Can earthquakes be predicted?

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Friday, July 02, 2010

Jupiter changinging the direction and comming closer will give major earthquakes -10Th July to 15 th August 2010

hi
On 23rd July 2010 Jupiter is changing the direction .Moreover,Jupiter is comming closer and closer day by day( less than 4.5 AU) during July as well as August 2010.Also Venus and Mercury are closer. Thus ,there are fair chnces of major quakes (7+) occuring during July later half and August first half.
Probable dates for July are mentioned here first
1. 4th July----6.8
2. 11th ,26th nad 31 st July -----all 7+
It would be interesting to note the actual quakes (6+) occuring 15 days before and 15 days after Jupiter changing the direction vis a vis standred averages
regards
Amit

31 comments:

Roger Hunter said...

Amit;

No problem.

Post a list of those times for the last 30 years and I'll compare it to the quakes.

Roger

Roger Hunter said...

Amit;

For a test case I computed the dates of Jupiter changing direction for 2000 to 2010 and compared them with the mag 6+ quakes for that period.

The odds on finding a 6+ quake in a 31 day window are about 90% and 16 of the 18 dates had a quake within it's window so that's about what would be expected - by chance.

Roger

Roger Hunter said...

Amit;

For a test case I computed the dates of Jupiter changing direction for 2000 to 2010 and compared them with the mag 6+ quakes for that period.

The odds on finding a 6+ quake in a 31 day window are about 90% and 16 of the 18 dates had a quake within it's window so that's about what would be expected - by chance.

Roger

AMIT said...

Hi
please note my prediction for 4th July (6.8) and actual quake of 6.4 at Japan on 4th July
Amit

AMIT said...

Roger
Here is the exact figure for last 5 years .
date-Jupt changing--6+quake for month
date--------------6+ quakes
03.01.2005---------33(15 days +or-)
6.06.2005-----------11
5.03.2006-----------13
6.07.2006-----------14
7.04.2007-----------33
7.08.2007-----------25
10.05.2008----------16
09.09.2008----------16
16.06.2009----------09
14.10.2009----------23
---------------------
total------------193 for 5 years
ie for 10 months ie 19.3 per month 6+ quakes
As per USGS average 150 quakes of 6+ occur per year .ie 12.5 per month
so 19.3 per month is far more than 12.5 per month average
Regards
Amit

Roger Hunter said...

Amit;

Here are the dates for the last 10 years:

2000/09/30 10
2001/01/26 11
2001/11/03 10
2002/03/02 9
2002/12/05 9
2003/04/04 8
2004/01/05 24
2004/05/06 11
2005/02/03 21
2005/06/06 10
2006/03/05 14
2006/07/07 13
2007/04/06 33
2007/08/07 23
2008/05/10 16
2008/09/08 15
2009/06/16 9
2009/10/13 33

Average quakes per change window: 15.5
Average hits per 31 days: 13.6

As you can see, the difference is small. You just picked a high period.

Roger

sdelapp said...

Congrats Amit on the 7/04 hit yesterday...... My model shows quiet this week and it has been except for yesterdays 6.4 . so what ever you saw for yesterday may be a valid indicator.

Nice work, everybody keep at it !

I do believe we're really going to see some snap, crackle & pop this month.

jean said...

can you make a prediction for bucharest-romania from 10th july to 15th august?,thank you.

AMIT said...

Jean
sorry Jean. As of to day I do not predict places. The accuracy of such palce prediction is not up to the mark.
regards
Amit

AMIT said...

hi
Two quakes of 6.2 each . One at Mariana on 10th July and another 6.2 on 12th (0011 Hrs UTC) at Chile.
However, the magniyude accuracy is not as expected (7+)
In fact the two represents two combinations
1) Moon with Jupiter
2) Moon with Sun
regards
Amit

AMIT said...

hi
It is noticed ,as expected that ,there are two seperate quake cycles which are active,recently. One due to Moon and Jupiter (closer and changing directon ) and Moon with Sun. Thus in next couple of weeks we may see two sets of quake cycles

1)17th July 2010--0200 IST---7.0
2)18th July 2010--1730 IST---6.7
3)23th July 2010--2120 IST---6.6
4)26th July 2010--0615 IST---7.1
Watch the dates
Amit

奕廷 said...

Seeing is believing.百聞不如一見............................................................

AMIT said...

Hi
pl note 6.7 quake at Fox island to day ,i.e 18 July 2010 at 1130 IST.
Watch date as well as magnitude hit accuracy.
Amit

AMIT said...

