Can earthquakes be predicted?

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Saturday, November 12, 2022

One more 6+ quake,this month

 Hi

Please note one more major quake at Chile today ie 13th November 2022.

 On an average three to four  6.5 magnitude quake occurs every month.

Why then so many major quakes (almost daily one) occur this month?

 Do plate tectonics have any answer to this?

Are these just by chance?

Amit

One more quake at Nepal

 Hi

One more quake ,5.4 at Nepal.

Tremors in New Delhi -NCR

Keep counting for this month

Fiji Quake on 12th November 2022,a question to plate tectonics

 Hi

As mentioned earlier ,this month will witness few major 7+quakes.

Keep counting 

Today ,ie 12th November 22 a 7.1 quake at Fiji.

The problem is the quake occured at 587.2km depth.(ref USGS)

Woh!

How do we explain this with plate tectonics. 

The maximum depth of earth crust is around 50  -60 kms.

How the quake occured at a depth where there is no plate to collide at a whooping depth of 587.2 km

 ANY ANSWERS OR EXPLANATION BY PLATE TECTONICS?

Now I will discuss the arguments given by plate tectonics for quakes at this depth.

 Explaination given...

Quakes at such greater depth ( say this one at 587 kms) occurs at subduction zone. One plate slides below the another plate and keep sliding downward. At great depth this plate (which is going down ) deforms and create quakes at such great depth. 

Now some points 

1) At such depth of 587 kms the temp could be around 2500 to 3000 degree Celsius. 

2) The melting point temp of rocks is around 

2000 to 2400 degree Celsius 

3) Why then this crust whichbis going down should not get melted ,before reaching this great depth?

4) At a rate of say 5 mm per year ,if the plate is going down ,it will take 117 million years to reach this depth. How can the solid rock remain solid at 3000 degree temp and for 117 million years?

Any Explation?

AMIT DAVE

Friday, November 11, 2022

A simple question to USGS and a request to indemnify me for posting probable locations (0 or -10degrees of longitudes on both side

 hi

 please note one more date hit major earthquake prediction for this month A major quake of 7.3 at Tonga today ie 11th November 2022 . A date hit 7+ quake prediction

By this public forum ,I would like to ask USGS(USA) and NDMA and NIDM (INDIA) as to how many date hit major quake predictions are required before they can have a closer look to the theory ,which is other than plate tectonics

 In fact , I can forecast the locations also ( with fair amount of accuracy ) ,if required by USGS or NDMA/NIDM . However, I should be protected from the national Disaster Act 2005 (India) under which it is an offense to predict all three aspects of a quake 

1) Date

2) Magnitude

3)Location 

This can be treated as spreading rumors

If USGS in general and Govt of India  indemnify me against this I will post longitudes (+ or -10 degrees) on both sides of globe

regards 

 Amit Dave


Some questions to plate tetonics

 hi

Plate tectonics suggests that , there was a super continent named Pangaea. This super continent was broken in several pieces and each one drifted apart. Thus ,the world continents as we see are formed. 

Now ,several plates are formed and they move and collide with one another. When the built up pressure is released by movement of one plate over the other ,the Earthquakes and Volcano occur.. Himalayas was formed by such collision of two plates which started some 50 million years back. Even today ,Himalaya is increasing in height by about 5 mm every year

 By this calculation ,the height of Himalayas should be more than 250 kms and not just 8600 odd mtrs.

Now Some questions 

1) How did the super continent broken ? by which force ?

First answer was given by Platte tectonics was- Centripetal force-. When this was rejected ,the now accepted explanation is by Heat currents of molten magma under the crust .

Now my question is -

If the splitting force of heat current was there (below the super continent) ,it would have not allowed the super continent to be formed there ,in the first place. 

How do we explain this? 

2) Is it not possible that ,the super continents got separated by the force of earthquakes ?

3) How do plate tectonics explain  earthquake and volcanic eruption at locations other than plate boundaries?

 The explanations given by plate tectonics is like this...

 As per modified plate tectonics, there are some intra plate faultlines.These are small faultlines inside a bigger plate.Due to such intraplate fault lines quakes at places other than plate boundaries occur ,one like Latur(Maharashtra, India quake).

However ,the question is whether such intraplate small faultlines can have relative motion inside a bigger plate,that can cause an Earthquake?

 Where as for volcanic eruption at places other than plate boundaries ,the explanation given by plate tectonics is like this..

