Can earthquakes be predicted?

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Saturday, September 01, 2018

Earthquake Prediction for September 2018

Hi
Here are some of the probable dates for major earthqEarth (6+) for theonth of September 2018
1)5th.......6.6
2) 9th.......6.5
3)18th.......6.4
4)26th......6.6
Time window is + ,or - one day
Magnitude window is +or - 0.3

Amit

21 comments:

AMIT said...

Hi
A 6.6 quake at Japan on 5th September 2018.
A date hit and magnitude hit prediction
Any doubts?
Amit

AMIT said...

Hi
One more hit quake
8.1 at Fiji today ,ie 6th August 2018
So many hits,are those by chance?
Amit

AMIT said...

Hi
The point to ponder for all those ,who advocate plate tectonics is...
Today's Fiji quake ,depth was 669 KM's
Now ,the plate thickness ,to the best of my knowledge can go up to 200-250
How come the centre was at such a great depth

AMIT said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Roger Hunter said...

Amit;

Deep quakes happen at subduction zones where a plate dives down into the mantle

Roger

AMIT said...

Roger
Plate tectonics have not asked certain questions to themselves
1) As plate tectonics explains normal quakes as sudden relative movment of two plates and resulting jerks/force ,that create quakes. Now what relative movment can occur at such a depth
2)There has to be enough heat to dissolve the plate before it reaches such a depth,considering average plate thickness 100to150 km,this is 5 to 6 times the thickness
3)Ok. What exactly happened when such a deep quake occur Have any one formulated or created a model of such quakes.
Roger , whenever plate tectonics can not explain such questions ,it gives generic answers
One such question is how major quakes occur on a location which is not on plate nounbounda. Answer is intra plate quake
Now ,how on earth ,a relative motion occur in side a single plate
Think out of the box
Think like a police man ,who questions and suspect each person ,in his investigation
Amit

AMIT said...

One typo error sixth line from bottom

"boundaries" instead of nounbounda"

Roger Hunter said...

Amit;

>>> 1) As plate tectonics explains normal quakes as sudden relative movment of two plates and resulting jerks/force ,that create quakes. Now what relative movment can occur at such a depth

The subducting quake moving downward

>>> 2)There has to be enough heat to dissolve the plate before it reaches such a depth,considering average plate thickness 100to150 km,this is 5 to 6 times the thickness

Obviously it isn't that hot or we wouldn't see quakes from the plate fracturing.

3)Ok. What exactly happened when such a deep quake occur Have any one formulated or created a model of such quakes.

Of course. There are whole books on the subject.

>>> Roger , whenever plate tectonics can not explain such questions ,it gives generic answers. One such question is how major quakes occur on a location which is not on plate boundary. Answer is intra plate quake. Now ,how on earth ,a relative motion occur in side a single plate.

By either buckling due to compressive forces or by cracking due to separating movement.

Roger

AMIT said...

Roger
One more hit quake.
7.0 at NZ on 10th Sept as against predicted 9th
How many hits are required to prove the point
Amit

Roger Hunter said...

Amit;

You're having a good month.

2 quakes in the 5th window.

3 quakes in the 9th window

2 quakes on the 10th missed.

Still just chance.

Roger

AMIT said...

Hi
One more hit
Keep counting
6.3 at new Caledonia on 10th

Amit

Roger Hunter said...

Amit;

I stand corrected.

2 hits in the 5th window

1 missed on Sep 7

4 hits on the 9th window

Still just chance.

Roger

AMIT said...

Hi
6.5 quake at Fiji
On 16th at 22 hrs ie two hrs earlier than window
I am aware,the moment I write this as ahit people will say it is 2 hrs out of window
What an injustice
Seismology predict major quake ------- tomorrow or after 500 yrs-
and we appreciate their accuracy
Let us be fair to all
Amit

Roger Hunter said...

Amit;

Missed another one today in Fiji

Just chance.

Roger

Roger Hunter said...

Amit;

I judge your accuracy based on what you say.

You gave a date and range so anything outside the window is a miss.

Close doesn't count.

Roger

AMIT said...

Roger
Yes sir,agreed
Amit

AMIT said...

Hi
10 hrs late
7.5 quake at Indonesia
Dave

AMIT said...

Hi
Today's 6.6 quake at Fiji exactly after 24 hrs of major quake is proof to my cycle quake theory.
The theory states that after a major quake (7+) ,there are fair amount of chances that another major (6+) occur after
24 hrs
seven /eighth day
14th/15th day

This is because ,the potential position which has triggered the first major quake ,will again happen when Moon moves
A complete round in 24 hrs
Another position 90degree away (7/8 day)
Yet another potential position when Moon moves 180 degree (14/15) days

That is exactly why ,people should remain alert on next day,a week later and a fortnight later
Hope Indonesia Government learn this.
Amit

Roger Hunter said...

Amit;

Summary for September

7/12 quakes in window

3/4 windows have quakes.

Better than the average month but still just chance.

I wish I could contribute to your funds but I'm in the same boat.

Roger

AMIT said...

Roger
Thanks
You have done a lot for me.
I am truly obliged
Thank you very much
Amit

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