT said...

hi
please note a quake of 6.3 at Mariana Island region on 17th DEc

http://www.emsc-csem.org/Earthquake/earthquake.php?id=348522

Amit

Anonymous said...

Not GNS, thats actually their science Board, Its geonot.org/nz that posted the M6.2.

There was a 3.9 15km north-east of Christchurch , 12.44am (local time)at a depth of 7km, cant see it on USGS , its moderate.

The closed blue field lines have been weakening on certain sections of the sun.

AR11928 is below centre on the sun, being Beta Gamma class.

This is an animation over 650 frames showing the magnetic s of the sun, it not 100% up to date though.

Let it load all 560 frames and then press stop, alter the values at the bottom to view certain frames.

http://gong.nso.edu/data/magmap/mod4_movie.html

Be safe

Jazzman :)

Roger Hunter said...

Amit;

All I see is the 6.2.

Note the Modified Mercalli scale estimates intensity from damage, not magnitude which is instrumentally determined.

HIT anyway.

1/3 so far fails the test.

Roger

Anonymous said...

Well, i think we can rule out the green open field lines, the blue closed field lines are covering most of the sun, the moons been shadowing AR11928 which is Beta Gamma class, but i think its these blue closed field lines holding the larger quakes back.

The Moon/sunspot position theory is the one i believe in personally and the new field line positions it a mater of trial and error, working out whats viable and whats not, that's how we progress...

If nothing comes of this, we then move on to the next.

Be safe

Jazzman :)

Anonymous said...

Wishing the world a very happy xmas and a happy new year :)...World peace and love everywhere !

Closed Magnetic fields still covering a majority of the sun, we had the small opening on the sun come earth centered and an uptake in earthquake strength, now heading towards the moons position which is on our right side of the sun.

Be safe

Jazzman :)

AMIT said...

hi
Happy Xmas to all my esteemed viewers and followers
Thanks for your support ,to keep going for 18 long years
Amit

Roger Hunter said...

Amit;

22 Dec 2013

MISS

1/4 getting worse.

Roger

Anonymous said...

Ok, the moons pulling back across from the right side of the sun (our right), AR11931 is the 1st encounter for the moon, its beta class at the moment, AR11934 follows, at present its Beta Gamma class.
At present, the blue closed fields are covering this area but will move .

Dates look like from the 28th 4am UTC roughly for 1st contact.

Ps check out solar cycle 24 and earth magnetic protection/ weakness of 15% over the last 100 years.

Be safe

Jazzman :)

Anonymous said...

Ok, so now the moons on its way to new moon, the earths now strait on to AR11936 which is Beta gamma, Blue shield down.

Tomorrow the moon will come across AR11936 with the earth directly facing this giant coronal hole .

Be aware, be safe

Jazzman :)

Anonymous said...

Moon Fazes for 2014 and possible Earthquakes-

New moon January 1, 2014 04:15:02 AM
First quarter January 7, 2014 08:40:20 PM
Full moon January 15, 2014 09:53:35 PM
Last quarter January 23, 2014 10:21:01 PM
New moon January 30, 2014 02:40:35 PM
First quarter February 6, 2014 12:22:33 PM
Full moon February 14, 2014 04:54:46 PM
Last quarter February 22, 2014 10:16:56 AM
New moon March 1, 2014 01:02:41 AM
First quarter March 8, 2014 06:27:08 AM
Full moon March 16, 2014 10:10:46 AM
Last quarter March 23, 2014 06:47:36 PM
New moon March 30, 2014 11:48:06 AM
First quarter April 7, 2014 01:31:44 AM
Full moon April 15, 2014 12:45:18 AM
Last quarter April 22, 2014 12:53:06 AM
New moon April 28, 2014 11:17:37 PM
First quarter May 6, 2014 08:16:49 PM
Full moon May 14, 2014 12:18:47 PM
Last quarter May 21, 2014 06:00:33 AM
New moon May 28, 2014 11:43:03 AM
First quarter June 5, 2014 01:40:58 PM
Full moon June 12, 2014 09:13:45 PM
Last quarter June 19, 2014 11:40:05 AM
New moon June 27, 2014 01:10:33 AM
First quarter July 5, 2014 05:00:41 AM
Full moon July 12, 2014 04:26:46 AM
Last quarter July 18, 2014 07:09:44 PM
New moon July 26, 2014 03:42:51 PM
First quarter August 3, 2014 05:50:56 PM
Full moon August 10, 2014 11:10:51 AM
Last quarter August 17, 2014 05:27:01 AM
New moon August 25, 2014 07:13:02 AM
First quarter September 2, 2014 04:11:53 AM
Full moon September 8, 2014 06:38:55 PM
Last quarter September 15, 2014 07:05:49 PM
New moon September 23, 2014 11:13:32 PM
First quarter October 1, 2014 12:33:02 PM
Full moon October 8, 2014 03:50:43 AM
Last quarter October 15, 2014 12:13:16 PM
New moon October 23, 2014 02:56:14 PM
First quarter October 30, 2014 07:48:56 PM
Full moon November 6, 2014 03:22:56 PM
Last quarter November 14, 2014 08:17:55 AM
New moon November 22, 2014 05:32:04 AM
First quarter November 29, 2014 03:07:23 AM
Full moon December 6, 2014 05:27:13 AM
Last quarter December 14, 2014 05:53:53 AM
New moon December 21, 2014 06:36:15 PM
First quarter December 28, 2014 11:32:50 AM

Pual

AMIT said...

