Can earthquakes be predicted?

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Friday, September 09, 2011

6.4 earthquake at Vancouver on 9th September 2011 , as predicted

hi
6.4 earthquake at Vancouver as expected and predicted
watch dates till September 2011 end
Amit

22 comments:

AMIT said...

hi
Mount Etna erupt again on the date predicted ie 9th September.
Some of the dates are prone to major quakes ( all over the globe) as well as volcanic eruptions

http://www.itv.com/news/etna-erupts-again24825/


AMit

AMIT said...

hi
Now when we have 6.4 quake at Vancouver on 9th September 2011, the quake on 16th is almost certain (6.5-place not known )
This is termed by me as cycle quake theory.
On prone months major quakes occurs after every 7 to 7 and half days.
This is because Moon( the main trigger) acquires another potent position (90 degrees apart ) after every 7-7.5 days
Amit

AMIT said...

hi
One of my friend Roger ,has posted all my prediction as archive

http://quakepredictions.weebly.com/amit-daves-predictions.html

please check
Amit

Anonymous said...

Amit did you predict the 3rd September one too?
Remi
Predicting earthquakes has become easy....

AMIT said...

Remi
Yes.2nd September 2011 was predicted
please see

http://earthquake-prediction.blogspot.com/2011/08/earthquake-predicion-for-september-2011.html
or look at the right side of this blog and go for September 2011 prediction

Yes. You are right . I am convinced that most of the major quakes (6.5+) can be predicted with considerable accuracy.
Also I am convinced that , if some 30 to 35 odd dates per year are selected ( which are most prone to quakes),almost 90% of damaging quakes can be predicted
The only problem is pin pointing locations. If time accuracy is with in half an Hour , may be location ,as per resultant pull can be fixed
I am working on , as to whether we can locate a band of longitude or latitude,for the day and + or - 4 t 6 Hrs
I believe ,it is possible ,in principle. The point is we have to put in enough resources both in terms of time and money.
May be some day Government, seismology departments and NGO
realize this

Amit

Anonymous said...

Amit,
I have also my methods and they are good predicting most earthquakes. Location is also an issue but there too there are ways.
Best Wishes
Remi

Anonymous said...

Hi Amit Sir,

Congrats once again :-) I was too
busy hence did not send any emails .
As I have mentioned earlier to you and Roger , Oct. to Dec 2011 is the main great quakes ( 7 + to 9 mag ) period. The quakes will occur around new moon and full days ( + - 2 days range from new moon and full moon day ) . Location can NOT be predicted yet. Still nations like Japan , China, Indonesia , California ( U.S and Mexico ) and Peru , Chile need to be alert for possible quake/s. Even India need to be alert for moderate quake.

Check if you can alert disaster management teams and USGS ?

best regards

Santosh Phadnis
India.
________________

Anonymous said...

Hi Amit Sir,

Congrats once again :-) I was too
busy hence did not send any emails .
As I have mentioned earlier to you and Roger , Oct. to Dec 2011 is the main great quakes ( 7 + to 9 mag ) period. The quakes will occur around new moon and full days ( + - 2 days range from new moon and full moon day ) . Location can NOT be predicted yet. Still nations like Japan , China, Indonesia , California ( U.S and Mexico ) and Peru , Chile need to be alert for possible quake/s. Even India need to be alert for moderate quake.

Check if you can alert disaster management teams and USGS ?

thanks.

best regards

Santosh Phadnis
India.
________________

AMIT said...

HI
A Quake of 6.2 occured at New Guinea,PNG on 12th (2244 UTC)
Yes, we may call it a miss.The date is correct but the magnitude is not as expected(7.0)
Moon at maximum declination and at Perigee is more potent than full Moon( when other indicaters are there)
Amit

AMIT said...

hi
I shall give reasons for possible quakes till September end 2011.
Let us observe which criteria is more potent
We have pre requisites of major planet (jupiter) changing the direction is full filled ,till September end
Now
1)16th September
at 1400 UTC Jupiter and Moon Coisides.
2)20th September- Moon at Maximum
declination and Moon at 90 degrees to Sun
3)27th September-
New Moon,Moon at Perigee(closest-57.1ER-Earth Radious), Moon Venus Conjuction, Moon at Equater on 26th
Hence, looking at the strenght, 27th September 2011 will give major quake
pl note comet Elenin has not been considered in the evaluation.The comet is of normal size and may not give much tidal pull ,even if it cimes closer
Amit

AMIT said...

hi
In the first week of September 2011, we have Jupiter changing the direction. Hence ,complete September 2011 will witness major quakes. Also <Jupiter is closer to the Earth (4.5 AU-Astronomical Units ie Average Distance of Earth to Sun)
All dates when
1) Moon makes 0,90 or 180 degrees with Jupiter

2) Moon Phases Full Moon ,New Moon and Neap tide dates

3) Moon at perigee or at Maximum declinations
Watch
Amit

AMit

AMIT said...

hi

I believe there is a strong link between major earthquakes and Volcano eruptions (any where in the world)

The explation is like this

On the prone date for major quake, the tidal pull is more.When the pull exceeds a limit ,it breaks the crust (the semi solid magma under pull-high tide like one in oceans) and the quakes occurs

On the same day ,as the Earth moves in Orbit and along axis, the pull may come under mouth of volcano, and may break open the mouth on the same day

This is why we notice some of the volcano erupting along with major quakes some where else

Amit

Grandpa David said...

How is the ninth accurate as a prediction?

2)5th September 2011-------6.5

3)12th September 2011-----7.0

Well outside =-1 day

Anonymous said...

Massive quake in the cascades on the 15th of September 2011

AMIT said...

Grandpa David
please see my prediction for September 2011. You can find it at right side of this blog ,under popular post
A note below dates ,states 9th and 16th are also prone for quakes of 6+
watch 16th,20th and 27th for September 2011 quakes
Amit

AMIT said...

hi
Strong Earthquakes,6.0+ at Japan ,Cuba

Predicted date is 16th September 2011
http://www.stuff.co.nz/world/americas/5634713/Earthquakes-off-Japan-Cuba

Accuracy is + 0r - one day
In fact, there could be few more quakes tomorrow ie 16th September 2011
AMit

AMIT said...

hi
7.2 earthquake at Fiji region on 15th September 2011 at 1930 UTc.
please note the accuracy

Amit

AMIT said...

hi
Strong earthquakes of 6.6 and 6.2 hit North coast of Japan on 16th September 2011 as predicted
Amit

Roger Hunter said...

Amit;

You made so many predictions for September it's not surprising that you got some hits

Roger

AMIT said...

Roger
In all 6 dates were given for September 2011.That is because, In the first week of September 2011 we have Jupiter changing the direction and also closer(4.4AU)
Thus ,whenever Moon (the trigger) joins ,squares or opposes Either Sun or Jupiter,the quakes(6.5) will occur
Even if you take only date hits,the results are good
Amit

AMIT said...

hi
If we see NEIC records from 1st September 2011 to 16th September 2011 we have following quakes

6+-----------12

6.5+----------5

7.0+----------2
Looking at the long range averages
we have on an average quakes per year
6.0+-------150 ie 6.0 in 15 days
6.5+------ 45 ie 2 in 15 days
7.0+-------15 ie 1.5 in 15 days
Are these quakes in September are not above average?

These are due to Jupiter changing the direction and closer to Earth(4.5AU-Astronomical Units-average distance from Earth to Sun
Amit

AMIT said...

hi
Several quakes at Guatemala ,one 5.8, killing couple of people.


http://earthquakeprediction.webs.com/

and go to calender
Amit