have posted my major ( 6 and above) dates ,here and on my blog
https://lnkd.in/dzRtvB6w
One of my best friend Mr Roger Hunter,who is retired seismologist from USGS ,is kind enough to test the dates ( 2019 to 2024) against actual quakes.
Below is the evaluation results by Roger, word to word. Roger ,sorry for posting exact quotes. But I did not want to interpret and reproduce in my word
.... ...... .. . . ..... .. ..
The results for the 2019 thru 2024 mag 6.0+ quakes show you made 163 correct predictions
and 93 wrong predictions for mag 6.0+ quakes.
Not too bad but not good enough for practical use. 100% is the goal; anything less risks lives
..... ........ ....... ........ ...
Roger Hunter
few things
1) Whether quakes of mag 6 considered?
2) Can we check these dates for 7 and above quakes?
It means ,how many of 7 and above quakes occured in these dates ( with window period) against total 7 and 7+ quakes between 2019 to 2024
13 comments:
Amit;
Yes, 6.0+ includes everything equal to and larger than 6.0
Roger
amit;
Yes I will 7+ as soon as I can find the #@$!! file!
Roger
Amit;
There were 46 mag 7+ quakes in the list.
Roger
Roger.
As you have mentioned
1) There were 62 quakes which were 7 and above ,in all ( for the period under evaluation)
2) There were 46 quakes ,7 snd above in the window period of my predicted dates
So ,it is 74% of the total quakes.
Thus, in fact ,evaluation of 7+ quakes is far more than average/odds
Regards
Amit
amit;
still not 100%
Roger
Amit;
The criteria for quake prediction is as follows;
You must predict correctly
You must predict completely
Both are important; the quake you did not predict will be deadly because people were not prepared for it and the quake you predicted which does not happen will hurt your credibility.
Roger
Roger
Even with precise weather Forecasting system, Satellite imagery and Dopplar radar, scientists are not able to pin point exact landfall of a tropical strom ,two three days in advance
Amit
Amit;
Excuses, excuses.
100% is required.
Roger
Amit;
If this is the best you can do I advise you to stop.
Someone will be killed or injured as a result of following your prediction
and you will be in BIG trouble.
Roger
Roger
Let us take word by word
1)Following my prediction.. I do not advise any thing to anyone and not giving exact time and location. So even if someone wants to follow he can not
2)killed or injured..
How? Due to quake or accident?
If it is quake ,it is hit prediction
If accident, he may not have valid license
One of my friend, a retired USGS seismologist, have opined that ,there is no sense in prediction of major Earthquake dates ,if I can not predict with cent percent accuracy of date,time ,magnitude and location
Please have a look at following issues.Do we have 100%knowledge about the subject ? Why are we doing it all?
1) How and why the big bang happened ?
Who has collected all those mass to explode?
Still we are working on the theory .
2) How human brain works ,how many neurons are there ,exact number ?
Even than we open the skull and do surgery.
3) Are seismologist and geophysist aware that ,there is three times more water deep inside the Earth ,than in oceans?
And still we boldly say Earthquake occurs soly due to plate tectonics?
By the way ,this is the base of my tidal pull theory.
Roger , what woukd have happened ,if we did not move ,if we do not know 100%
If I plan something for tomorrow, it is also wrong. God only know who all will survive and see tomorrow.
What would have happened, if right brothers had stopped the work ,looking at huge ,raw plane which can hardly fly few yards?
How the laptops, I phones ,I pads would have developed, if we have stopped looking as huge ,bulky ,very inefficient first computer ?
So ,start .
Only condition is going in right direction with right purpose.
amit;
update on your predictions;
167 predictions correct (66%)
94 predictions wrong (36.7%)
Roger
Amit;
So you got 66% and I got 66%.
But we need 100%. Lives are at stake.
Roger
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