Can earthquakes be predicted?

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Thursday, September 02, 2010

SEPTEMBER 2010 QUAKES

Major quakes for year 2010 were already posted on my blog earlier. However a little modification is given below
1)3rd September 08.10 UTC----6.2
2)8h September--10.30 UTC--7.3
In fact it is expected that ,there could be two major quakes ,one on 8th and another on 9th September 2010 (11.10 UTC--7+)
Amit

15 comments:

AMIT said...

hi
please note todays(3rd September 2010) quake of 6.3 at 11.16 UTC at Aalaska as against my prediction of
6.2 on 3rd September 2010 at 08.10 UTC.
please observe 8th And 9th September 2010 for major quakes
regards
Amit

Roger Hunter said...

Amit;

The probability of a 6.2 or larger quake somewhere in the world within a 3 day window is 0.458 so it's not surprising that you get some hits.

What's surprising is that you don't get more of them since it's about coin toss odds.

Roger

Roger Hunter said...

Amit;

The probability of a 6.2 or larger quake somewhere in the world within a 3 day window is 0.458 so it's not surprising that you get some hits.

What's surprising is that you don't get more of them since it's about coin toss odds.

Roger

AMIT said...

Roger
Also please note Newzeland quake of 7.1. How many times there could be such co incidence or chance?

Amit Dvve

AMIT said...

hi
please note following two quakes
1)8th September ---11.37 UTC -Vanuatu as against predicted quake
of 7.3 at 10.30 UTC
2)9th September--07.28 UTC ---6.1 at
Bio Bio (Chile)as against predicted 7+ at 11.10 UTC
Watch out
Amit

mike said...

Breaking Step:Major Earthquake Prediction

Get 7 dates by predict 7 times, corresponding to USGS World 7.5+ earthquakes, in which ± 7 days 1 times, ± 3 days 1 times, ± 2 days 1 times, ± 1 day 2 times, ± 11 days 1 times, and another 1 corresponding to USGS magnitude 7.3 earthquake ± 4 days .

AMIT said...

Mike
Thank you very much.I have posted dates for year 2009 along with actual quakes (10th June 2010 post) and year 2010 (10th January 2010 post)
I would like others to evaluate my
prediction accuracy.
thanks
Amit

Roger Hunter said...

Amit;

I have no idea what Mr Mike is trying to say.

Roger

Zyxzz said...

Jupiter is cozying up to Earth this month. At its closest approach, the giant planet will swing closer and shine brighter than at any time between 1963 and 2022.

You can already see Jupiter twinkling low in the east after twilight, and higher in the southeast as the evening wears on. But it will be brightest in the second half of September. The gas giant’s closest approach will be at a distance of 368 million miles on Monday, September 20. Its previous swing-by in August 2009 was 2 percent farther, and the next approach in October 2011 will be a little less than 1 percent more distant.

Jupiter is also brighter than usual by about 4 percent because one of its brown cloud belts is hidden.

Uranus will be visible in the same part of the sky until September 24, though you’ll need binoculars or a telescope to see it. The full moon will appear right above Jupiter on September 22, which is coincidentally the fall equinox.

AMIT said...

Zyxxz
thank you very much for information. Jupiter is closer this month, that is why there could be more seismic activities.
More quakes will be observed when Jupiter will change the direction on 19th November 2010.
The giant planet when changes the direction ,causes diesturbances in momentum of magma inside the crust.
This ultimately cause quakes (6.5+) or volcanic eruptions
regards
Amit Dave

Lazlo said...

I say we have a match challenge. We all pick three days a month and see who does best. Something tells me Amit will be right there in the middle of the pack, no better no worse than the average.

Lazlo said...

Total BS. You can't predict anything better than anyone else. I used to think you were on to something but there are clearly several other layers of factors even if you initial premise has some merit. You are incorrect more than you are correct

AMIT said...

lazlo
Agreed. please give three dates for each month till December 2010.
I shall soon post my dates (after rechecking )
All are invited to this match challenge please.
In fact ,several times I have requaested that,some one should give the dates.At last you have agreed to do the same
Thank you very Much
Amit

FlaviaBrazuca said...

Hello Amit,
Since I am so freaked out by earthquakes AND I happen to live right on top of the San Andreas fault, you can se that I am always running around wondering when the an earthquake is going to happen. Since I was young I can usually say when these things are going to hit. I am never wrong. I know there are earthqaukes everyday, I am talking about news worthy stuff.... My ears buzz a for a few ays and my nose bleeds. I notice that the weather is hot and muggy, not typical for Southern California. So I think within the next few days, I will be rattled by a mighty one AHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH. Just thought I should add my 2 cents in lol...... Let me know what you think....

AMIT said...

FlaviaBazuca
Thae dates are already posted on my latest blog. However, I can not pin ponit the places.
regards
Amit