There are some extra hot spots inside the crust(???!!!how and why?).These extra hot spots of lava are responsible for volcanic eruption at places away from plate boundaries (only assumptions)

4) Why on a given potent date there are several major quakes all over the globe on various plates not connected in any way ?

5) The main proof produced by plate tectonics is that ,the shape of continents are like matching puzzle pieces and the fossil remains found in separated continents are same.

Now ,all this can be justified if we say that ,the super continent was broken and separated by violent quakes.

 No heat currents / convection currents have  power to breake the continents completely

6) Why plate tectonics can not calculate the built-up pressure and hence probable dates of major quakes.

 It is like this..

We know 

a) area of plates

b) depth of plates

c) density of earth crust

d) velocity of their movemnt

e) Surface area in contact at plate boundaries 

f) shearing force required to break the crust 

why then ,the kgf /sq mtr at plate boundaries can not be calculated. 

why we can not remain alert when the kgf/sq mtr reached shearing force

why do seismologist say /predict that "major quake in Himalayas can occur anytimes from today to 200 yrs from now"

what is the use of such prediction?

Who will remain alert 24x7 for 200 years?

 

Any answers ?

 

Regards 

 

 Amit Dave


 

Thursday, November 10, 2022

why this month (november 2022 ) is potenat as far as Earthquakes are concerned

 hi 

Why this month is more potent?

Say take for  example the dates 25/26th November 2022.

If you see and observe I have given 7+ prediction rating for these two dates

Some of the major contributing factors are as follows

1) The Sun is closest to Earth and at higher Declination

2) The Moon is closest to Earth and of the highest (rare  -26.40 degrees ) declination .Though Moon can go up to Max  + or -28.43 degree declination once in 18.66 years .

The month and year on which it will reach its 18.66 year peak is  March 2025 (which will be more potent)

However ,in general ir remains between 22 to 25 degrees 

3) Mars is closest to Earth and at Maximum declination

4) Venus and Mercury are also at Maximum declination

SO the New Moon of 24th ,25/26th are more potent

Now for understanding why these maximum declination and stand still positions are more potent

Say on 25/26th November after achieving maximum declination of -26.40 ,the Moon will return to northward movement ie will reach 0 (at Equator) and later to + ie North side

Now what actually happens is sudden stoppage of southward moment of Moon  acts as a break to the pull on molten lava,as if your are thrown forward when a break is applied to your car (change of momentum) .Further it starts moving in opposite direction the next day ,thus dragging the lava under tidal pull

This makes imbalance in the internal lava/magma and if crosses the threshold limit breaks the upper crust ,causing the quakes

Now ,why all earlier tidal pull, theories never justified the co relation between major quakes and tidal pull is ,the seismologist only looks for phases of Moon ie New Moon and Full Moon

Yes ,the new Moon and Full have some potency but all new moon and full moon are not capable of producing major ,6+, quakes

All other factors need to be considered like

1) Maximum Declination

2) Planets Changing Direction from Direct to Retro gate or vice a versa

3)Sun and Moon at same declination

4) Speed of SUN,MOON and  other planets

5) Aspects of Moon with closer planets and resultant pull

THUS ON THE GROUND OF PARTIAL STUDY OF TIDAL PULL THEORY (ONLY SUN AND MOON STUDY) THE TIDAL PULL THEORY CAN NOT BE DISCARDED

Regards 

 Amit Dave



Wednesday, November 09, 2022

A brief note on Earthquake predictions


A brief note on Earthquake prediction 


 1) Earth consists of thin (100km) plate and semi solid magma below it about 6000km 

2) As there is high tide and low tide in oceans, similar tidal pull applies to semi solid magma

3) The date on which the tidal pull crosses a critical value ,the lava breaks the plate partially and quake occurs

4) If the pull is directly over weeak boundaries, plate boundaries, a major quake occurs

5) If the pull breaks open the mouth of volcano an eruption occurs

6) The Moon has max tidal pull being closer

7) when Sun ,Moon and major planets joins ( like full moon ,yesterday, new moon ,) the pull is maximum 

8) When a planets is closer ,as Jupiter now ,and changes direction from Direct to retouching or vice-versa, it produces imbalance in pull and jerk.

 Thus some of the dates are prone to major quakes.

Yes ,major quakes occurs at plate boundaries, it is only because it is weaker section

  Earthquakes are not due to plates ,but plates are due to earthquakes

 How do plate tectonics explain ..

1)Major quakes at location other than plate boundaries 

2) why some dates are prone?

3) why series of small quakes (less than 3) daily?