Can earthquakes be predicted?

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Thursday, July 25, 2013

Request to prepare a program , for Earthquake prediction,

hi
 I here by, request ,to prepare a program, for predicting Major earthquakes, based on broad guide lines ,given below.and also in another post, Basic Guide lines to predict the major quakes
 Roger, is also working on the same issue.As I am not so program savvy, I request to one and all for this
    May be , I am unable ,to explain Roger,the basic rules, the results are sometimes positive and often negative



Basic rules to prepare a program
Part A)
 Select dates /weeks ,where any two indicators are available
 a)Sun closer(0.98 AU approx) ,Sun at Maximum Declination
 b)Jupiter closer (4.0 AU or so), Jupiter at Maximum declination
 c) Venus closer (0.4 AU or so),Venus at maximum declination
 Out of these three a),b) and c) of part A indicators any one is  required.
   or
out of six indicators{ two of each a),b) and c)} of part A) any four are required for 6.5+ quake to occur

 Part B)
 once probable dates from part A are fixed exact date is decided by trigger Moon.
without part A,Moon may not be able to trigger the quake, hence we do not have quakes on all full Moon and new Moons
 Potential triggers, in descending order are
 a) Moon closer/closest (57 ER), and Moon at Maximum declination (+ or - 22 or whichever is highest)
 b) Full Moon OR New Moon
 c)moon joining or opposing ,planets closer (in part A)

 Amit

16 comments:

Roger Hunter said...

Amit;

My program already includes all of those elements except for conjunctions an oppositions.

I already know planetary aspects do not work.

Roger

Anonymous said...

Heres a couple of programs i gave before

Add time/date of earthquake in question to the below program

http://douglasallen.github.io/planets/

= the exact point that the planet would strike the earth if a line was drawn from the center of that plant/moon sun etc to the center of the earth.


Then use the GHA (Greenwich hour angle ) and DEC (Declination) of object requiring about and put it
into the great circle calculator along with the coordinates of the Celestial body being inquired about.

http://williams.best.vwh.net/gccalc.htm

(Geocentric to geodetic angle conversion)

Answer in feet....Then....


Kepler's musical planets

Theoretical musical intervals according to the angular velocities of the planets from the sun

Diurnal Movements

Saturn
at aphelion 1' 46'' a.
at perihelion 2' 15'' b.

Jupiter
at aphelion 4' 30'' c.
at perihelion 5' 30'' d.

Mars
at aphelion 26' 14'' e.
at perihelion 38' 1'' f.

Earth
at aphelion 57' 3'' g.
at perihelion 61' 18'' h.

Venus
at aphelion 94' 50'' i.
at perihelion 97' 37'' k.

Mercury
at aphelion 164' 0'' l.
at perihelion 384' 0'' m.


The then harmonies between two planets:

Diverging- a/d = 1/3
Converging- b/c = 1/2 Saturn-Jupiter;

Diverging- c/f = 1/8
Converging- d/e = 5/24 Jupiter-Mars;

Diverging- e/h = 5/12
Converging- f/g = 2/3 Mars-Earth;

Diverging- g/k = 3/5
Converging- h/i = 5/8 Earth-Venus;

Diverging- i/m = 1/4
Converging- k/l = 3/5 Venus-Mercury.

Due to orbit variations

Saturn 1' 48'' : 2' 15'' = 4 : 5, a major-third;
Jupiter 4' 35'' : 5' 30'' = 5 : 6, a minor-third;
Mars 25' 21'' : 38' 1'' = 2 : 3, a fifth;
Earth 57' 28'' : 61' 18'' = 15 : 16, a semi-tone;
Venus 94' 50'' : 98' 47'' = 24 : 25, a diesis;
Mercury 164' 0'' : 384'' 0'' = 5 : 12, an octave and minor-third.

Keplers work ^^^^^^^^

knowing these tones, wee can then use the number that was lastly relised in feet using the Circle calculator , and look for a trigger tone match.

If you have a date and position in mind, run the above software and look for a trigger tone, if you get one then watch out.

Be safe
Jazzman :)

Anonymous said...

Aha, found a video explaining the workings, and the original fellas website :)

Keith M. Hunter

http://www.ancient-world-mysteries.com/earthquake-predictions.html

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ycg20TOyO1U

no need to try explain things now, dont like copy and paste.

Be safe

Jazzman :)

Anonymous said...

Ok using http://www.solarmonitor.org/full_disk.php?date=20130726&type=saia_00193&indexnum=1

Starting at Zero (center line) work left 1-7
come back with 8 on the 6 line ...

14 will fall on the center line.
continue to the other side stopping at 21.