Pual
As you have made good efforts , I have published your post. However, it is seen that,all Mon phases are not prone for major quakes. Yes ,It is one of the trigger,but several other
factors should co inside to operate the triggers. There are other triggers also. That is why , we do not observe major quakes on all Moon Phases
Amit

AMIT said...

hi
We have seen some volcanic eruptions during Dec 29th and 30th 2013

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/10541931/El-Salvador-begins-evacuations-due-to-volcano-eruption.html

also see volcano erupted during last two days

http://earthquakes.volcanodiscovery.com/

More the volcano eruptions lesser the magnitude of the quakes predicted ( this is because the built up tidal pressure releases during eruptions
Amit

Anonymous said...

Well, looks like i was to quick of the mark, AR11936 is now covered by blue closed field lines, as is over half of the sun again.

Should be interesting to see what the next few days holds.

Be safe

Jazzman :)

AMIT said...

hi
mount Etna ALSO ERUPTED TO DAY
(30th DEc 2013)

http://www.indianexpress.com/picture-gallery/mt.-etna-volcano-erupts-again/4214-1.html

Amit

AMIT said...

hi
An interesting interpretation of the fact ,that volcanic eruptions may and can reduce the magnitude of the impending big quake any where on the globe, can be used (one day) to avoid big quakes in populated city area
In ,high probable dates, the active volcanoes can be triggered to erupt (after calculating exact time of tidal pressure beneath the volcano
This may sound absurd ,today, but it is possible in principle
AMIT

Anonymous said...

As i mentioned before, the 1st/last quarter Fazes of the moon are less likely to produce quakes because the moon and sun are fighting against one another.

I would look a day or so either side of these.

Paul.

Roger Hunter said...

Amit;

I keep telling you, the earth is not a ball full of liquid rock. An eruption in one place has no effect elsewhere.

What you're doing is multiplying the indicators so you'll have something to blame no matter when a quake happens.

Roger

AMIT said...

Roger
I have never ,ever tried to multiply my chance. From the day one , I have been telling that,there is close relation between major quakes and major volcanic eruptions
For inner structure of the Earth pl see

http://www.bbc.co.uk/schools/gcsebitesize/geography/natural_hazards/tectonic_plates_rev1.shtml
Amit

Anonymous said...

Just as thunder precedes lightning, earthquakes often foretell volcanic activity.

Before Iceland’s Eyjafjallajökull volcano blew its top in April, spewing thick clouds of ash, the earth around it had already started rumbling, and geologists began warning about an impending eruption.

“It’s very common for the two to be linked,” said Jonathan Snow, a vulcanologist at the University of Houston. “Volcanic eruptions are usually preceded by earthquakes large and small.”

In fact, Snow describes it as a "symbiotic" relationship....

http://news.discovery.com/earth/are-volcanoes-and-earthquakes.htm

Paul

Roger Hunter said...

Amit;

I'm well familiar with the structure of the earth having spent my working career in geophysics and seismology.

Roger

AMIT said...

Roger
Unfortunately I am not that conversant with geophysics. Could please give a link ,so that I can know more accurately,,as to what internal structure of Earth Looks like
Amit

Roger Hunter said...

Amit;

The link you gave above is correct. It's your understanding of it that's wrong.

You seem to think that an earthquake in Sumatra would cause a volcano in Greece to erupt or possibly the reverse.

No. The forces involved do not shift quickly. Magma that erupts from a volcano is a local phenomena..

Roger

AMIT said...

hi
A 6.6 quake just now. (16.03 UTC ) at Vanuattu. Though the magnitude is less it is spot on date
Amit

Roger Hunter said...

Amit;

Very good, that's a hit if the mag stays up.

2/5 for the month.

Roger

Anonymous said...

Hey Jazzman, watched the Blue closed lines open up, Bang,AR11938 central, a 6.6 then close again, watching the moons position like you said and again its now reaching AR1945, blue lines clear of this at the moment.

Thank you all for your insight

Tim

Anonymous said...

Ok, For people following Sunspot/earth, moon theory

Last night the moon was over AR11942, Blue field lines were partially closed, a M5.9.

Today 4/1/2014 12:20UTC, the moons position is just passing AR11942 roughly with AR11943 (Beta class) below left of it.

AR11945 is now earth facing, its beta class, Blue field lines partially blocking this spot.

After AR119443, we have AR11944, its a big grouping, roughly a day away from the moons position, definitely one to watch along with the blue field line

The M6.6 on the 1st, came with the field lines dropping and sunspot AR11938 being sun centered,

Be safe

Jazzman :)

Anonymous said...

Have given this web site before, its time dat, shows the day/night side but also shows the moon position :)

Be safe

Jazzman :)

http://www.timeanddate.com/worldclock/sunearth.html

Anonymous said...

The moons pulling clear of the Blue closed field lines now on the left, there is a unclassified sunspot forming so be aware.

AR11943 is Beta class, centered but blue field lines closed.

AR11944 is roughly a day away from being centered, its Beta gamma delta class.

19:45 6/01/2014

Be safe

Jazzman :)