Can earthquakes be predicted?

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Saturday, December 24, 2011

Earthquake prediction for January 2012

hi
 This year ,it may be difficult for me to post very often ,due to my official duty.It is quite likely that,my official responsibilities will increase due to promotion.very soon.
Nevertheless,my monthly prediction posts and replies to readers views will continue
The probable dates for quakes for the next month will be like this

1)2 nd January 2012-----------------6.2

2)9th January 2012------------------6.5

3)18th/19th January 2012-----------6.6

4)23rd January 2012----------------6.3

window period is + or - one day

Amit

32 comments:

AMIT said...

hi
The first hit prediction for the year 2012
7.0quake at IZU island at Japan on 1st January 2012
Predicted date is 2nd January 2012
wacth the accuracy
Amit

Jeevan Patil said...

Sir, Firstly wishing you happy new year and your prediction was very accurate. Congrats, keep up the good work.
Jeevan Patil

AMIT said...

hi Jivan
Thank you very much and Happy New year to you and your family
The work of earthquake prediction may ne hampered , as it is very difficult to find time in working day.
The post of W O /Assistance commissioner demands lots of work, from 8 am to 8 pm
Nevertheless I shall try to take out time on week end days
Unfortunately full time work may not be possible till I retire after 3 years
Thanks

Jeevan Patil said...

Sir, I know you must be very busy with Assistant Municipal Commissioner's new assignment, but still you remove time for this prediction work, which is greatly appreciated.
We miss you lot.
Thanks. Good night. Best wishes for your new assignment.
Jeevan

Anonymous said...

hello sir
have been seeing ur blogs for some time... May be u r right! but what use it is if place is not predicted? How can u save life of people? Yeah everyone knows earthquake is going to happen some where... may be we don know the strength in terms of richter scale.... Why cant u predict the place? And so u beleive world will end in 2012... as u believe many quakes are going to happen in april, may this year! Pl reply

Abhinav said...

Happy New year to you :)

AMIT said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
AMIT said...

Hi
1) In principle, places can also be predicted,if enough time and resources are allocated to the cause of Earthquake prediction
2) Predictig location is difficult because,
If the time is not accurate(+ or -5 minutes), position of resultant pull will change , as earth moves in orbit and along axis during that time

Happy new year to all estimmed readers
Amit

AMIT said...

Hi
Due to extreme work load of office and coming Municipal elections in Mumbai, regular posting may be hampered.Taking out time for further research is little difficult now a days
Amit

AMIT said...

hi
6.6 quake at Santacruz island to day ,ie 9th January 2012 as predicted.
Watch the accuracy of date and magnitude
Do yu think it is a fluke or just by chance?
Amit

AMIT said...

Hi
7.3 quake at sumatrs on 10 th January as predicted.note the accuracy of + ,_ one day
Amit

Roger Hunter said...

Amit;

Pretty good, 2 for 2 so far

Roger

sujatha71 said...

Sir, Happy New year and congratulations for your promotion

sujatha71 said...

Hi Amitji, Happy New year, and happy for your promotions

AMIT said...

Sujatha
Thank you very much.
The problem now is ,lack of time for my honby.
8 am to 9 pm is normal duty.
This.posting I am doinb from my mobile phone,
While going home.
Any way,it is part of game.
Thanks again
Amit

AMIT said...

hi
As predicted 6.1 quake strikes NZ coast to day ie 19th January 2012
Amit

Anonymous said...

I am compleatly agree with you.but apart from planets there must be some ground forces beacause earthquake frequency is much higher at mountains and trenches.i think for predicting places we have to find mechanism of these ground forces.

AMIT said...

Hi
The plate boundries are weak,compared to solid crust.Hence ,when the tidal pull is maximum,it breaks from plate boudries.It is like a weak link in a chain,which breaks first,when applied pull
Amit

Anonymous said...

I don't believe in plate tectonic.you can't expect you throw some balls in a close room and expect sometime balls will move and sometime they will stop or they will move forever.earthquake energy releasing countniosly from creation.there must be some source of this energy by which earthquake energy is creating.i don't think it will be core because if energy release from core whole earth will vibrate.for predicting places we have to find source of earthquake energy which has some releation with mountains, trenches and strange clouds.

AMIT said...

Hi
1)I believe ,plates are due to quakes and quakes are not due to plates.
2) The force,I believe,behind quakes are
Tidal pull due to sun,moon and planets
and
Jerks in the moletn magma due to momentum change l(due to planets changing direction)
Amit

Anonymous said...

I think around 23 jan gravitional pull is maximum at papua new ireland region because moon just passes through it and sun is also heading toward it.i think enough energy is stored in this area.

AMIT said...

Hi
6.2 quake at,of shore mexico,as predicted
Amit

AMIT said...

Hi
Pl.watch the accuracy of prediction.
6.3 quake at Bio Bio chile on predicted date and
Magnitude
Amit

AMIT said...

Hii
yet another quake of 6.3 ,at south of fiji islamd
Watch6+ quake on redicted date
Can we say all these are just by chance
Amit

Roger Hunter said...

Amit;

If I flip coins and get 10 heads in a row is that chance?

Yes, if it's a fair coin.

Rare but it CAN happen.

Roger

AMIT said...

Roger
If surface to suface misle hit the target 10 times ia a raw,it can also be by chance
Amit

Anonymous said...

What do you think about an earthquake process.earthquake come suddenly or energy stored in cycles of sun and moon at any place.wh
at do you think about earth clouds.Do you think astrology can predict weather, stock market,matches result and current events accurately.I think astrology can.my calculation say temprature of earth will increase continuosly till 28 jan after that it will fall.stock market will fall for at least two weeks.

Roger Hunter said...

Amit;

The difference is that the missile is propelled and guided by forces sufficient to the task whereas your proposed mechanisms are far too small to accomplish the task.

Roger

AMIT said...

Roger
My question was regarding stastical difference and not technical.
Amit

Anonymous said...

Earthquake prediction for western turkey 32°E 40°S M 6.0 within 48 hours.people must get panic.

AMIT said...

hi
1) Earthquakes occurs due to sudden pull and jerks due to tidal pull
2)Clouds could be due to opening of fissures and re;ease of ions in the atmosphere
3) This is Astrophysics and not pure Astrology
4) Astrophysics can predict natural disasters,weathers but not stocks and markets nor even human mundane creiteria
Amit

stinky steve said...

I will fart on April 30th 2012 and cause the biggest earthquake of man-kind. A magnitude 13.5 in western Kentucky at exactly 7:31am. Brace yourself for a real rumbler. This fart will be great.