Can earthquakes be predicted?

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Saturday, April 25, 2015

Earthquake at Nepal ,7.9, on 25th April 2015

Hi
  The Nepal earthquake was a major one (7.9) and need some more discussions
please see my previous post ( prediction for April 2015), and note accuracy of prediction (in terms of date)
 Now , I will explain the quake prediction
This month Jupiter has changed direction from retro gate to direct on 9th .Moreover Jupiter is closer to Earth ,hence the chances of major quakes will be high ,whenever Jupiter aspects Moon or Sun.
 The place correspond to Sun position
  In fact, as per my theory, the Jupiter and Moon will Join on 26th at 16.00 UTC
  So let us hope, there should not be any major quake at the said time

also pl see my web page
http://earthquakeprediction.webs.com and see calender

Amit

14 comments:

AMIT said...

It is always noticed that, the place of major quake are prone for major after shocks after
12 Hrs
24 Hrs
7-8th day
15th day
Amit

AMIT said...

Hi
watch major aftershock of 6.7 in Nepal to day as expected after 24 hrs .Also not 40 minutes lag pertaing to daily Moon delay
Let seismologist not believe this.
Amit

Roger Hunter said...

Amit;

That's a testable idea.

I'll call main shocks as mag 7+ and aftershocks as mag 6.0 to 6.9. I'll also call mag 8+ as main and mag 6.0 to 7.9 as aftershocks, all to be within 300 km of the main quake.

Then I'll count the number of aftershocks per hour up to 15 days and we'll see if your intervals have more quakes than the other hours.

Roger

Roger Hunter said...

Amit;

Oh, wait, I already did that for mag 7.5 main and 6+ after.

It isn't true.

Never mind.

Roger

AMIT said...

Hi
Heavy rains accompny quake at Nepal.
I have noticed that,time and again major quakes are accompnied by heavy rains.
You can find out from records that the statement is true ,for more than 75% cases
This also proves my universal pull theory ,which states Major quakes,volcanic eruptions and heavy rains follow same rule and theory. Thus the dates given by me are also prone to eruption and cloud burst
Amit

AMIT said...

Roger
can you mail me the results.There is certainly some bug in your soft ware.
I can do this physically for say 10 yrs 7.5+ quakes
I f you still doubt watcg the time between 7th and 8th day
Amit

AMIT said...

Roger
By the way ,I presume you are doing QA-QC for your software before you test my predictions and announce ,I am wrong(always) and I should quit.
Amit

AMIT said...

Roger
There is one more term known as UAT (User Acceptance Test) ,where by user is aware of software and satisfied on trial run
Amit

AMIT said...

Roger
while counting aftershocks ,it is not the number of aftershocks that is to be counted. It is the biggest after shocks to be counted. There could be hundreds of small quakes (2 to 3) for 15 days or even one month
Main issue is to take in to account the biggest aftershocks
Such communication errors are the main cause of you declaring my method wrong and that I should quit
Amit

Roger Hunter said...

Amit;

Lack of understanding here.

I said 7.5+ for main quakes, mag 6+ for aftershocks.

I have no way to do QA, QC or UAT. I wish I did, it would be very helpful.

I'm pretty sure I sent you the earlier test when it was done.

If you want a different test I can do that too. In fact I will, because the earlier version didn't last long enough.

Roger

AMIT said...

Roger
what I mean is ,among all aftershocks(even 6+),find out the highest and second highest magnitude aftershocks;and see where they fall
Thanks Roger
Amit

AMIT said...

By "where they fall"I mean the time/day slot and not location.Location what you have taken is ok
Amit

Roger Hunter said...

Amit;

To clarify; you want me to look at all mag 7.5 quakes and search for the two largest aftershocks within 15 days. Nothing below mag 6 to be considered. Aftershocks to be within 300 km?

If this is correct let me know and I will proceed.

Roger

AMIT said...

Roger
A slight change
Two biggest aftershocks within 16 days(because sometimes it is betwen 15/16thdays)

Two biggest aftershocks can be less than 6 also (pròvided they are biggest)
Amit