Then come back on the 20 line with 22 and continue to the center stopping at 28




New moon 0 and 28

0
28

Half moon 7 21 Half moon

14

full moon at 14


7 6 5 4 3 2 1 28 27 26 25 24 23 22

8 9 10 11 2 3 4 5 16 17 18 19 20 2
^ ^ ^ ^ ^
12 13 14 15 21


The new month used to start in the ancient times on the new moon (28 days), and there also used to be 13 signs of the zodiac.

We are using the original calendar.

The moon is now on the 18th line, (26th 07 2013)) which also finds sunspot 11800 which has a beta-gamma magnetic field/ the strongest of the sunspots at the moment.

We had a M6.1 today. 26/07/2013.

Lets see how this pans out with the moon moving right and then back left ?

This is My work :)

A moon Calendar
http://www.calendar-365.com/moon/moon-calendar.html

Be safe

Jazzman :)

Anonymous said...

My apologies its roughly 30 days between new moons , so find adjusted numbers below -


0
30

8 23

16


0
8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 30
9 10 11 12 15 14 15 16

Other side

29 28 27 26 25 24
17 18 19 20 21 22 23


Covers the extra line at the sides that were puzzling me for a little while.


Be safe Jazzman :)

Anonymous said...

Hmmmm..... 30 days isnt enough for the lines across, obviously, the distance between the two lines is worth more than a day, but you see my way of thinking.

Be safe

Jazzman

Anonymous said...

Turns out that the duration between the 4 stages of the Luna cycle varies between 6 and 8 days, a template showing the different durations is needed, and used accordingly.


Be safe

Jazzman :)

Anonymous said...

ERUPTING MAGNETIC FILAMENTS: During the late hours of July 26th, two filaments of magnetism erupted on the sun. The first to blow was this loop on the sun's southwestern limb:

A second filament connecting sunspots AR1800 and AR1805 erupted shortly thereafter. Both blasts are captured in this movie, recorded by NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory.

The explosions hurled coronal mass ejections (CMEs) into.... Cont-

http://www.spaceweather.com/


M6.2 - 203km NE of Bristol Island, South Sandwich Islands

Time
2013-07-26 22:32:59 UTC+01:00
Location
57.789°S 23.959°W
Depth
10.0km

AR11800 will again catch up with the moon when at Half moon, then we head across towards the centre again, passing AR11805 later in the week.

Be safe

Jazzman :)

Roger Hunter said...

Amit;

Clarify;

Sun, venus, jupiter indicator(s) start a window

Moon indicator within 3 days triggers the window.

Where is the window? Centered on moon or starting on planet indicator?

Roger

Roger Hunter said...

Amit;

If I define a window start as any one of the indicators (but not moon)
and there is a moon trigger within the 3 day window then there are 21 windows with 8 hits in the 10 year period.

But if I require two planet indicators to start, there are only 2 windows and no hits.

8/21 = 38.1% while the odds are 28.7% for a 6.5+ quake in a 3 day window. Better but not significantly better.

Roger

Anonymous said...

Hmmmm.... interesting, there are 13 new moons a year, 13x28=364 days.

one month got the extra full moon when we changed to 12 signs of the zodiac

be safe

jazzman :)

Anonymous said...

Ok, the edge of a large coronal hole just reaching the center of the sun(High Latitude) over the next couple of days, more of the hole will move more centralized.

Be safe

Jazzman :)

Anonymous said...

Well, the below theory is holding true, all of the large quakes have fallen on the dates when the moon is on a sunspot/coronal hole.

Tomorrow (4th/08/2013) see's the moon fall on sunspot 11808 (2) and then 11811 (4) , check the sunspots power here-

http://spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk/fm/

http://www.solarmonitor.org/full_disk.php?date=20130803&type=saia_00193&indexnum=1

The moon is moving left and is on the number 26, the 28th will be new moon.


New moon 0 and 28

0
28

Half moon 7 21 Half moon

14

full moon at 14


7 6 5 4 3 2 1 28 27 26 25 24 23 22

8 9 10 11 2 3 4 5 16 17 18 19 20 2
^ ^ ^ ^ ^
12 13 14 15 21

Be safe

Jazzman :)

Anonymous said...

New moon
August 6, 2013 02:51:32 PM

so 02:31 is roughly falling on the last quarter of 27, meaning we should see start seeing effects of the coronal hole moving from center to right this evening.

be safe

Jazzman :)




Anonymous said...

Jazzman, you was 5 hours out concerning the coronal hole, it had already passed, bringing a 5.4 quake etc.

besides that, you have been spot on with your theory so far
6/8/2013

David.

Anonymous said...

yeah, i noticed that later on, bit late to rectify.

On the solar monitor site, also find

http://www.solarmonitor.org/full_disk.php?date=20130806&type=gong_maglc&indexnum=1

It shows the magnetics

be safe

Jazzman :)