Hi
Two more quakes 6.8 and 6.9 at Papa na Guana today (ie as predicted 18th July 010)
At the same time we have less than 6 quakes on 17th July 2010
we must think out of the box,and look at other theories (other than plate tectonics )
Regards
Amit

Roger Hunter said...

Amit;

Your earlier prediction was for July 11 and 16.

Only by a vague extension did you get any hits at all and that at the expense of raising the probability.

Weak, Amit.

Roger

AMIT said...

Roger
This is not correct.The dates were posted well in advance. In fact you can check it from Earthwaves forum

http://www.earthwaves.org/wwwboard/wwwboard.html
with thread-two quake cycles-
, the same were poated there also on 13th July 2010.
It is your own statement that, the modification,if any , should be prior to opening of window.
I would expect,a man of your caliber should be consistant in his statements
regards
Amit

Roger Hunter said...

Amit;

I'm not denying the hits, just commenting on the sloppy procedure.

You're still below chance.

Roger

AMIT said...

Looking at 18th July 2010 quakes I have no doubt of a big one approaching on 26tH July 2010 at around 0100 UTC.The quake/s could be well above 7.0

AMIT said...

hi
we have two quakes of 6.1 and 6.2 at Indonesia and Vanuattu on 21st and 22nd July 2010
keep watching daves
Amit

Neha Sharma said...

Hi Amit,


Can you tell which cities in India are expected to be hit by the earthquake ( if it comes anytime before 15th Aug. )

Regards,
nks

AMIT said...

Hi Neha
I have predicted date ,time and magnitude here. However,pin pointing exact place is not accurate.Hence ,it is not advisible to state anything about the place /city as of to day.
Nevertheless, all places ,which are prone to quakes or which are on plte boundries need to remain vigilant during these period
regards
Amit

AMIT said...

Hi
Looking at less potent combination on 26th (only 6+ Quakes on 24th and 25th July),the quake on 31st may be less potent ie 6.2 to 6.5 instead of 7+
regards
Amit

AMIT said...

Hi
Jupiter have changed motion on 23rd
July 2010 and from 6th July 2010 to
31st July 2010,there were 17 quakes which are 6+. For one month (+ or - 15days)the quakes will be more than 20. Average quakes (6+)as per USGS are 12.5.
AMit

AMIT said...

hi
quake of 6.2 at Russia n 30th July and 5.8 quakes in Iran on 31st July 2010.
regards
Amit

AMIT said...

hi
Jupiter changed the motion on 23d July 2010. Total number of quakes (6+) between 7th July to 7th August is 22,which is quite higher than average

UMAG=9.5&NDEP1=&NDEP2=&IO1=&IO2=&CLAT=0.0&CLON=0.0&CRAD=0.0&SUBMIT=Submit+Search



Amit

AMIT said...

hi
Now you can view my monthly earthquake predictions for 7+ quakes ,dirctly from the link mentioned at the righside of this blog. There are three dates mentioned in the calender.The middle one is the predicted date and + or - one day staes the window period of quake
Amit

AMIT said...

hi
please see my web page
http://earthquakeprediction.webs.com/ for theory ,dates (calender) and links (earthquake forum)
Amit

AMIT said...

hi
In the first week of September 2011, we have Jupiter changing the direction. Hence ,complete September 2011 will witness major quakes. Also <Jupiter is closer to the Earth (4.5 AU-Astronomical Units ie Average Distance of Earth to Sun)
All dates when
1) Moon makes 0,90 or 180 degrees with Jupiter

2) Moon Phases Full Moon ,New Moon and Neap tide dates

3) Moon at perigee or at Maximum declinations
Watch
Amit

AMit

AMIT said...

hi
If we see NEIC records from 1st September 2011 to 16th September 2011 we have following quakes

6+-----------12

6.5+----------5

7.0+----------2
Looking at the long range averages
we have on an average quakes per year
6.0+-------150 ie 6.0 in 15 days
6.5+------ 45 ie 2 in 15 days
7.0+-------15 ie 1.5 in 15 days
Are these quakes in September are not above average?

These are due to Jupiter changing the direction and closer to Earth(4.5AU-Astronomical Units-average distance from Earth to Sun
Amit

Anonymous said...

As a new user please welcome :)

AMIT said...

Hi
On 25th Dece 2011 Jupiter is changing Direction
and is closer to Earth,less than 4.5 AU.
This may induce some major quakes and volcanic
Eruption in December 201.Probable dates are
6/7th,10th,20th anf 24th
Amit