Can earthquakes be predicted?

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Wednesday, December 01, 2010

Predicting aftershocks -cycle quake theory

please note yet another proof of -cycle quake theory-
My cycle quake theory states-
If there is a prone date, which is fixed as per my theory, the dates/days 15 days and 7 and half days before and after (predicted date)are also prone for quakes.
Note quakes in November 2010 are
3rd,10th,16/17 th ,23rd and 30th November. All quakes were more than 6.0 (except on 16/17 th -5.9)
This happens due to various position of Moon ( a main trigger in earthquakes)
Let one date is fixed as main quake date ( as per theory). Now ,as Moon moves 90 degrees every 7 days (approx),before and after evrey 7 and half days, it occupies yet another similar ,but less potent location.
Thus cycle quakes occur
In fact, it is easiest way to predict a major after shock ,at a place ,where a major quake (7+) have already occurred.
I would go to the extent of saying, people should be warned ,on 7/8th day and 14/15th day for aftershock after a major quake of 7+
Amit

14 comments:

AMIT said...

HI
EARTHQUAKE OF 5.9 ALSO STRUCK FIJI TO DAY ie 1st DECEMBER 2010 at 16.01 UTC

AMIT said...

hi
It is also noticed that ,after a major quake of 7+ the aftershock sequence will be like this
1) after 12 Hrs( Due to place at opposite side of the tidal force)
2) after 24 Hrs(Same situation but less potent-same location but less potent)
3)after 7 and half days ( 90 degrees movement of Moon, a major aftershock)
4)after 15 days (180 degree movemt of Moon
After 15 days (max),the situation fades away
Amit

Roger Hunter said...

Amit;

If you take 7 1/2 days before and after new and full moons you hava covered nearly every day in the month.

Success guaranteed; value zero.

Roger

AMIT said...

Roger
I am sorry . I could not explain you properly
It is not 7 and half day window,but it is time betwen 7th and 8th day .. It is not open window.It actually talks of Hrs accuracy (+ or - 6 Hrs ,somewhere betwen 7th and 8th day
Amit

AMIT said...

hi
There is yet another quake of 6.9 at Papua new Guiena on 2nd Decembar 2010 at 03.12 UTC
Amit

Roger Hunter said...

Amit;

Ok, thanks for clarifying that.

Since you can't say which time period I'll have to take the whole 8th day before and after.

Roger

AMIT said...

hi
For ease of searching predicted adtes ,you may see my web page

http://earthquakeprediction.webs.com
and look for calender events
Amit

Anonymous said...

Good point, though sometimes it's hard to arrive to definite conclusions

AMIT said...

Hi
Equakdor volcano erupted brtween 4th and 5th December 2010
Amit

AMIT said...

hi
Again on 8th day ( after 30th November ) we have two quakes which are greater than 6.
1)6.5 at south sandwich island
2)6.1 at Philippines
yet another prof of cycle quake theory
Amit

Anonymous said...

tidal forces in our solar system.
Moon 2.1
Sun 1.00
Venus 0.000113
Jupiter 0.0000131
Mars 0.0000023
Mercury 0.0000007
Saturn 0.0000005
Uranus 0.000000001
Neptune 0.000000002
Pluto 0.0000000000001
add up all the planets influence to the moon and sun it would increase the ocean tides by 1/25mm. 1/25mm on a liquid would mean no influence on rock, therefore jupiter and saturn have no influence on earthquakes. With the frequency of an earthquake M6.5 or above every year being on avg twice a week(100 times a year according to USGS) it is easy to say that one will occur during any week of the year "somewhere" with 100% accuracy.

AMIT said...

hi
A quake,as predicted ( a date hit) of 6.5 at Iran on 20th December 2010 ,is the proof of theory
Yes . 6+ quakes occur 100+ n a year. However predicting a hit (+ or - 24 Hrs accurcy is not a random act.
In fact, on this blog I have given an open invitation to one and all to post their radom dates . Those will be compared till December 2010.
Roger Hunter (Rtd Siesmologist from USGS will evaluate and give result) He is kind enough and agreed to do that
AMit

Anonymous said...

Again... with the average being about 2.5 times a week that a >6.5mag happenning somewhere in the world and you giving a 72hr window(approx 2.5 times a week) 12/21- 12/23 means your accuracy will be high. Come up with an actual date/time AND place and we might see some proof. I predict there should be another >6.5 somewhere in the world 12/26-12/28 and 1/3-1/5.
Ray

AMIT said...

HI
Two quakes of 4.9 and 6.0 after 24 hrs at Hindukush on 13 and 14th May 2011 are part of cycle quake theory
Quakes occur after 24hrs ,7/8th day and 14/15th day as Moon acquires another potent position after those period