Hi
Each day , I will try to compile my predictions for one year
odds of getting a hit date in window period of + or - one day is one in four ie 25% approx
Results shows that my predictions are far better than odds
YEAR 2018
Each day , I will try to compile my predictions for one year
odds of getting a hit date in window period of + or - one day is one in four ie 25% approx
Results shows that my predictions are far better than odds
YEAR 2018
For current year ,till 25th Nov , following are results
6+ quakes predicted ...---41 dates
Hit dates......------------26 ( 63.41%)
--------------------------------------------
YEAR 2017
Total dates predicted .........40
total hit dates.....................21
(52.5%)
----------------------------------------------
YEAR 2016
Total dates predicted....43
Total hit dates..................30
(69.76%)
YEAR 2017
Total dates predicted .........40
total hit dates.....................21
(52.5%)
----------------------------------------------
YEAR 2016
Total dates predicted....43
Total hit dates..................30
(69.76%)
______________________________________
YEAR 2015
Total dates predicted...........39
Total hit dates........................29
(74.36%)
______________________________________
YEAR 2015
Total dates predicted...........39
Total hit dates........................29
(74.36%)
______________________________________
3 comments:
Amit;
Since you are compiling those records could you email me a copy for my own analysis?
Roger
Hi
Watch the accuracy for four consecutive years. Are these predictions just by chance?
Amit
Amit;
I hate to admit it but I am human; I make mistakes.
When I calculated the odds on getting a hit with a 6+ quake in a 3 day window
I made a mistake.
The true odds are 0.611
For a 7+ the odds are 0.113 and for 8+ the odds are 0.008
So once again your results are just chance. Slightly better sometimes but not enough
to matter.
I really am sorry too. I'd love to find a successful method.
Roger
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